Research Article
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Basketbolda Hücum ve Savunmalarda Yapılan Hataların İpuçları: İstatistiksel Bir Perspektif

Year 2026, Volume: 17 Issue: 1, 49 - 62, 19.03.2026
https://doi.org/10.17155/omuspd.1648152
https://izlik.org/JA96TF42PJ

Abstract

Bu araştırmanın amacı, 2022-23 sezonunda Türkiye Basketbol Gençler Ligi’nde (BGL) play-off ve final grubu maçlarında yapılan hataların kaynaklarını belirlemek ve sayı olan/olmayan hücumlarda müsabaka sonuçlarına etki eden performans parametrelerini tespit etmektir. Çalışmada, Türkiye Basketbol Federasyonu tarafından düzenlenen BGL’nin play-off ve final maçlarının analizleri yapılmıştır. Maç görüntüleri TBF’nin YouTube kanalından temin edilmiş, sayı olan ve olmayan hücum aksiyonları manuel kodlama yöntemiyle veri setlerine dönüştürülmüştür. Bulgular, sayı olmayan hücumlarda “rebound box-out” hatalarının, sayı olan hücumlarda ise yardım ve şut savunma hatalarının maç sonucunu etkilediğini göstermektedir. Her iki hücum türünde de top kaybı, galibiyeti belirleyen en kritik faktör olarak öne çıkmıştır. Deplasman ekiplerinin daha fazla şut savunma hatasıs yapması, savunma stratejilerindeki yetersizlikleri ve psikolojik baskıyı yansıtmaktadır. TBSL (Türkiye Basketbol Süper Ligi) ve BGL karşılaştırmasında, TBSL’de taktiksel hatalar baskınken; BGL’de fiziksel mücadele eksiklikleri ve temel savunma hataları dikkat çekmektedir. Sonuç olarak, genç oyuncuların temel savunma becerilerini geliştirmesi, TBSL’de ise takım organizasyonu ve oyuncu kalitesinin önemi vurgulanmaktadır. Elde edilen bulgular, antrenman programları ve stratejik planlamalar için önemli öneriler sunmaktadır.

Ethical Statement

“Araştırma için Sivas Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Araştırma ve Yayın Etiği Kurulu’ndan 17/01/2025 tarihli ve 37 karar sayısı ile etik kurul izni alınmıştır.”

