Brexit: An Emerging Trade Opportunity in MENA

Year 2021, , 337 - 361, 12.11.2021

Recep Yorulmaz , Savaş Kaptan

https://doi.org/10.47932/ortetut.931631

Abstract

Following the UK’s exit from the EU, many countries–both in the union and outside–have started to gauge its possible impacts on their economies. Simply, the EU countries will be affected negatively since they will be required to do some extra paperwork to be able to import from or export to the UK from now on. On the other hand, non-EU countries have a chance to expand their export to the Kingdom that is looking for improving its trade relations with the countries outside the union. From this point of view, our aim in this study is to investigate how the Middle Eastern and North African countries could benefit from this transition. We have made a sectoral analysis covering these countries to find out which sectors are advantageous in exporting to the Kingdom after the Brexit. It is found that along with the Brexit, automotive sectors in Turkey, Morocco and Tunisia could enhance its export to the Kingdom. For the textile sector, businesses in Turkey, Morocco, Tunisia, and Egypt are likely to increase their exports. In the region, another critical industry is electrical machinery and its equipment in which Turkey, Egypt, Morocco, Israel, and UAE have an export potential. When we evaluate all the countries in the region, Turkey seems to have the highest export potential to the UK after the Brexit.

Keywords

Brexit, MENA, Turkey, Export, Trade

Brexit: OKA Bölgesi İçin Yeni Bir Ticaret Fırsatı

Abstract

Birleşik Krallığın Avrupa Birliğinden ayrılmasıyla birlikte hem birlik ülkeleri hem de diğer birçok ülke bunun kendi ekonomileri üzerine etkisini hesaplamaya başladılar. AB ülkeleri İngiltere ile ticaret yapabilmek için artık fazladan bürokratik işlemlere maruz kalacaklarından dolayı bu süreçten negatif etkilenecekler. Ancak, birlik üyesi olmayan ülkeler tam tersi Birleşik Krallıkla ticaret hacimlerini artıracaklar ve bu durumdan faydalanma şansına sahip olacaklar. Bu bakış açısıyla, çalışmamızda Orta Doğu ve Kuzey Afrika ülkelerinin bu süreçten ne kadar fayda sağlayacaklarını irdelemekteyiz. Bu doğrultuda, Orta Doğu ve Kuzey Afrika ülkelerinde sektörlerin tek tek ihracat potansiyelleri analiz edilmektedir. Bulunan sonuçlara göre; Brexit sonrası Türkiye, Fas ve Tunus’un otomotiv sektörlerinin Birleşik Krallığa ihracatını artırması mümkün gözükmektedir. Tekstil sektöründe ise Türkiye, Fas, Tunus ve Mısır’ın ihracatını artırma potansiyeli olduğu görülmektedir. 3. olarak ihracat potansiyeli bakımından bölgenin diğer önemli sanayisi, elektrikli makinalar ve bunların parçalarını üreten sektör olarak karşıma çıkmaktadır. Bu alanda da Türkiye, Mısır, Fas, İsrail ve BAE’nin öne çıktığı görülmektedir. Bölgenin tüm ülkelerini değerlendirdiğimizde Türkiye’nin Birleşik Krallığa ihracat potansiyeli bakımından oldukça önde olduğu görülmektedir.

Keywords

Brexit, OKA, Türkiye, İhracat, Ticaret

خروج بريطانيا من الاتحاد الأوروبي: فرصة تجارية جديدة لمنطقة أوكا

Abstract

بعد خروج المملكة المتحدة من الاتحاد الأوروبي ، بدأت العديد من الدول - سواء في الاتحاد أو في الخارج - في قياس آثارها المحتملة على اقتصاداتها. ببساطة ، ستتأثر دول الاتحاد الأوروبي سلبًا حيث سيُطلب منها القيام ببعض الأعمال الورقية الإضافية لتكون قادرة على الاستيراد من المملكة المتحدة أو التصدير إليها من الآن فصاعدًا. من ناحية أخرى ، فإن الدول غير الأعضاء في الاتحاد الأوروبي لديها فرصة لتوسيع صادراتها إلى المملكة التي تبحث عن تحسين علاقاتها التجارية مع الدول خارج الاتحاد. من وجهة النظر هذه ، هدفنا في هذه الدراسة هو التحقيق في كيفية استفادة دول الشرق الأوسط وشمال إفريقيا من هذا التحول. لقد أجرينا تحليلًا قطاعيًا يغطي هذه البلدان لمعرفة القطاعات المفيدة في التصدير إلى المملكة بعد خروج بريطانيا من الاتحاد الأوروبي. وجد أنه إلى جانب خروج بريطانيا من الاتحاد الأوروبي ، يمكن لقطاعات السيارات في تركيا والمغرب وتونس تعزيز صادراتها إلى المملكة. بالنسبة لقطاع النسيج ، من المرجح أن تزيد الشركات في تركيا والمغرب وتونس ومصر من صادراتها. في المنطقة ، هناك صناعة أخرى مهمة وهي الآلات الكهربائية ومعداتها التي تمتلك فيها تركيا ومصر والمغرب وإسرائيل والإمارات العربية المتحدة إمكانات تصدير. عندما نقوم بتقييم جميع البلدان في المنطقة ، يبدو أن تركيا لديها أعلى إمكانات تصدير إلى المملكة المتحدة بعد خروج بريطانيا من الاتحاد الأوروبي.

Keywords

تجارة, تصدير, تركيا, أوكا, خروج بريطانيا من الاتحاد الأوروبي

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