COVİD-19 PANDEMİSİNİN ENDÜSTRİYEL ÜRETİM ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ: AVRUPA BİRLİĞİ’NE ÜYE VE ADAY ÜLKELER ÜZERİNE BİR ARAŞTIRMA

Abstract

Covid-19 pandemisi, kısa bir süre içerisinde tüm Dünya ekonomileri üzerinde derin bir tahribata yol açmış ve bunun sonucunda ülkelerde resesyon eğilimleri baş göstermiştir. Öyle ki Dünya ekonomisi 2020 yılında yaklaşık olarak %3.6 oranında daralmıştır. Krizin etkilerinin daha yoğun hissedildiği 2020 yılının ikinci çeyreğinde Avrupa Birliği genelinde ekonomi %11.3, Ekonomik İşbirliği ve Kalkınma Teşkilatı (OECD) genelinde ise %10.5 oranında küçülme kaydetmiştir. Krizin endüstriyel üretim üzerindeki etkisi de benzer olmuştur. 2020 yılının ilk çeyreğinde Dünya imalat çıktısı %6, ikinci çeyreğinde %11.2 oranında azalmıştır. Avrupa’da bu azalma %19, yükselen piyasa ekonomilerinde ise yaklaşık %23 düzeylerine kadar çıkmıştır. Bu çalışmada Covid-19 pandemisinin Avrupa Birliği’ne üye ülkeler ile birliğe aday ülkelerin endüstriyel üretimleri üzerindeki etkisi 2020 yılının Mart ayı ile 2021 yılının Aralık dönemini kapsayacak şekilde panel veri yöntemleri kullanılarak analiz edilmiştir. Bulgular, ilgili ülkelerde hem Covid-19 vaka sayılarındaki hem de Covid-19 kaynaklı vefat sayılarındaki artışın endüstriyel üretimi azalttığını göstermiştir.

Keywords

• Covid-19 Salgını
• Endüstriyel Üretim
• Panel Veri

THE EFFECT OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC ON INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION: AN INVESTIGATION ON MEMBER AND CANDIDATE COUNTRIES OF THE EUROPEAN UNION

Abstract

The Covid-19 pandemic in a short time has brought a deep destruction on all the world's economies, and therefore, recession tendencies appeared in the countries. In fact, the world economy contracted by nearly 3.6% in 2020. The impact of the crisis on industrial production was similar. In the second quarter of 2020, when the effects of the crisis were felt more intensely, the economy shrank by 11.3% across the European Union and by 10.5% across the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). World manufacturing output decreased by 6% in the first quarter of 2020 and by 11.2% in the second quarter. This decrease reached 19% in Europe and 23% in emerging market economies. In this study, the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic on the industrial production of the European Union member countries and candidate countries was analyzed using panel data methods, covering the period between March 2020 and December 2021. The findings revealed that the increase in both the number of Covid-19 cases and the number of deaths from Covid-19 in the relevant countries decreased industrial production.

Keywords

• Covid-19 Pandemic
• Industrial Production
• Panel Data.

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