Are Civil Liberties Necessary for High Technology? An Applied Analysis with Panel Cointegration Tests

Abstract

This study provides an econometric analysis of the relationship between civil liberties and high-tech exports. It uses 13 years of data (2010-2022) for 103 countries. In the first plan, the arguments on the relationship between civil liberties and democracy and issues such as economic performance, technological development, and R&D investments are discussed, and the results of the studies in the literature are mentioned. The structure and sources of the data and variables are then highlighted. For civil liberties, the civil liberties index (CVL), which is calculated annually by the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) and is one of the sub-indices of the “Democracy Index,” was used. The high technology exports variable (HTEX) consists of the share of high technology exports in all manufacturing exports. In addition, the income per capita (GDPER) variable is used as a control variable in the study. Pedroni and Westerlund cointegration tests were used to test the null hypothesis “There is no relationship between civil liberties and high technology exports.” As a result of the analyses, it was found that there is a long-run relationship between civil liberties and high technology exports. According to the DOLS and FMOLS test results, a one-point increase in CVL increases HTEX by 0.92 and 1.02 points, respectively. In other words, it is concluded that the level of civil liberties in a country increases the export of high-tech products.

Keywords

• Civil Liberties
• High Technology Exports
• Panel Cointegration Tests

Yüksek Teknoloji İçin Sivil Özgürlükler Gerekli midir? Panel Eşbütünleşme Testleri ile Uygulamalı Bir Analiz

Abstract

Çalışmada sivil özgürlükler ile yüksek teknoloji ihracatı arasındaki ilişki ekonometrik açıdan incelenmiştir. Bunun için 103 ülkeye ait 13 yıllık veri (2010-2022) kullanılmıştır. İlk planda, sivil özgürlükler ve demokrasi ile ekonomik performans, teknolojik gelişme ve AR-GE yatırımları gibi konular arasındaki ilişkiye dair ortaya atılan savlar tartışılmış ve literatürde yapılan çalışmaların sonuçlarına değinilmiştir. Ardından verilerin ve değişkenlerin yapısı ile kaynakları üzerinde durulmuştur. Sivil özgürlükler için, Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) tarafından yıllık olarak hesaplanan ve “Demokrasi Endeksinin” alt endekslerinden birisi olan sivil özgürlük endeksi (CVL) kullanılmıştır. Yüksek teknoloji ihracatı değişkeni (HTEX) ise tüm üretim ihracatı içerisinde yüksek teknoloji ihracatının payından oluşmaktadır. Ayrıca çalışmada kontrol değişkeni olarak kişi başına gelir (GDPER) değişkeni kullanılmıştır. “Sivil özgürlükler ve yüksek teknoloji ihracatı arasında ilişki yoktur” sıfır hipotezini test etmek için Pedroni ve Westerlund eşbütünleşme testleri kullanılmıştır. Yapılan analiz sonucunda, sivil özgürlükler ile yüksek teknoloji ihracatı arasında uzun dönemli ilişkinin varlığına rastlanılmıştır. DOLS ve FMOLS testi sonuçlarına göre CVL’de meydana gelen 1 puanlık artış, HTEX’i sırasıyla 0,92 ve 1,02 puan artırmaktadır. Yani nihai olarak bir ülkedeki sivil özgürlük düzeyinin yüksek teknolojili ürünlerin ihracatını artırdığı sonucuna ulaşılmıştır.

Keywords

• Sivil Özgürlükler
• Yüksek Teknoloji İhracatı
• Panel Eşbütünleşme Testleri

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