BibTex RIS Cite

TEMPO EFFECTS ON PERIOD FERTILITY IN TURKEY: A STUDY FROM TURKEY DEMOGRAPHIC AND HEALTH SURVEYS

Year 2008, Volume: 30 Issue: 1, 43 - 54, 05.08.2016

Tuğba Adalı

Abstract

Turkey has been experiencing significant fertility decline since the 1950s. Increasing
mean ages at childbearing have accompanied this decline, thus studies regarding tempo
effects are necessary for Turkey. The main aim of this study is to reveal the tempo distortions
in recent period fertility in Turkey as a whole and for different sub-groups by using an
adjustment procedure. A procedure by Bongaarts and Feeney corrects period TFR for tempo
distortions, using changes in mean ages at childbearing by birth order. The adjusted TFR
reflects the level of fertility that would have been observed in the absence of changes in
timing. Since vital registration system in Turkey does not provide necessary data for the
method, the study employs data from two successive demographic surveys, TDHS-1998 and
TDHS-2003. Findings show the existence of tempo distortions in period fertility in Turkey.
Tempo distortions appear to be higher for women in higher fertility areas.

References

  • Adalı, T., (2007). The Analysis of Tempo and Quantum Components of Period Fertility in Turkey. Unpublished M.A. Thesis, Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara.
  • Behar, C., (1995). ‘The Fertility Transition in Turkey: Reforms, Policies and Household Structure 1965-1980’, in Family, Gender and Population in the Middle East: Policies and Context, Cairo, American University in Cairo Press, p.36-56.
  • Bongaarts, J. and Feeney G. (1998). ‘On the quantum and tempo of fertility’, Population and Development Review (24) p. 271-291.
  • Bongaarts, J., (1999). ‘The Fertility Impact of Changes in the Timing of Childbearing in the Developing World’, Population Studies (53), p. 277-289.
  • Bongaarts, J. and Feeney, G., (2005). ‘On The Quantum and Tempo of Fertility’, Population and Development Review (26) p. 560-564.
  • Bongaarts, J. and Feeney, G., (2005). ‘The Quantum and Tempo of Life-Cycle Events’, Population Council, Policy Research Working Paper, No.207
  • Duben, A. and Behar, C. (1991), lstanbul Households, Marriage, Family and Fertility, 1880- 1940, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, (1980). 1978 Turkish Fertility Survey,
  • Hacettepe University, Institute of Population Studies, Ankara, Turkey.
  • Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, (1987). 1983 Turkish Population and Health Survey, Hacettepe University, Institute of Population Studies, Ankara, Turkey.
  • Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, (1989). 1988 Turkish Population and Health Survey, Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara, Turkey.
  • Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, (1994). Turkish Demographic and Health Survey 1993. Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ministry of Health and Macro International Inc., Ankara, Turkey.
  • Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, (1999). Turkish Demographic and Health Survey 1998, Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ministry of Health General Directorate of Mother and Child Health and Macro International Inc., Ankara, Turkey.
  • Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, (2004). Turkish Demographic and Health Survey 2003. Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ministry of Health General Directorate of Mother and Child Health and Family Planning, State Planning Organization and European Union, Ankara, Turkey.
  • Hajnal, J., (1947). ‘The analysis of birth statistics in the light of the recent international recovery of the birth-rate’ Population Studies (1) p. 137–164.
  • Lesthaeghe, R. and Willems, P., (1999). ‘Is Low Fertility a Temporary Phenomenon in the European Union?’, Population and Development Review (25), p. 211-228.
  • Macro International Inc., (1996). Sampling Manual. DHS-III Basic Documentation No. 6. Calverton, Maryland.
  • Ryder, N. B., (1964). ‘The process of demographic translation’, Demography, (1) p. 74-82.
  • Ryder, Norman B. 1956. “Problems of trend determination during a transition in fertility,” Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly 34: 5–21.
  • Ryder, Norman B. 1959. “An appraisal of fertility trends in the United States,” in Thirty Years of Research in Human Fertility: Retrospect and Prospect. New York: Milbank Memorial Fund, pp. 38–49.
  • Ryder, Norman B. 1964. “The process of demographic translation,” Demography 1: 74–82.
  • Ryder, Norman B. 1980. “Components of temporal variations in American fertility,” in R.W. Hiorns (ed.), Demographic Patterns in Developed Societies, London: Taylor & Francis, pp. 15-54.
  • Ryder, Norman B. 1983. “Cohort and period measures of changing fertility,” in Rodolfo A. Bulatao and Ronald D. Lee (eds.), Determinants of Fertility in Developing Countries. New York: Academic Press, Vol. 2, pp. 737–756.
  • Sobotka, T., (2004), ‘Is Lowest-Low Fertility in Europe Explained by the Postponement of Childbearing?’, Population And Development Review (30), p. 195-220
  • State Institute of Statistics (SIS), (1995). The Population of Turkey, 1923 – 1994: Demographic Structure and Development, With Projections to the Mid 21st Century. Ankara: State Institute of Statistics, Prime Ministry of Republic of Turkey (Publication No. 1716).
  • State Institute of Statistics (SIS), (2003). 2000 Census of Population: Social and Economic Characteristics of Population, State Institute of Statistics, Prime Ministry of Republic of Turkey,Ankara.
  • TÜSİAD, (1999). Turkey’s Window of Opportunity: Demographic Transition, Process and its Consequences, Publication No. TÜSİAD-T/99-1-251, İstanbul.