References

  • Aglioti, S., Cesari, P., Romani, M., & Urgesi, C. (2008). Action anticipation and motor resonance in elite basketball players. Nat. Neurosci. 11, 1109–1116.
  • Almas, S. P. (2015). Analysis of game-related statistics which discriminate between winning and losing in Brazilian professional basketball. Revista Brasileira de Educação Física e Esporte, 29(4), 551–558.
  • Andrzejewski, M., Chmura, J., Pluta, B., & Kasprzak, A. (2012). Analysis of motor activities of professional soccer players. Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research, 26(6), 1481–1488. https://doi.org/10.1519/JSC.0b013e318231ab4c
  • Bishop, D. (2008). An applied research model for the sport sciences. Sports Medicine, 38(3), 253–263. 10.2165/00007256-200838030-00005
  • Bruce, L., Farrow, D., Raynor, A., & May, E. (2009). Notational analysis of skill expertise differences in netball. International Journal of Performance Analysis of Sport, 9, 245-254.
  • Causevic, D. (2015). Game Related Statıstıcs That Dıscrımınate Wınnıng and Losıng Teams From The World Champıonshıps In Spaın In 2014. Homosporticus, 17(2), 16–19.
  • Chao, Y., Zhang, K., & Zhang, M. (2024). Analyzing the impact of the home-away effect on game outcomes: Evidence from the Chinese Basketball Association. In Proceedings of the 2024 International Conference on Sports Technology and Performance Analysis (pp. 184–191). ACM. https://doi.org/10.1145/3723936.372396
  • Conte, D., Favero, T. G., Lupo, C., Francioni, F. M., Capranica, L., & Tessitore, A. (2015). Time-motion analysis of Italian elite women's basketball games: Individual and team analyses. Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research, 33(1), 247-254.
  • Csataljay, G., O’Donoghue, P., Hughes, M., & Dancs, H. (2009). Performance indicators that distinguish winning and losing teams in basketball. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 9(1), 60–66. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2009.11868464
  • Ertetik, G., Durmuş, T., Erdeveciler, Ö., & Ersöz, G. (2021). Basketbolun Değişen Oyun Yapısı: NBA ve EuroLeague Örnekleri. Avrasya Spor Bilimleri ve Eğitim Dergisi, 3(1), 81–95. https://doi.org/10.47778/ejsse.907049
  • Gómez-Ruano, M., Pollard, R., & Lago-Peñas, C. (2021). Home advantage in sport: Causes and the effect on performance. Routledge.
  • Gonçalves, B., Coutinho, D., Travassos, B., Folgado, H., Caixinha, P., & Sampaio, J. (2018). Speed synchronization, physical workload and match-to-match performance variation of elite football players. Plos One, 15(8), e0237216. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0200019
  • Hughes, M. D., & Bartlett, R. M. (2002). The use of performance indicators in performance analysis. Journal of Sports Sciences, 20(10), 739–754. https://doi.org/10.1080/026404102320675602
  • Hughes, M., & Franks, I. (2004). Notational analysis of sport: Systems for better coaching and performance in sport, Routledge.
  • Ibáñez, S. J., Sampaio, J., Feu, S., Lorenzo, A., Gómez, M. A., & Ortega, E. (2008). Basketball game‐related statistics that discriminate between teams’ season‐long success. European Journal of Sport Science, 8(6), 369–372. https://doi.org/10.1080/17461390802261470
  • Karipidis, A. , Fotinakis. P., Taksildaris, K., & Fatouros, J., (2001). Factors characterizing a successful performance in basketball. Journal of Human Movement Studies, 41(5), 385–397.
  • Konca, E. (2022). Basketbolda maç analizi yeni yaklaşımlar, Ankara: Gazi Kitapevi.
  • Lorains, M., Ball, K., & MacMahon, C. (2013). Performance analysis for decision making in team sports. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 13(1), 110–119. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2013.11868635
  • Lorenzo, A., Gómez, M. Á., Ortega, E., Ibáñez, S. J., & Sampaio, J. (2010). Game related statistics which discriminate between winning and losing under-16 male basketball games. Journal of Sports Science & Medicine, 9(4), 664–668.
  • Madarame, H. (2017). Game-related statistics which discriminate between winning and losing teams in asian and european men’s basketball championships. Asian Journal of Sports Medicine, In Press(In Press). https://doi.org/10.5812/asjsm.42727
  • O'Donoghue, P. (2014). An Introduction to performance analysis of sport (1st ed.). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315816340
  • Özkan, R., Akar, Ö. O., Uzun, R. N., İmamoğlu, O., Kımıl, K., & Yılmaz, N. H. (2026). An examination of the effects of athletes’ social media addiction and sports burnout levels on their emotional commitment to their teams. International Journal of Disabilities Sports and Health Sciences, 9(1), 11–23.
  • Özkan, R., Yılmaz, C., Uzun, R. N., Bayrakdaroğlu, S., Akar, Ö. O., Öz, F., Çiçekli, A., et al. (2026). Effects of wrestling training on psychological well-being, anxiety, and resilience in adolescent boys. BMC Psychology, 14, 239. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40359-026-03962-3
  • Passos, P., Araújo, D., & Volossovitch, A. (2013). Performance analysis in team sports. Routledge.
  • Paulauskas, R., Masiulis, N., Vaquera, A., Figueira, B., & Sampaio, J. (2018). Basketball game-related statistics that discriminate between European players competing in the NBA and in the Euroleague. Journal of Human Kinetics, 65(1), 225–233. https://doi.org/10.2478/hukin-2018-0049
  • Sampaio, J., & Janeira, M. (2003). Statistical analyses of basketball team performance: understanding teams’ wins and losses according to a different index of ball possessions. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 3(1), 40–49. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2003.11868273
  • Sampaio, J., Godoy, S. I., & Feu, S. (2004). Discriminative Power of Basketball Game-Related Statistics by Level of Competition and Sex. Perceptual and Motor Skills, 99(3), 1231–1238. https://doi.org/10.2466/pms.99.3f.1231-1238
  • Sampaio, J., Janeira, M., Ibáñez, S., & Lorenzo, A. (2006). Discriminant analysis of game‐related statistics between basketball guards, forwards and centres in three professional leagues. European Journal of Sport Science, 6(3), 173–178. https://doi.org/10.1080/17461390600676200
  • Sampaio, J., McGarry, T., Calleja-González, J., Jiménez Sáiz, S., Schellingi del Alcázar, X., & Balciunas, M. (2015). Exploring game performance in the national basketball association using player tracking data. Plos One 10:e0132894. 10.1371/journal.pone.0132894
  • Schnell, A., Mayer, J., Diehl, K., Zipfel, S., & Thiel, A. (2020). Giving everything for athletic success! – Sports-specific risk factors for eating disorders in elite athletes. Journal of Sports Sciences, 38(17), 1987–1994. DOI: 10.1016/j.psychsport.2013.10.012
  • Sporiš, G., Šango, J., Vučetić, V., & Mašina, T. (2006). The latent structure of standard game efficiency indicators in basketball. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 6(1), 120–129. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2006.11868360
  • Štrumbelj, E., & Vračar, P. (2012). Simulating a basketball match with a homogeneous Markov model and forecasting the outcome. International Journal of Forecasting, 28(2), 532–542. 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2011.01.004
  • Şentuna, M. (2018). Türkiye Erkekler Basketbol Süper Liginde 2014-2017 yılları arasında oynanan play off maçlarındaki bazı değişkenlerin kazanma ve kaybetmeye olan etkilerinin incelenmesi. Ankara Üniversitesi Beden Eğitimi ve Spor Yüksekokulu SPORMETRE Beden Eğitimi ve Spor Bilimleri Dergisi, 16(2), 219–224. https://doi.org/10.1501/Sporm_0000000367
  • Teramoto, M., & Cross, C. L. (2010). Relative ımportance of performance factors in winning nba games in regular season versus playoffs. Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 6(3). https://doi.org/10.2202/1559-0410.1260
  • Türkiye Basketbol Federasyonu. (2023). Eğitim kurulu talimatı. https://www.tbf.org.tr/egitim-kurulu/talimat Uzun, R. N., Yamak, B., Erail, S., & Orhan-Akar, Ö. (2025). An investigation of media usage purposes and social media addiction levels of faculty of sport sciences students. Journal of ROL Sport Sciences, 6(2), 300–313. https://doi.org/10.70736/jrolss.1759
  • Yanar, Ş. (2017). Basketbolda hızlı hücumun müsabaka üzerine etkisi ve bu etkide savunma ribaundu ve top çalma tekniklerinin aracılık rolü [Doktora tezi, Muğla Sıtkı Koçman Üniversitesi], Sağlık Bilimleri Enstitüsü, Muğla.
  • Ziv, G., Lidor, R., & Arnon, M. (2010). Predicting team rankings in basketball: The questionable use of on-court performance statistics. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 10(2), 103–114. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2010.11868506

