Nijerya’da doğal kaynak rantı ve ekonomik büyümenin çevre kalitesi üzerine etkileri

Year 2024, , 1668 - 1691, 29.09.2024

Mehmet Uçar , Mücahit Ülger , Mert Anıl Atamer

https://doi.org/10.30783/nevsosbilen.1514967

Abstract

Bu çalışma, Nijerya’da 1990-2020 döneminde doğal kaynak rantı ve ekonomik büyümenin çevresel kalite üzerindeki etkilerini incelemiştir. CO2 emisyonları, ekolojik ayak izi ve yük kapasitesi faktörü gibi üç farklı çevre kalitesi göstergesi kullanılarak Granger nedensellik ve etki-tepki analizleri gerçekleştirilmiştir. Granger nedensellik analizine göre, CO2 emisyonlarından doğal kaynak rantına, ekonomik büyümeden CO2 emisyonlarına ve ekonomik büyümeden ekolojik ayak izine doğru tek yönlü nedensellik ilişkileri bulunmuştur. Etki-tepki analizleri, doğal kaynak rantı ve ekonomik büyüme değişkenlerine verilen şokların çevresel kalite göstergelerinde önemli tepkilere yol açtığını ortaya koymuştur. Doğal kaynak rantına ve ekonomik büyümeye verilen bir standart sapmalık şoka CO2 emisyon miktarı artış yönünde tepki verirken, ekolojik ayak izi bu şoklara ilk dönemden itibaren artarak azalış yönünde tepki vermiştir. Doğal kaynak rantına verilen bir standart sapmalık şoka yük kapasitesi faktörü ilk dört dönem azalış sonrasındaki dört dönem artış şeklinde tepki verirken, ekonomik büyümeye verilen bir standart sapmalık şoka yük kapasitesi faktörü ilk dört dönem azalış sonrasındaki iki dönem artış şeklinde tepki vermiştir. Bu sonuçlar, Nijerya’nın sürdürülebilir kalkınma stratejilerini oluştururken, çevresel etkileri dikkate alarak çevre dostu politikalar geliştirmesi gerektiğini vurgulamaktadır.

Keywords

Doğal kaynak rantı, Ekonomik büyüme, CO2 emisyonu, Ekolojik ayak izi, Yük kapasitesi faktörü

THE EFFECTS OF NATURAL RESOURCE RENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH ON ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY IN NIGERIA

Abstract

This study examined the effects of natural resource rent and economic growth on environmental quality in Nigeria during the 1990-2020 period. Granger causality and impulse-response analysis were carried out using three different environmental quality indicators such as CO2 emissions, ecological footprint and load capacity factor. According to Granger causality analysis, one-way causality relationships were found from CO2 emissions to natural resource rent, from economic growth to CO2 emissions, and from economic growth to ecological footprint. Impulse-response analysis revealed that shocks to natural resource rent and economic growth variables caused significant reactions in environmental quality indicators. While the amount of CO2 emissions responded to a one standard deviation shock to natural resource rent and economic growth, the ecological footprint responded to these shocks by increasing and decreasing from the first period. While the load capacity factor responded to a one standard deviation shock to natural resource rent by decreasing in the first four periods and then increasing in four periods, the load capacity factor responded to a one standard deviation shock to economic growth by decreasing in the first four periods and then increasing in two periods. These results emphasize that Nigeria should develop environmentally friendly policies by taking environmental impacts into account when creating sustainable development strategies.

Keywords

Natural resource rent, Economic growth, CO2 emission, Ecological footprint, Load capacity factor

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