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Geopolitical consequences of the Russia-Ukraine War

Year 2024, , 158 - 180, 31.01.2024
https://doi.org/10.25287/ohuiibf.1331462

Abstract

This study comprehensively addresses the geopolitical consequences of the Russia-Ukraine War, which clearly reshaped international relations and global power dynamics in the 21st century. The starting point of the study is the immediate geopolitical consequences in Eastern Europe. The Russia-Ukraine War changed the strategic balance in the region with the redefinition of regional borders and the change of national sovereignty and political affiliations. This conflict also revealed the weaknesses of post-Soviet states and spurred a reassessment of security and defense strategies. We then explore the broader international consequences of the war, particularly its role in increasing tensions between Russia and the West. The study examines the impact of the war on energy security, given Ukraine's critical position in transporting Russian natural gas to Europe. The future of energy policy, diversification of energy sources and the increasing importance of energy geopolitics are evaluated in the context of this scenario. The study also emphasizes the redefinition of the global security order brought about by war. On the other hand, the study points out that the conflict, following allegations of cyber warfare, has brought the issue of cyber security ahead of international security concerns. Finally, the effects of the Russia-Ukraine War on global normative structures are examined. This study systematically evaluates these aspects, contributing to a nuanced understanding of the multifaceted geopolitical consequences of the Russia-Ukraine War. It highlights the far-reaching effects of conflict that reverberate beyond its immediate geographical borders and calls for collective and coherent international strategies to maintain global peace and security.