Clues to Offensive and Defensive Errors in Basketball: A Statistical Perspective

Year 2026, Volume: 17 Issue: 1, 49 - 62, 19.03.2026
https://doi.org/10.17155/omuspd.1648152
https://izlik.org/JA96TF42PJ

Abstract

This study aimed to identify the sources of errors made during play-off and final round games in the 2022–23 season of the Turkish Basketball Youth League (BGL) and to determine key performance parameters influencing game outcomes in both scoring and non-scoring offensive possessions. Match footage from the Turkish Basketball Federation’s official YouTube channel was analyzed, and offensive actions were manually coded to form datasets. Results showed that rebound box-out errors were decisive in non-scoring possessions, while help defense and shot defense mistakes were influential in scoring ones. Turnovers emerged as the most critical factor affecting success in both offensive types. Away teams committed more shot defense errors, indicating defensive strategy weaknesses and psychological pressure. A comparison between TBSL(Turkish Basketball Super League) and BGL revealed that tactical mistakes were more evident in the TBSL, whereas physical struggles and basic defensive errors were more common in the BGL. It is concluded that young players should focus on improving fundamental defensive skills and team defense, while team structure and player quality are crucial at the TBSL level. These insights can guide training programs and strategic planning for basketball development.

Ethical Statement

“Ethical approval for this study was obtained from the Research and Publication Ethics Committee of the Faculty of Social Sciences at Sivas Cumhuriyet University on January 17, 2025, under Decision No. 37.”