TÜRKİYE’DE DÖNEMSEL DOĞURGANLIK ÜZERİNDEKİ ZAMANLAMA ETKİLERİ: TÜRKİYE NÜFUS VE SAĞLIK ARAŞTIRMALARI’NDAN BİR ÇALIŞMA

Year 2008, Volume: 30 Issue: 1, 43 - 54, 05.08.2016

Tuğba Adalı

Abstract

Türkiye’de doğurganlık 1950’li yıllardan beri ciddi bir şekilde düşmektedir. Bu düşüşle
birlikte ortalama çocuk doğurma yaşlarında artışlar da görülmüştür. Bu nedenle Türkiye’de
doğurganlık göstergeleri üzerinde zamanlama etkilerine ilişkin çalışmalara ihityaç vardır. Bu
çalışmanın temel amacı Türkiye’de yakın dönemdeki toplam doğurganlık hızlarındaki zamanlama
etkilerini ortaya çıkartmaktır. Bu işlem hem Türkiye geneli için, hem de nüfusun çeşitli alt-grupları
için yapılmıştır. Kullanılan düzeltme işlemi Bongaarts ve Feeney tarafından geliştirilmiştir. Bu
yöntem doğum sırasına göre toplam doğurganlık hızını, ortalama çocuk doğurma yaşlarındaki
değişimi kullanarak düzeltmektedir. Düzeltilmiş TDH, doğurganlığın zamanlamasındaki
değişimlerin yokluğunda gözlemlenecek olan doğurganlık düzeyini işaret eder. Hayati kayıt
sistemlerinden bu yöntem için gerekli bilgiler temin edilemediği için iki tane demografik
araştırmanın verileri kullanılmıştır: TNSA-1998 ve TNSA-2003. Bulgular Türkiye’de dönemsel
doğurganlık göstergelerinde zamanlama etkilerinin olduğunu göstermiştir. Bu etkilerin yüksek
doğurganlık görülen bölgelerde daha yüksek olduğu gözlenmiştir.

