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Türkiye İmalat Sanayiinde Ölçek Genişlemesi Ve Verimlilik İlişkileri: Verdoorn Hipotezi Üzerinden Ampirik Bir Bakış

Year 2017, , 19 - 45, 19.07.2017

Sanlı Ateş

https://doi.org/10.14780/muiibd.329722
Cited By: 1

Abstract

Bu çalışmada Verdoorn yasasının 1963-2013 dönemi Türkiye imalat sanayiindeki geçerliği araştırılmıştır.

Verdoorn, imalat sanayiinde, uzun dönemde katma değer artış hızıyla ortalama işgücü verimliliği artış hızı

arasında doğrusal ve 0,45 ölçüsünde sabit bir bağlantının olduğunu öne sürmektedir. Türkiye imalat sanayii

üzerinde ARDL sınır testi ile yaptığımız analizler, bu öngörünün çoğu imalat sanayi sektörleri için geçerli

olduğunu ortaya koymuştur. Diğer yandan sektörlerin uzun dönemli verimlilik büyümesini kaynaklarına

ayrıştırdığımızda, toplam faktör verimliliği ve yatırım artışlarının uzun dönemli verimlilik artışının ana

unsurları olduğu, ölçek etkisinin ise ulaşım araçları sektörü dışında zayıf bir unsur olduğu ortaya çıkmaktadır.