References

  • Aglioti, S., Cesari, P., Romani, M., & Urgesi, C. (2008). Action anticipation and motor resonance in elite basketball players. Nat. Neurosci. 11, 1109–1116.
  • Almas, S. P. (2015). Analysis of game-related statistics which discriminate between winning and losing in Brazilian professional basketball. Revista Brasileira de Educação Física e Esporte, 29(4), 551–558.
  • Andrzejewski, M., Chmura, J., Pluta, B., & Kasprzak, A. (2012). Analysis of motor activities of professional soccer players. Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research, 26(6), 1481–1488. https://doi.org/10.1519/JSC.0b013e318231ab4c
  • Bishop, D. (2008). An applied research model for the sport sciences. Sports Medicine, 38(3), 253–263. 10.2165/00007256-200838030-00005
  • Bruce, L., Farrow, D., Raynor, A., & May, E. (2009). Notational analysis of skill expertise differences in netball. International Journal of Performance Analysis of Sport, 9, 245-254.
  • Causevic, D. (2015). Game Related Statıstıcs That Dıscrımınate Wınnıng and Losıng Teams From The World Champıonshıps In Spaın In 2014. Homosporticus, 17(2), 16–19.
  • Chao, Y., Zhang, K., & Zhang, M. (2024). Analyzing the impact of the home-away effect on game outcomes: Evidence from the Chinese Basketball Association. In Proceedings of the 2024 International Conference on Sports Technology and Performance Analysis (pp. 184–191). ACM. https://doi.org/10.1145/3723936.372396
  • Conte, D., Favero, T. G., Lupo, C., Francioni, F. M., Capranica, L., & Tessitore, A. (2015). Time-motion analysis of Italian elite women's basketball games: Individual and team analyses. Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research, 33(1), 247-254.
  • Csataljay, G., O’Donoghue, P., Hughes, M., & Dancs, H. (2009). Performance indicators that distinguish winning and losing teams in basketball. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 9(1), 60–66. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2009.11868464
  • Ertetik, G., Durmuş, T., Erdeveciler, Ö., & Ersöz, G. (2021). Basketbolun Değişen Oyun Yapısı: NBA ve EuroLeague Örnekleri. Avrasya Spor Bilimleri ve Eğitim Dergisi, 3(1), 81–95. https://doi.org/10.47778/ejsse.907049
  • Gómez-Ruano, M., Pollard, R., & Lago-Peñas, C. (2021). Home advantage in sport: Causes and the effect on performance. Routledge.
  • Gonçalves, B., Coutinho, D., Travassos, B., Folgado, H., Caixinha, P., & Sampaio, J. (2018). Speed synchronization, physical workload and match-to-match performance variation of elite football players. Plos One, 15(8), e0237216. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0200019
  • Hughes, M. D., & Bartlett, R. M. (2002). The use of performance indicators in performance analysis. Journal of Sports Sciences, 20(10), 739–754. https://doi.org/10.1080/026404102320675602
  • Hughes, M., & Franks, I. (2004). Notational analysis of sport: Systems for better coaching and performance in sport, Routledge.
  • Ibáñez, S. J., Sampaio, J., Feu, S., Lorenzo, A., Gómez, M. A., & Ortega, E. (2008). Basketball game‐related statistics that discriminate between teams’ season‐long success. European Journal of Sport Science, 8(6), 369–372. https://doi.org/10.1080/17461390802261470
  • Karipidis, A. , Fotinakis. P., Taksildaris, K., & Fatouros, J., (2001). Factors characterizing a successful performance in basketball. Journal of Human Movement Studies, 41(5), 385–397.
  • Konca, E. (2022). Basketbolda maç analizi yeni yaklaşımlar, Ankara: Gazi Kitapevi.
  • Lorains, M., Ball, K., & MacMahon, C. (2013). Performance analysis for decision making in team sports. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 13(1), 110–119. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2013.11868635
  • Lorenzo, A., Gómez, M. Á., Ortega, E., Ibáñez, S. J., & Sampaio, J. (2010). Game related statistics which discriminate between winning and losing under-16 male basketball games. Journal of Sports Science & Medicine, 9(4), 664–668.
  • Madarame, H. (2017). Game-related statistics which discriminate between winning and losing teams in asian and european men’s basketball championships. Asian Journal of Sports Medicine, In Press(In Press). https://doi.org/10.5812/asjsm.42727
  • O'Donoghue, P. (2014). An Introduction to performance analysis of sport (1st ed.). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315816340
  • Özkan, R., Akar, Ö. O., Uzun, R. N., İmamoğlu, O., Kımıl, K., & Yılmaz, N. H. (2026). An examination of the effects of athletes’ social media addiction and sports burnout levels on their emotional commitment to their teams. International Journal of Disabilities Sports and Health Sciences, 9(1), 11–23.