References

  • Adalı, T., (2007). The Analysis of Tempo and Quantum Components of Period Fertility in Turkey. Unpublished M.A. Thesis, Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara.
  • Behar, C., (1995). ‘The Fertility Transition in Turkey: Reforms, Policies and Household Structure 1965-1980’, in Family, Gender and Population in the Middle East: Policies and Context, Cairo, American University in Cairo Press, p.36-56.
  • Bongaarts, J. and Feeney G. (1998). ‘On the quantum and tempo of fertility’, Population and Development Review (24) p. 271-291.
  • Bongaarts, J., (1999). ‘The Fertility Impact of Changes in the Timing of Childbearing in the Developing World’, Population Studies (53), p. 277-289.
  • Bongaarts, J. and Feeney, G., (2005). ‘On The Quantum and Tempo of Fertility’, Population and Development Review (26) p. 560-564.
  • Bongaarts, J. and Feeney, G., (2005). ‘The Quantum and Tempo of Life-Cycle Events’, Population Council, Policy Research Working Paper, No.207
  • Duben, A. and Behar, C. (1991), lstanbul Households, Marriage, Family and Fertility, 1880- 1940, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, (1980). 1978 Turkish Fertility Survey,
  • Hacettepe University, Institute of Population Studies, Ankara, Turkey.
  • Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, (1987). 1983 Turkish Population and Health Survey, Hacettepe University, Institute of Population Studies, Ankara, Turkey.
  • Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, (1989). 1988 Turkish Population and Health Survey, Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara, Turkey.
  • Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, (1994). Turkish Demographic and Health Survey 1993. Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ministry of Health and Macro International Inc., Ankara, Turkey.
  • Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, (1999). Turkish Demographic and Health Survey 1998, Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ministry of Health General Directorate of Mother and Child Health and Macro International Inc., Ankara, Turkey.
  • Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, (2004). Turkish Demographic and Health Survey 2003. Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ministry of Health General Directorate of Mother and Child Health and Family Planning, State Planning Organization and European Union, Ankara, Turkey.
  • Hajnal, J., (1947). ‘The analysis of birth statistics in the light of the recent international recovery of the birth-rate’ Population Studies (1) p. 137–164.
  • Lesthaeghe, R. and Willems, P., (1999). ‘Is Low Fertility a Temporary Phenomenon in the European Union?’, Population and Development Review (25), p. 211-228.
  • Macro International Inc., (1996). Sampling Manual. DHS-III Basic Documentation No. 6. Calverton, Maryland.
  • Ryder, N. B., (1964). ‘The process of demographic translation’, Demography, (1) p. 74-82.
  • Ryder, Norman B. 1956. “Problems of trend determination during a transition in fertility,” Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly 34: 5–21.
  • Ryder, Norman B. 1959. “An appraisal of fertility trends in the United States,” in Thirty Years of Research in Human Fertility: Retrospect and Prospect. New York: Milbank Memorial Fund, pp. 38–49.
  • Ryder, Norman B. 1964. “The process of demographic translation,” Demography 1: 74–82.
  • Ryder, Norman B. 1980. “Components of temporal variations in American fertility,” in R.W. Hiorns (ed.), Demographic Patterns in Developed Societies, London: Taylor & Francis, pp. 15-54.
  • Ryder, Norman B. 1983. “Cohort and period measures of changing fertility,” in Rodolfo A. Bulatao and Ronald D. Lee (eds.), Determinants of Fertility in Developing Countries. New York: Academic Press, Vol. 2, pp. 737–756.
  • Sobotka, T., (2004), ‘Is Lowest-Low Fertility in Europe Explained by the Postponement of Childbearing?’, Population And Development Review (30), p. 195-220
  • State Institute of Statistics (SIS), (1995). The Population of Turkey, 1923 – 1994: Demographic Structure and Development, With Projections to the Mid 21st Century. Ankara: State Institute of Statistics, Prime Ministry of Republic of Turkey (Publication No. 1716).
  • State Institute of Statistics (SIS), (2003). 2000 Census of Population: Social and Economic Characteristics of Population, State Institute of Statistics, Prime Ministry of Republic of Turkey,Ankara.
  • TÜSİAD, (1999). Turkey’s Window of Opportunity: Demographic Transition, Process and its Consequences, Publication No. TÜSİAD-T/99-1-251, İstanbul.
There are 27 citations in total.