References

  • Abay, K. A., Breisinger, C., Glauber, J., Kurdi, S., Laborde, D., & Siddig, K. (2023). The Russia-Ukraine war: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses. Global Food Security, 36, 100675.
  • Adachi, D. (2023). Melodrama and War after Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine. Japanese Slavic and East European Studies, 43, 13-26.
  • Alcaro, R. (Ed.). (2015). West-Russia Relations in light of the Ukraine crisis (Vol. 18). Edizioni Nuova Cultura.
  • Audretsch, D. B., Momtaz, P. P., Motuzenko, H., & Vismara, S. (2023). War and Entrepreneurship: A Synthetic Control Study of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
  • Algarni, A. D. (2022). Ukraine in Russian Geopolitics. Rasanah. Retrieved, 12(17), 2022.
  • Al-Hasnawi, A. H. M. (2022). The Russian-Ukrainian war and its implications for international security: a geopolitical vision. Texas Journal of Multidisciplinary Studies, 9, 177-192.
  • Al-Saidi, M. (2023). White knight or partner of choice? The Ukraine war and the role of the Middle East in the energy security of Europe. Energy Strategy Reviews, 49, 101116.
  • Anghel, V., & Džankić, J. (2023). Wartime EU: consequences of the Russia–Ukraine war on the enlargement process. Journal of European Integration, 45(3), 487-501.
  • Bach, H., & Hansen, T. (2023). Flickering guiding light from the International Maritime Organisation’s policy mix. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, 47, 100720.
  • Baird, A. J. (2005) Maritime policy in Scotland. Maritime Policy & Management, 32(4), 383–401.
  • Balsalobre-Lorente, D., Sinha, A., & Murshed, M. (2023). Russia-Ukraine conflict sentiments and energy market returns in G7 countries: Discovering the unexplored dynamics. Energy Economics, 106847.
  • Bartoszewicz, M. G. (2023). Intermarium: A Bid for Polycentric Europe. Geopolitics, 28(2), 795–819.
  • Bekkers, E., & Góes, C. (2022). The impact of geopolitical conflicts on trade, growth, and innovation: An illustrative simulation study. Global Economic Consequences of the War in Ukraine Sanctions, Supply Chains and Sustainability.
  • Belaïd, F., Al-Sarihi, A., & Al-Mestneer, R. (2023). Balancing climate mitigation and energy security goals amid converging global energy crises: The role of green investments. Renewable Energy, 205, 534-542.
  • Ben Hassen, T., & El Bilali, H. (2022). Impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war on global food security: towards more sustainable and resilient food systems?. Foods, 11(15), 2301.
  • Bennett, D. J. (2022). US-Russia relations post-Cold War: Russia left out in the Cold? (Doctoral dissertation, Manchester Metropolitan University).
  • Bilenets, D., Ulianova, H., & Vozniakovska, K. (2022). Three Seas Initiative and Ukrainian Seaports’ Prospects amid Russian Aggression. Lex Portus, 8(5), 48–70.
  • Bossman, A., Gubareva, M., & Teplova, T. (2023). Asymmetric effects of geopolitical risk on major currencies: Russia-Ukraine tensions. Finance Research Letters, 51, 103440.
  • Brodny, J., & Tutak, M. (2023). Assessing the level of digital maturity in the Three Seas Initiative countries. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 190, 122462.
  • Chang-Liao, N. C. (2023). The limits of strategic partnerships: Implications for China’s role in the Russia-Ukraine war. Contemporary Security Policy, 44(2), 226-247.
  • Cui, L., Yue, S., Nghiem, X. H., & Duan, M. (2023). Exploring the risk and economic vulnerability of global energy supply chain interruption in the context of Russo-Ukrainian war. Resources Policy, 81, 103373.
  • da Silva, J. A. T., Koblianska, I., & Kucher, A. (2023). Historical overview of agricultural production in Ukraine (2018-2022): Background insight into the impact of the Russo-Ukrainian war on local, regional and global food security. Journal of Agricultural Sciences (Belgrade), 68(2).
  • Davis, P. K. (2023). Potential Implications of the Russia–Ukraine War for Northeast Asia. Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament, 1-11.
  • Demedziuk, S. (2017). The new dimension of war–the Ukraine conflict. Security and Defence Quarterly, 14(1), 91-109.
  • Demir, S. (2022). The 2022 Russia-Ukraine war: reasons and impacts. Bölgesel Araştırmalar Dergisi, 6(1), 13-40.
  • Dibb, P. (2014). The Geopolitical Implications of Russia's Invasion of the Ukraine, ANU College of Asia & the Pacific, June 2014, ISSN: 2208-7303.
  • Fasiku, A. M., & Adedayo, A. M. (2023). World Peace and Securıty in Turbulence Era: The Impact of Russia-Ukraine War on Peace, Security and Development in Nigeria. International Journal of Social Science and Humanities Research (ISSN 2811-2466), 6(04), 01-10.
  • Fennell, J. L. (2014). A History of the Russian Church to 1488. Routledge.
  • Fernandes, G., Teixeira, P., & Santos, T. A. (2023). The impact of the Ukraine conflict in internal and external grain transport costs. Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives, 19, 100803.
  • Freedman, L. (2023). Humanitarian Challenges of Great Power Conflict: Signs from Ukraine. Dædalus, 152(2), 40-51.
  • Gaur, A., Settles, A., & Väätänen, J. (2023). Do Economic Sanctions Work? Evidence from the Russia‐Ukraine Conflict. Journal of Management Studies.
  • Gravariti, M. (2023). The Dialogue Between the Deaf and the Dumb: The Geopolitics Behind Russia’s Annexation in Crimea.
  • Grgić, G. (2023). The Changing Dynamics of Regionalism in Central and Eastern Europe: The Case of the Three Seas Initiative. Geopolitics, 28(1), 216–238.
  • Hart, T. (2017). Beyond the River, under the Eye of Rome Ethnographic Landscapes, Imperial Frontiers, and the Shaping of a Danubian Borderland (Doctoral dissertation).