Keywords

Verdoorn Yasası Türkiye İmalat Sanayii ARDL Sınır Testi

References

  • ANGERIZ, A., McCombie, J., Roberts, M. “New Estimates of Returns to Scale and Spatial Spillovers for EU Regional Manufacturing, 1986–2002” International RegionalScienceReview, 31, 2008, ss.62–87.
  • ARROW, J.K. “The Economic Implications of Learning by Doing” The Review of Economic Studies, 29, 1962, s.155-173.
  • BAIRAM, E.I “Verdoorn’s Original Model and The Verdoorn Law Controversy: Some New Empirical Evidence Using The Australian Manufacturing Data” Australian Economic Papers, 29, 1990, ss.107-12.
  • BAIRAM, E. “Economic Growth and Kaldor’ s Law: The Case of Turkey, 1925-78” Applied Economics, 23, 1991, ss.1277-1280.
  • BERKSOY, T. vediğerleri “Sanayi” ed. KorkutBoratavve Ergun Türkcan, Türkiye’de Sanayileşmenin Yeni Boyutları ve KİT’ler, TarihVakfı Yurt Yayınları, 1993, İstanbul.
  • BIANCHI, C. “A Reappraisal of Verdoorn’s Law for the Italian Economy, 1951–1997” Productivity Growth and Economic Performance: Essays on Verdoorn’s Law, ed. J.S.L. McCombie, M. Pugno, B. Soro, Palgrave, 2002 ss.115-135.
  • BLACK, J. “The Technical Progress Function and the Production Function” Economica, 29, 1962, ss.166-170.
  • CHATTERJI, M., M.R. Wickens “Productivity, Factor Transfers and Economic Growth in the UK” Economica, 49, 1982, ss.21-38.
  • CHENERY, H.B., Taylor, L. “Development Patterns: AmongCountriesandOver Time” TheReview of EconomicsandStatistics, 50, 1968,ss. 391-416
  • CORNWALL, J. “Diffusion, Convergence and Kaldor’s Laws” The Economic Journal, 86, 1976, ss.307-314.
  • DE VRIES, A.S.W. “The Verdoorn Law Revisited - A Note” European Economic Review, 14, 1980, ss.271-277.
  • FABRICANT, S. Employment in Manufacturing, 1899-1939: An Analysis of Its Relation to the Volume of Production, NationalBureau of EconomicResearch, 1942, New York.
  • GOMULKA, S. “Industrialization and the Rate of Growth: Eastern Europe 1955-75” The Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 5, 1983, ss.388-396.
  • HASSLER, U., Wolters, J. “Autoregressive Distributed Lag Models and Cointegration” AllgemeinesStatistischesArchiv, 90, 2006, 59-74.
  • JEFFERSON, G.H. “The Aggregate Production Function and Productivity Growth: Verdoorn’s Law Revisited” Oxford Economic Papers, 40, 1988, ss. 671-691
  • JONES, C.I.,Romer, P.M. “The New Kaldor Facts: Ideas, Institutions, Population and Human Capital” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2, 2010,ss.224–245.
  • KALDOR, N. “A Model of Economic Growth” The Economic Journal, 67, 1957, ss. 591-624.
  • KALDOR, N. “Capital Accumulation and Economic Growth” Der: F.A. Lutz ve D.C. Hague, The Theory of Capital, New York, St. Martins, 1961, s.177-222.
  • KALDOR, N. Causes of the Slow Rate of Economic Growth of the United Kingdom: An Inaugural Lecture, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1966.
  • KALDOR, N. “The Case for Regional Policies” Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 60, 1970, ss.337-348.
  • KALDOR, N. “Economic Growth and the Verdoorn Law: A Comment on Mr Rowthorn’s Article” TheEconomic Journal, 85, 1975a, ss.891-896.
  • KALDOR, N. “What is Wrong with Economic Theory” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 89, 1975b, ss. 347-357.
  • KALDOR, N.,Mirrlees, J.A. “A New Model of Economic Growth” Review of Economic Studies, 29, 1962,ss.174-192.
  • KNELL, M. (2004) “Structure Change and the Kaldor-Verdoorn law in the 1990s” Revue d’économieIndustrielle, 105, ss.71-83.
  • LÉON-LEDESMA, M.A.,Thirlwall, A.P. “The Endogeneity of the Natural Rate of Growth” Cambridge Journal of Economics, 26, 2002, ss.441-459.
  • LUCAS, R.E. Jr. “On the Mechanics of Economic Development” Journal of Monetary Economics, 22, 1998, ss.3-42.
  • MCCOMBIE, J.S.L. “Economic Growth, Kaldor’s Laws and the Static-Dynamic Verdoorn Law Paradox” Applied Economics, 14, 1982, ss.279-294.
  • MCCOMBIE, J.S.L.,Pugno,M., Soro, B. “Introduction” Productivity Growth and Economic Performance: Essays on Verdoorn’s Law, ed. J.S.L. McCombie, M. Pugno, B. Soro, Palgrave, 2002, ss.1-27.
  • MCCOMBIE, J.S.L.,Spreafico, Marta R. M. “Kaldor’s ‘Technical Progress Function’ and Verdoorn’s Law Revisited” Cambridge Journal of Economics, 39, 2015, ss.1-20.
  • OULTON, N.,O’Mahony, M.:Productivity and Growth: A Study of British Industry 1954-86, Cambridge University Press, 1993, New York.
  • PALLEY, T.I. “Aggregate Demand and Endogenous Growth: A Generalized Keynes-Kaldor Model of Economic Growth” Metroeconomica, 48, 1996, ss.161-176.
  • PARIKH, A. “Differences in GrowthRatesandKaldor’sLaws” Economica, 45, 1978,ss. 83-91.
  • PESARAN, M.H., Shin, Y. and Smith, R.J. “Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships” Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16, 2001, ss.289–326.
  • REBELO, S.T. “Long-Run Policy Analysis and Long-Run Growth” Journal of Political Economy, 99, 1991,ss.500-521.
  • ROMER, P.M. “Endogenous Technological Change” Journal of Political Economy, 98, 1986, ss.S71-S101.
  • ROMER, P.M. “Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth” Journal of Political Economy, 94(5), 1990, ss.1002-1037.
  • ROWTHORN, R.E. “What Remains of Kaldor’s Law?” The Economic Journal, 85, 1975a, ss.10–19.
  • ROWTHORN, R.E. “A Reply to Lord Kaldor’s Comment” The Economic Journal, 85, 1975b, ss.897-901.
  • ROWTHORN, R.E. “A Note on Verdoorn’s Law” The Economic Journal, 89, 1979, ss.131-133.
  • SCOTT, M.F. A New View of Economic Growth, Oxford University Press, 1989, New York.
  • SEITER, S. “Endogenous Growth, One Phenomenon: Two Interpretations” Growth Theory and Growth Policy, ed. H. Hagemann& S. Seiter, Routledge, 2003, ss.27-39.
  • SOLOW, R.M. “A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70, 1956,ss.65-94.
  • SORO, B. “‘Fattoricheregolano lo sviluppodellaproduttività del lavoro’ Fifty Years On” Productivity Growth and Economic Performance: Essays on Verdoorn’s Law, ed. J.S.L. McCombie, M. Pugno, B. Soro, Palgrave, 2002, ss.37-63.
  • THIRLWALL, A.P. “Rowthorn’s Interpretation of Verdoorn’s Law” The Economic Journal, 90, 1980, ss.386- 388.
  • THIRLWALL, A.P. “A Plain Man’s Guide to Kaldor’s Growth Laws” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 5, 1983, ss.345-358.
  • THIRLWALL, A.P. “Balance of Payments Constrained Growth Models: History and Overview” PSL Quarterly Review, 64, 2011, ss.307-351.
  • THIRLWALL, A.P. Economic Growth in an Open Developing Economy: The Role of Structure and Demand, Edward Elgar Publishing, 2013.
  • TURNER, R.E. “A Re-examination of Verdoorn’s Law and Its Application to the Manufacturing Industries of the UK, West Germany and the USA” European Economic Review, 23, 1983, ss.141-148.
  • VERDOORN, P.J. “Factors that Determine the Growth” Productivity Growth and Economic Performance: Essays on Verdoorn’s Law, ed. J.S.L. McCombie, M. Pugno, B. Soro, Palgrave, 2002, ss.28-36.
  • VERDOORN, P.J. “Complementarity and Long-Range Projections” Econometrica, 24, 1956, ss.429-450.
  • VERDOORN, P.J. “Verdoorn’s Law in Retrospect: A Comment” The Economic Journal, 90, 1980, ss. 382- 385
  • WHITEMAN, J.L. “Productivity and Growth in Australian Manufacturing Industry” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 9, 1987, ss.576-592.
  • WOLFE, J.N. “Productivity and Growth in Manufacturing Industry: Some Reflections on Professor Kaldor’s Inaugural Lecture” Economica, 35, 1968, ss.117-126.
  • YOUNG, A.A. “Increasing Returns and Economic Progress” The Economic Journal, 38, 1928, ss. 527-542.

