BRICT Ülkelerinde Yenilenebilir Enerji Tüketimi, Petrol Fiyatları, CO2 Emisyonu, Kentleşme ve Ekonomik Büyüme Üzerine Nedensellik Analizi

Abstract

Çalışmada nüfus, coğrafi alan, piyasa büyüklüğü ve ekonomik büyüme hızları açısından benzer niteliklere sahip BRICT ülkelerinde yenilenebilir enerji tüketimi, karbon emisyonları, kentleşme, petrol fiyatları ve kişi başına düşen reel gayrisafi yurtiçi hasıla arasındaki etkileşim Panel VAR analizi ile ortaya konulmaya çalışılarak politika karar vericilerine ekonomik büyüme hedeflerinde başarıya ulaşabilmeleri için uygun politikalar önermek amaçlanmıştır. 1990-2015 dönemine ait Dünya Bankası Ekonomik Göstergeler Veritabanından alınan yıllık verilerle yapılan Dumitrescu Hurlin panel nedensellik testi sonucunda gayrisafi yurtiçi hasıla’dan kentleşmeye, yenilenebilir enerjiye, petrol fiyatlarına ve karbon emisyonlarına doğru tek yönlü bir nedensellik ilişkisi tespit edilmiştir.

Keywords

• Yenilenebilir Enerji
• Petrol Fiyatları
• Ekonomik Büyüme
• CO2 Emisyonu
• Kentleşme

Causality Analysis of BRICT Countries on Renewable Energy Consumption, Oil Prices, CO2 Emissions, Urbanization and Economic Growth

Abstract

The interaction between renewable energy consumption, carbon emissions, urbanization, oil prices and per capita real GDP per capita in BRICT countries with similar characteristics in terms of population, geographical area, market size and economic growth rates has been tried to be revealed by panel VAR analysis. Thus, it is aimed to provide policy makers with appropriate policies to achieve success in their economic growth targets. As a result of the annual Dumitrescu Hurlin panel causality test from the World Bank Economic Indicators Database for the period 1990-2015, a unidirectional causality relationship from gross domestic product to urbanization, renewable energy, oil prices and carbon emissions has been determined.

Keywords

• Renewable Energy
• Oil Prices
• Economic Growth
• CO2 Emission
• Urbanization

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