Rusya-Ukrayna Savaşı'nın jeopolitik sonuçları

Year 2024, , 158 - 180, 31.01.2024
https://doi.org/10.25287/ohuiibf.1331462

Abstract

Bu çalışma, 21. yüzyılda uluslararası ilişkileri ve küresel güç dinamiklerini açıkça yeniden şekillendiren Rusya-Ukrayna Savaşı’nın kapsamlı jeopolitik sonuçlarını kapsamlı bir şekilde ele almaktadır. Çalışmanın başlangıç noktası, Doğu Avrupa’da hemen ortaya çıkan jeopolitik sonuçlardır. Rusya-Ukrayna Savaşı, bölgesel sınırların yeniden tanımlanması, ulusal egemenliklerin ve siyasi bağlantıların değişmesiyle birlikte bölgedeki stratejik dengeyi değiştirmiştir. Bu çatışma aynı zamanda Sovyet sonrası devletlerin zayıflıklarını da ortaya çıkarmış ve güvenlik ve savunma stratejilerinin yeniden değerlendirilmesini teşvik etmiştir. Ardından, savaşın daha geniş uluslararası sonuçlarını, özellikle Rusya ile Batı arasındaki gerilimleri artırma rolünü keşfediyoruz. Rusya-Ukrayna çatışması, Rusya’nın Avrupa Birliği (AB), Kuzey Atlantik Antlaşması Örgütü (NATO) ve Amerika Birleşik Devletleri (ABD) ile ilişkilerini geriletmiş ve Doğu-Batı ayrımını derinleştirmiştir. İnceleme, küresel güçler arasında ittifak değişikliklerini, stratejik ortaklıklardaki değişimleri ve askeri, ekonomik ve siyasi çıkarların yeniden hizalanmasını kapsamaktadır. Çalışma, Rus doğalgazının Avrupa’ya taşınmasında Ukrayna’nın kritik konumu göz önüne alındığında savaşın enerji güvenliği üzerindeki etkisini inceler. Enerji politikasının geleceği, enerji kaynaklarının çeşitlendirilmesi ve enerji jeopolitiğinin artan önemi, bu senaryo bağlamında değerlendirilmektedir. Çalışma ayrıca savaşın getirdiği küresel güvenlik düzeninin yeniden tanımlanmasını vurgulamaktadır. Çatışmanın NATO’nun kolektif savunma politikasına etkisini, savunma taahhütlerinin gözden geçirilmesini ve çeşitli ülkelerde askeri harcamaların artmasını vurgulamaktadır. Ayrıca, siber savaş iddialarının ardından çatışmanın siber güvenlik konusunu uluslararası güvenlik endişelerinin önüne taşıdığına dikkat çekmektedir. Ayrıca, savaş sırasında uluslararası hukukun ve çok taraflı kurumların rolünü ve etkinliğini değerlendiriyoruz. Uluslararası yaptırımların etkin olmaması, çatışmayı etkili bir şekilde önlemekte veya hafifletmede başarısız olunması, uluslararası çatışma çözüm mekanizmalarının geleceği hakkında önemli soruları gündeme getirmiştir. Son olarak, Rusya-Ukrayna Savaşı’nın küresel normatif yapılar üzerindeki etkileri incelenmektedir. Savaş, uluslararası normlar olan toprak bütünlüğü ve devlet egemenliğini sorgulayarak, yeni bir jeopolitik düzensizlik döneminin habercisi olabilir. Bu çalışma, Rusya-Ukrayna Savaşı’nın çok yönlü jeopolitik sonuçlarının nüanslı bir anlayışına katkıda bulunarak, bu yönleri sistemli bir şekilde değerlendirir. Çatışmanın doğrudan coğrafi sınırlarının ötesinde yankılanan geniş kapsamlı etkilerini vurgulamakta ve küresel barış ve güvenliği sürdürmek için kolektif ve tutarlı uluslararası stratejilere çağrı yapmaktadır.