Year 2017, , 19 - 45, 19.07.2017

Sanlı Ateş

https://doi.org/10.14780/muiibd.329722
Cited By: 1

Abstract

References

  • ANGERIZ, A., McCombie, J., Roberts, M. “New Estimates of Returns to Scale and Spatial Spillovers for EU Regional Manufacturing, 1986–2002” International RegionalScienceReview, 31, 2008, ss.62–87.
  • ARROW, J.K. “The Economic Implications of Learning by Doing” The Review of Economic Studies, 29, 1962, s.155-173.
  • BAIRAM, E.I “Verdoorn’s Original Model and The Verdoorn Law Controversy: Some New Empirical Evidence Using The Australian Manufacturing Data” Australian Economic Papers, 29, 1990, ss.107-12.
  • BAIRAM, E. “Economic Growth and Kaldor’ s Law: The Case of Turkey, 1925-78” Applied Economics, 23, 1991, ss.1277-1280.
  • BERKSOY, T. vediğerleri “Sanayi” ed. KorkutBoratavve Ergun Türkcan, Türkiye’de Sanayileşmenin Yeni Boyutları ve KİT’ler, TarihVakfı Yurt Yayınları, 1993, İstanbul.
  • BIANCHI, C. “A Reappraisal of Verdoorn’s Law for the Italian Economy, 1951–1997” Productivity Growth and Economic Performance: Essays on Verdoorn’s Law, ed. J.S.L. McCombie, M. Pugno, B. Soro, Palgrave, 2002 ss.115-135.
  • BLACK, J. “The Technical Progress Function and the Production Function” Economica, 29, 1962, ss.166-170.
  • CHATTERJI, M., M.R. Wickens “Productivity, Factor Transfers and Economic Growth in the UK” Economica, 49, 1982, ss.21-38.
  • CHENERY, H.B., Taylor, L. “Development Patterns: AmongCountriesandOver Time” TheReview of EconomicsandStatistics, 50, 1968,ss. 391-416
  • CORNWALL, J. “Diffusion, Convergence and Kaldor’s Laws” The Economic Journal, 86, 1976, ss.307-314.
  • DE VRIES, A.S.W. “The Verdoorn Law Revisited - A Note” European Economic Review, 14, 1980, ss.271-277.
  • FABRICANT, S. Employment in Manufacturing, 1899-1939: An Analysis of Its Relation to the Volume of Production, NationalBureau of EconomicResearch, 1942, New York.
  • GOMULKA, S. “Industrialization and the Rate of Growth: Eastern Europe 1955-75” The Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 5, 1983, ss.388-396.
  • HASSLER, U., Wolters, J. “Autoregressive Distributed Lag Models and Cointegration” AllgemeinesStatistischesArchiv, 90, 2006, 59-74.
  • JEFFERSON, G.H. “The Aggregate Production Function and Productivity Growth: Verdoorn’s Law Revisited” Oxford Economic Papers, 40, 1988, ss. 671-691
  • JONES, C.I.,Romer, P.M. “The New Kaldor Facts: Ideas, Institutions, Population and Human Capital” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2, 2010,ss.224–245.
  • KALDOR, N. “A Model of Economic Growth” The Economic Journal, 67, 1957, ss. 591-624.
  • KALDOR, N. “Capital Accumulation and Economic Growth” Der: F.A. Lutz ve D.C. Hague, The Theory of Capital, New York, St. Martins, 1961, s.177-222.
  • KALDOR, N. Causes of the Slow Rate of Economic Growth of the United Kingdom: An Inaugural Lecture, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1966.
  • KALDOR, N. “The Case for Regional Policies” Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 60, 1970, ss.337-348.
  • KALDOR, N. “Economic Growth and the Verdoorn Law: A Comment on Mr Rowthorn’s Article” TheEconomic Journal, 85, 1975a, ss.891-896.
  • KALDOR, N. “What is Wrong with Economic Theory” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 89, 1975b, ss. 347-357.
  • KALDOR, N.,Mirrlees, J.A. “A New Model of Economic Growth” Review of Economic Studies, 29, 1962,ss.174-192.
  • KNELL, M. (2004) “Structure Change and the Kaldor-Verdoorn law in the 1990s” Revue d’économieIndustrielle, 105, ss.71-83.
  • LÉON-LEDESMA, M.A.,Thirlwall, A.P. “The Endogeneity of the Natural Rate of Growth” Cambridge Journal of Economics, 26, 2002, ss.441-459.
  • LUCAS, R.E. Jr. “On the Mechanics of Economic Development” Journal of Monetary Economics, 22, 1998, ss.3-42.