Details

Other ID JA35HY97RF
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Tuğba Adalı This is me

Publication Date August 5, 2016
Submission Date August 5, 2016
Published in Issue Year 2008 Volume: 30 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Adalı, T. (2016). TÜRKİYE’DE DÖNEMSEL DOĞURGANLIK ÜZERİNDEKİ ZAMANLAMA ETKİLERİ: TÜRKİYE NÜFUS VE SAĞLIK ARAŞTIRMALARI’NDAN BİR ÇALIŞMA. Nüfusbilim Dergisi, 30(1), 43-54.
AMA Adalı T. TÜRKİYE’DE DÖNEMSEL DOĞURGANLIK ÜZERİNDEKİ ZAMANLAMA ETKİLERİ: TÜRKİYE NÜFUS VE SAĞLIK ARAŞTIRMALARI’NDAN BİR ÇALIŞMA. Nüfusbilim Dergisi. August 2016;30(1):43-54.
Chicago Adalı, Tuğba. “TÜRKİYE’DE DÖNEMSEL DOĞURGANLIK ÜZERİNDEKİ ZAMANLAMA ETKİLERİ: TÜRKİYE NÜFUS VE SAĞLIK ARAŞTIRMALARI’NDAN BİR ÇALIŞMA”. Nüfusbilim Dergisi 30, no. 1 (August 2016): 43-54.
EndNote Adalı T (August 1, 2016) TÜRKİYE’DE DÖNEMSEL DOĞURGANLIK ÜZERİNDEKİ ZAMANLAMA ETKİLERİ: TÜRKİYE NÜFUS VE SAĞLIK ARAŞTIRMALARI’NDAN BİR ÇALIŞMA. Nüfusbilim Dergisi 30 1 43–54.
IEEE T. Adalı, “TÜRKİYE’DE DÖNEMSEL DOĞURGANLIK ÜZERİNDEKİ ZAMANLAMA ETKİLERİ: TÜRKİYE NÜFUS VE SAĞLIK ARAŞTIRMALARI’NDAN BİR ÇALIŞMA”, Nüfusbilim Dergisi, vol. 30, no. 1, pp. 43–54, 2016.
ISNAD Adalı, Tuğba. “TÜRKİYE’DE DÖNEMSEL DOĞURGANLIK ÜZERİNDEKİ ZAMANLAMA ETKİLERİ: TÜRKİYE NÜFUS VE SAĞLIK ARAŞTIRMALARI’NDAN BİR ÇALIŞMA”. Nüfusbilim Dergisi 30/1 (August 2016), 43-54.
JAMA Adalı T. TÜRKİYE’DE DÖNEMSEL DOĞURGANLIK ÜZERİNDEKİ ZAMANLAMA ETKİLERİ: TÜRKİYE NÜFUS VE SAĞLIK ARAŞTIRMALARI’NDAN BİR ÇALIŞMA. Nüfusbilim Dergisi. 2016;30:43–54.
MLA Adalı, Tuğba. “TÜRKİYE’DE DÖNEMSEL DOĞURGANLIK ÜZERİNDEKİ ZAMANLAMA ETKİLERİ: TÜRKİYE NÜFUS VE SAĞLIK ARAŞTIRMALARI’NDAN BİR ÇALIŞMA”. Nüfusbilim Dergisi, vol. 30, no. 1, 2016, pp. 43-54.
Vancouver Adalı T. TÜRKİYE’DE DÖNEMSEL DOĞURGANLIK ÜZERİNDEKİ ZAMANLAMA ETKİLERİ: TÜRKİYE NÜFUS VE SAĞLIK ARAŞTIRMALARI’NDAN BİR ÇALIŞMA. Nüfusbilim Dergisi. 2016;30(1):43-54.