FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA

Ebrucan İslamoğlu; Nuri Özgür Doğan

doi:10.30794/pausbed.679682

FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA

Abstract

As international tourism demand continually grows, the importance and magnitude of the tourism sector for the economy of the countries increases. Based on the tourism demand, countries want to be prepared and they need to know the future demand. However, it is not always possible to have the knowledge of the actual demand and one can only make forecasts in such cases. This paper deals with forecasting international tourism demand specifically focusing on the Spanish tourist arrivals in Cappadocia region of Turkey. In accordance with this aim, eight forecasting models are used. The results of the analysis for each model is attained and the forecasting accuracy examined. It is seen that Artificial Neural Networks and the Multiple Regression Model outperforms other models. Finally, administrative inferences, confines of the study and instructions for hereafter researches are given in this paper.

Keywords

Spanish Tourist Arrivals,Artificial Neural Networks,Tourism Demand Forecasting,Cappadocia,Multiple Regression

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Details

Primary Language

Turkish

Subjects

Tourism (Other)

Journal Section

Research Article

Authors

Ebrucan İslamoğlu ^*
0000-0002-8297-7370
Türkiye

Nuri Özgür Doğan
0000-0002-7892-1550
Türkiye

Publication Date

June 29, 2020

Submission Date

January 24, 2020

Acceptance Date

April 30, 2020

Published in Issue

Year 2020 Number: 40

DOI

https://doi.org/10.30794/pausbed.679682

IZ

https://izlik.org/JA35XT98HA

Cite

RIS / Bibtex

APA

İslamoğlu, E., & Doğan, N. Ö. (2020). FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA. Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 40, 189-208. https://doi.org/10.30794/pausbed.679682

AMA

1.İslamoğlu E, Doğan NÖ. FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA. PAUSBED. 2020;(40):189-208. doi:10.30794/pausbed.679682

Chicago

İslamoğlu, Ebrucan, and Nuri Özgür Doğan. 2020. “FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA”. Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, nos. 40: 189-208. https://doi.org/10.30794/pausbed.679682.

EndNote

İslamoğlu E, Doğan NÖ (June 1, 2020) FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA. Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi 40 189–208.

IEEE

[1]E. İslamoğlu and N. Ö. Doğan, “FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA”, PAUSBED, no. 40, pp. 189–208, June 2020, doi: 10.30794/pausbed.679682.

ISNAD

İslamoğlu, Ebrucan - Doğan, Nuri Özgür. “FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA”. Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi. 40 (June 1, 2020): 189-208. https://doi.org/10.30794/pausbed.679682.

JAMA

1.İslamoğlu E, Doğan NÖ. FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA. PAUSBED. 2020;:189–208.

MLA

İslamoğlu, Ebrucan, and Nuri Özgür Doğan. “FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA”. Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, no. 40, June 2020, pp. 189-08, doi:10.30794/pausbed.679682.

Vancouver

1.Ebrucan İslamoğlu, Nuri Özgür Doğan. FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA. PAUSBED. 2020 Jun. 1;(40):189-208. doi:10.30794/pausbed.679682

FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA

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