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TEST OF ‘TWIN DEFICIT HYPOTHESIS’ FOR TURKEY: AN ANALYSIS FOR 2001-2014 PERIOD

Year 2016, Volume: 9 Issue: 4, 211 - 228, 31.10.2016

Abstract

Budget deficit and current deficit issues are critical macro economic variables for most economies. Therefore, there has been a large number of academic work on this field. This study examines the causality relation between budget deficit, current deficit, exchange rate and interest rate in Turkey for 2001-2014 period. In empirical part of the work, we employ Toda Yamato causality test and we do not find any support for the twin deficit hypothesis. Our findings indicate that there is a unidirectional causality running from current deficit to budget deficit and a bi-directional causality between interest rate and budget deficit. We also find that there is a unidirectional causality running from exchange rate to budget deficit.

Year 2016, Volume: 9 Issue: 4, 211 - 228, 31.10.2016

Abstract

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Journal Section Articles
Authors

Ayşe Durgun

Dilek Göze Kaya This is me

Levent Kösekahyaoğlu

Publication Date October 31, 2016
Submission Date January 18, 2016
Published in Issue Year 2016 Volume: 9 Issue: 4

Cite

APA Durgun, A., Göze Kaya, D., & Kösekahyaoğlu, L. (2016). TEST OF ‘TWIN DEFICIT HYPOTHESIS’ FOR TURKEY: AN ANALYSIS FOR 2001-2014 PERIOD. Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 9(4), 211-228.

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Ömer Halisdemir Universitesi Iktisadi ve Idari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi (OHUIIBF) is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Pseudonymity License 4.0 international license.