  • MCCOMBIE, J.S.L. “Economic Growth, Kaldor’s Laws and the Static-Dynamic Verdoorn Law Paradox” Applied Economics, 14, 1982, ss.279-294.
  • MCCOMBIE, J.S.L.,Pugno,M., Soro, B. “Introduction” Productivity Growth and Economic Performance: Essays on Verdoorn’s Law, ed. J.S.L. McCombie, M. Pugno, B. Soro, Palgrave, 2002, ss.1-27.
  • MCCOMBIE, J.S.L.,Spreafico, Marta R. M. “Kaldor’s ‘Technical Progress Function’ and Verdoorn’s Law Revisited” Cambridge Journal of Economics, 39, 2015, ss.1-20.
  • OULTON, N.,O’Mahony, M.:Productivity and Growth: A Study of British Industry 1954-86, Cambridge University Press, 1993, New York.
  • PALLEY, T.I. “Aggregate Demand and Endogenous Growth: A Generalized Keynes-Kaldor Model of Economic Growth” Metroeconomica, 48, 1996, ss.161-176.
  • PARIKH, A. “Differences in GrowthRatesandKaldor’sLaws” Economica, 45, 1978,ss. 83-91.
  • PESARAN, M.H., Shin, Y. and Smith, R.J. “Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships” Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16, 2001, ss.289–326.
  • REBELO, S.T. “Long-Run Policy Analysis and Long-Run Growth” Journal of Political Economy, 99, 1991,ss.500-521.
  • ROMER, P.M. “Endogenous Technological Change” Journal of Political Economy, 98, 1986, ss.S71-S101.
  • ROMER, P.M. “Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth” Journal of Political Economy, 94(5), 1990, ss.1002-1037.
  • ROWTHORN, R.E. “What Remains of Kaldor’s Law?” The Economic Journal, 85, 1975a, ss.10–19.
  • ROWTHORN, R.E. “A Reply to Lord Kaldor’s Comment” The Economic Journal, 85, 1975b, ss.897-901.
  • ROWTHORN, R.E. “A Note on Verdoorn’s Law” The Economic Journal, 89, 1979, ss.131-133.
  • SCOTT, M.F. A New View of Economic Growth, Oxford University Press, 1989, New York.
  • SEITER, S. “Endogenous Growth, One Phenomenon: Two Interpretations” Growth Theory and Growth Policy, ed. H. Hagemann& S. Seiter, Routledge, 2003, ss.27-39.
  • SOLOW, R.M. “A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70, 1956,ss.65-94.
  • SORO, B. “‘Fattoricheregolano lo sviluppodellaproduttività del lavoro’ Fifty Years On” Productivity Growth and Economic Performance: Essays on Verdoorn’s Law, ed. J.S.L. McCombie, M. Pugno, B. Soro, Palgrave, 2002, ss.37-63.
  • THIRLWALL, A.P. “Rowthorn’s Interpretation of Verdoorn’s Law” The Economic Journal, 90, 1980, ss.386- 388.
  • THIRLWALL, A.P. “A Plain Man’s Guide to Kaldor’s Growth Laws” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 5, 1983, ss.345-358.
  • THIRLWALL, A.P. “Balance of Payments Constrained Growth Models: History and Overview” PSL Quarterly Review, 64, 2011, ss.307-351.
  • THIRLWALL, A.P. Economic Growth in an Open Developing Economy: The Role of Structure and Demand, Edward Elgar Publishing, 2013.
  • TURNER, R.E. “A Re-examination of Verdoorn’s Law and Its Application to the Manufacturing Industries of the UK, West Germany and the USA” European Economic Review, 23, 1983, ss.141-148.
  • VERDOORN, P.J. “Factors that Determine the Growth” Productivity Growth and Economic Performance: Essays on Verdoorn’s Law, ed. J.S.L. McCombie, M. Pugno, B. Soro, Palgrave, 2002, ss.28-36.
  • VERDOORN, P.J. “Complementarity and Long-Range Projections” Econometrica, 24, 1956, ss.429-450.
  • VERDOORN, P.J. “Verdoorn’s Law in Retrospect: A Comment” The Economic Journal, 90, 1980, ss. 382- 385
  • WHITEMAN, J.L. “Productivity and Growth in Australian Manufacturing Industry” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 9, 1987, ss.576-592.
  • WOLFE, J.N. “Productivity and Growth in Manufacturing Industry: Some Reflections on Professor Kaldor’s Inaugural Lecture” Economica, 35, 1968, ss.117-126.
  • YOUNG, A.A. “Increasing Returns and Economic Progress” The Economic Journal, 38, 1928, ss. 527-542.
There are 54 citations in total.