References

  • Abay, K. A., Breisinger, C., Glauber, J., Kurdi, S., Laborde, D., & Siddig, K. (2023). The Russia-Ukraine war: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses. Global Food Security, 36, 100675.
  • Adachi, D. (2023). Melodrama and War after Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine. Japanese Slavic and East European Studies, 43, 13-26.
  • Alcaro, R. (Ed.). (2015). West-Russia Relations in light of the Ukraine crisis (Vol. 18). Edizioni Nuova Cultura.
  • Audretsch, D. B., Momtaz, P. P., Motuzenko, H., & Vismara, S. (2023). War and Entrepreneurship: A Synthetic Control Study of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
  • Algarni, A. D. (2022). Ukraine in Russian Geopolitics. Rasanah. Retrieved, 12(17), 2022.
  • Al-Hasnawi, A. H. M. (2022). The Russian-Ukrainian war and its implications for international security: a geopolitical vision. Texas Journal of Multidisciplinary Studies, 9, 177-192.
  • Al-Saidi, M. (2023). White knight or partner of choice? The Ukraine war and the role of the Middle East in the energy security of Europe. Energy Strategy Reviews, 49, 101116.
  • Anghel, V., & Džankić, J. (2023). Wartime EU: consequences of the Russia–Ukraine war on the enlargement process. Journal of European Integration, 45(3), 487-501.
  • Bach, H., & Hansen, T. (2023). Flickering guiding light from the International Maritime Organisation’s policy mix. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, 47, 100720.
  • Baird, A. J. (2005) Maritime policy in Scotland. Maritime Policy & Management, 32(4), 383–401.
  • Balsalobre-Lorente, D., Sinha, A., & Murshed, M. (2023). Russia-Ukraine conflict sentiments and energy market returns in G7 countries: Discovering the unexplored dynamics. Energy Economics, 106847.
  • Bartoszewicz, M. G. (2023). Intermarium: A Bid for Polycentric Europe. Geopolitics, 28(2), 795–819.
  • Bekkers, E., & Góes, C. (2022). The impact of geopolitical conflicts on trade, growth, and innovation: An illustrative simulation study. Global Economic Consequences of the War in Ukraine Sanctions, Supply Chains and Sustainability.
  • Belaïd, F., Al-Sarihi, A., & Al-Mestneer, R. (2023). Balancing climate mitigation and energy security goals amid converging global energy crises: The role of green investments. Renewable Energy, 205, 534-542.
  • Ben Hassen, T., & El Bilali, H. (2022). Impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war on global food security: towards more sustainable and resilient food systems?. Foods, 11(15), 2301.
  • Bennett, D. J. (2022). US-Russia relations post-Cold War: Russia left out in the Cold? (Doctoral dissertation, Manchester Metropolitan University).
  • Bilenets, D., Ulianova, H., & Vozniakovska, K. (2022). Three Seas Initiative and Ukrainian Seaports’ Prospects amid Russian Aggression. Lex Portus, 8(5), 48–70.
  • Bossman, A., Gubareva, M., & Teplova, T. (2023). Asymmetric effects of geopolitical risk on major currencies: Russia-Ukraine tensions. Finance Research Letters, 51, 103440.
  • Brodny, J., & Tutak, M. (2023). Assessing the level of digital maturity in the Three Seas Initiative countries. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 190, 122462.
  • Chang-Liao, N. C. (2023). The limits of strategic partnerships: Implications for China’s role in the Russia-Ukraine war. Contemporary Security Policy, 44(2), 226-247.
  • Cui, L., Yue, S., Nghiem, X. H., & Duan, M. (2023). Exploring the risk and economic vulnerability of global energy supply chain interruption in the context of Russo-Ukrainian war. Resources Policy, 81, 103373.
  • da Silva, J. A. T., Koblianska, I., & Kucher, A. (2023). Historical overview of agricultural production in Ukraine (2018-2022): Background insight into the impact of the Russo-Ukrainian war on local, regional and global food security. Journal of Agricultural Sciences (Belgrade), 68(2).
  • Davis, P. K. (2023). Potential Implications of the Russia–Ukraine War for Northeast Asia. Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament, 1-11.
  • Demedziuk, S. (2017). The new dimension of war–the Ukraine conflict. Security and Defence Quarterly, 14(1), 91-109.
  • Demir, S. (2022). The 2022 Russia-Ukraine war: reasons and impacts. Bölgesel Araştırmalar Dergisi, 6(1), 13-40.
  • Dibb, P. (2014). The Geopolitical Implications of Russia's Invasion of the Ukraine, ANU College of Asia & the Pacific, June 2014, ISSN: 2208-7303.
  • Fasiku, A. M., & Adedayo, A. M. (2023). World Peace and Securıty in Turbulence Era: The Impact of Russia-Ukraine War on Peace, Security and Development in Nigeria. International Journal of Social Science and Humanities Research (ISSN 2811-2466), 6(04), 01-10.
  • Fennell, J. L. (2014). A History of the Russian Church to 1488. Routledge.
  • Fernandes, G., Teixeira, P., & Santos, T. A. (2023). The impact of the Ukraine conflict in internal and external grain transport costs. Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives, 19, 100803.
  • Freedman, L. (2023). Humanitarian Challenges of Great Power Conflict: Signs from Ukraine. Dædalus, 152(2), 40-51.
  • Gaur, A., Settles, A., & Väätänen, J. (2023). Do Economic Sanctions Work? Evidence from the Russia‐Ukraine Conflict. Journal of Management Studies.
  • Gravariti, M. (2023). The Dialogue Between the Deaf and the Dumb: The Geopolitics Behind Russia’s Annexation in Crimea.
  • Grgić, G. (2023). The Changing Dynamics of Regionalism in Central and Eastern Europe: The Case of the Three Seas Initiative. Geopolitics, 28(1), 216–238.
  • Hart, T. (2017). Beyond the River, under the Eye of Rome Ethnographic Landscapes, Imperial Frontiers, and the Shaping of a Danubian Borderland (Doctoral dissertation).
There are 34 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Regional Studies
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Sevgi Sezer 0000-0001-6958-3329

Publication Date January 31, 2024
Submission Date July 22, 2023
Acceptance Date November 23, 2023
Published in Issue Year 2024

Cite

APA Sezer, S. (2024). Rusya-Ukrayna Savaşı’nın jeopolitik sonuçları. Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 17(1), 158-180. https://doi.org/10.25287/ohuiibf.1331462
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