  • Özkan, R., Yılmaz, C., Uzun, R. N., Bayrakdaroğlu, S., Akar, Ö. O., Öz, F., Çiçekli, A., et al. (2026). Effects of wrestling training on psychological well-being, anxiety, and resilience in adolescent boys. BMC Psychology, 14, 239. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40359-026-03962-3
  • Passos, P., Araújo, D., & Volossovitch, A. (2013). Performance analysis in team sports. Routledge.
  • Paulauskas, R., Masiulis, N., Vaquera, A., Figueira, B., & Sampaio, J. (2018). Basketball game-related statistics that discriminate between European players competing in the NBA and in the Euroleague. Journal of Human Kinetics, 65(1), 225–233. https://doi.org/10.2478/hukin-2018-0049
  • Sampaio, J., & Janeira, M. (2003). Statistical analyses of basketball team performance: understanding teams’ wins and losses according to a different index of ball possessions. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 3(1), 40–49. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2003.11868273
  • Sampaio, J., Godoy, S. I., & Feu, S. (2004). Discriminative Power of Basketball Game-Related Statistics by Level of Competition and Sex. Perceptual and Motor Skills, 99(3), 1231–1238. https://doi.org/10.2466/pms.99.3f.1231-1238
  • Sampaio, J., Janeira, M., Ibáñez, S., & Lorenzo, A. (2006). Discriminant analysis of game‐related statistics between basketball guards, forwards and centres in three professional leagues. European Journal of Sport Science, 6(3), 173–178. https://doi.org/10.1080/17461390600676200
  • Sampaio, J., McGarry, T., Calleja-González, J., Jiménez Sáiz, S., Schellingi del Alcázar, X., & Balciunas, M. (2015). Exploring game performance in the national basketball association using player tracking data. Plos One 10:e0132894. 10.1371/journal.pone.0132894
  • Schnell, A., Mayer, J., Diehl, K., Zipfel, S., & Thiel, A. (2020). Giving everything for athletic success! – Sports-specific risk factors for eating disorders in elite athletes. Journal of Sports Sciences, 38(17), 1987–1994. DOI: 10.1016/j.psychsport.2013.10.012
  • Sporiš, G., Šango, J., Vučetić, V., & Mašina, T. (2006). The latent structure of standard game efficiency indicators in basketball. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 6(1), 120–129. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2006.11868360
  • Štrumbelj, E., & Vračar, P. (2012). Simulating a basketball match with a homogeneous Markov model and forecasting the outcome. International Journal of Forecasting, 28(2), 532–542. 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2011.01.004
  • Şentuna, M. (2018). Türkiye Erkekler Basketbol Süper Liginde 2014-2017 yılları arasında oynanan play off maçlarındaki bazı değişkenlerin kazanma ve kaybetmeye olan etkilerinin incelenmesi. Ankara Üniversitesi Beden Eğitimi ve Spor Yüksekokulu SPORMETRE Beden Eğitimi ve Spor Bilimleri Dergisi, 16(2), 219–224. https://doi.org/10.1501/Sporm_0000000367
  • Teramoto, M., & Cross, C. L. (2010). Relative ımportance of performance factors in winning nba games in regular season versus playoffs. Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 6(3). https://doi.org/10.2202/1559-0410.1260
  • Türkiye Basketbol Federasyonu. (2023). Eğitim kurulu talimatı. https://www.tbf.org.tr/egitim-kurulu/talimat Uzun, R. N., Yamak, B., Erail, S., & Orhan-Akar, Ö. (2025). An investigation of media usage purposes and social media addiction levels of faculty of sport sciences students. Journal of ROL Sport Sciences, 6(2), 300–313. https://doi.org/10.70736/jrolss.1759
  • Yanar, Ş. (2017). Basketbolda hızlı hücumun müsabaka üzerine etkisi ve bu etkide savunma ribaundu ve top çalma tekniklerinin aracılık rolü [Doktora tezi, Muğla Sıtkı Koçman Üniversitesi], Sağlık Bilimleri Enstitüsü, Muğla.
  • Ziv, G., Lidor, R., & Arnon, M. (2010). Predicting team rankings in basketball: The questionable use of on-court performance statistics. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 10(2), 103–114. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2010.11868506
There are 37 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Sports Training
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Erkan Konca 0000-0002-5231-260X

Submission Date February 27, 2025
Acceptance Date August 12, 2025
Publication Date March 19, 2026
DOI https://doi.org/10.17155/omuspd.1648152
IZ https://izlik.org/JA96TF42PJ
Published in Issue Year 2026 Volume: 17 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Konca, E. (2026). Basketbolda Hücum ve Savunmalarda Yapılan Hataların İpuçları: İstatistiksel Bir Perspektif. Spor Ve Performans Araştırmaları Dergisi, 17(1), 49-62. https://doi.org/10.17155/omuspd.1648152