Details

Subjects Economics
Journal Section Makaleler
Authors

Sanlı Ateş

Publication Date July 19, 2017
Submission Date July 19, 2017
Published in Issue Year 2017

Cite

APA Ateş, S. (2017). Türkiye İmalat Sanayiinde Ölçek Genişlemesi Ve Verimlilik İlişkileri: Verdoorn Hipotezi Üzerinden Ampirik Bir Bakış. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 39(1), 19-45. https://doi.org/10.14780/muiibd.329722
AMA Ateş S. Türkiye İmalat Sanayiinde Ölçek Genişlemesi Ve Verimlilik İlişkileri: Verdoorn Hipotezi Üzerinden Ampirik Bir Bakış. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi. July 2017;39(1):19-45. doi:10.14780/muiibd.329722
Chicago Ateş, Sanlı. “Türkiye İmalat Sanayiinde Ölçek Genişlemesi Ve Verimlilik İlişkileri: Verdoorn Hipotezi Üzerinden Ampirik Bir Bakış”. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi 39, no. 1 (July 2017): 19-45. https://doi.org/10.14780/muiibd.329722.
EndNote Ateş S (July 1, 2017) Türkiye İmalat Sanayiinde Ölçek Genişlemesi Ve Verimlilik İlişkileri: Verdoorn Hipotezi Üzerinden Ampirik Bir Bakış. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi 39 1 19–45.
IEEE S. Ateş, “Türkiye İmalat Sanayiinde Ölçek Genişlemesi Ve Verimlilik İlişkileri: Verdoorn Hipotezi Üzerinden Ampirik Bir Bakış”, Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, vol. 39, no. 1, pp. 19–45, 2017, doi: 10.14780/muiibd.329722.
ISNAD Ateş, Sanlı. “Türkiye İmalat Sanayiinde Ölçek Genişlemesi Ve Verimlilik İlişkileri: Verdoorn Hipotezi Üzerinden Ampirik Bir Bakış”. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi 39/1 (July 2017), 19-45. https://doi.org/10.14780/muiibd.329722.
JAMA Ateş S. Türkiye İmalat Sanayiinde Ölçek Genişlemesi Ve Verimlilik İlişkileri: Verdoorn Hipotezi Üzerinden Ampirik Bir Bakış. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi. 2017;39:19–45.
MLA Ateş, Sanlı. “Türkiye İmalat Sanayiinde Ölçek Genişlemesi Ve Verimlilik İlişkileri: Verdoorn Hipotezi Üzerinden Ampirik Bir Bakış”. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, vol. 39, no. 1, 2017, pp. 19-45, doi:10.14780/muiibd.329722.
Vancouver Ateş S. Türkiye İmalat Sanayiinde Ölçek Genişlemesi Ve Verimlilik İlişkileri: Verdoorn Hipotezi Üzerinden Ampirik Bir Bakış. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi. 2017;39(1):19-45.

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