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ORTAK ÇIKARLARA DAYALI BİR İTTİFAK: SURİYE İÇ SAVAŞI DÖNEMİNDE RUS-İRAN İLİŞKİLERİ

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 9 Sayı: 1, 1 - 13, 31.03.2023

Öz

NATO'nun doğuya doğru genişlemesi veya Orta Asya, Kafkasya veya Orta Doğu'daki krizlerde ABD'nin ve müttefiklerinin etkisinin artması hem Rusya hem de İran tarafından ulusal güvenliklerine tehdit olarak görülmektedir. Buna ilaveten Otoriter rejimlere ve onların uzun yıllardır devam eden politikalarına karşı bir tepki olarak başlayan Arap Baharı, Rusya ve İran açısından riskleri ve fırsatları da beraberinde getirmiştir. Bu kapsamda bu makale, halk hareketlerinin bir iç savaşa dönüştüğü ve bölgesel ve küresel birçok aktörü içine çeken bir sorun olan Suriye iç savaşını ele almaktadır. Suriye Krizi'nin başından itibaren konumları örtüşen Rusya ve İran arasındaki stratejik ortaklığın kurucu özellikleri iki ülke arasında öne çıkan ittifak ilişkisi Suriye iç savaşı bağlamında analiz edilmektedir. Her iki ülkenin de Suriye'de farklı hedefleri, gerçek ideolojik farklılıkları, İsrail'e ve enerji tedarikçileri olarak potansiyel rakiplerine karşı farklı politikaları var, bu nedenle Rusya-İran ilişkilerini Suriye Krizi çerçevesinde tipik bir stratejik ortaklık kurduklarını belirtmek zordur. Bu çerçevede mevcut çalışma Tahran ve Moskova yönetimleri arasında içsel ve dışsal faktörlerin zorlamasıyla Suriye sahasında işbirliği yapıldığı ve bunun da her iki aktörü başat düşmanları rakipleri karşısında daha korunaklı ve avantajlı hale getirdiği sonucuna varılmaktadır.

Kaynakça

  • Allison, R. (2017). Russia and the post-2014 international legal order: revisionism and realpolitik. International affairs, 93(3), 519-543.‏ https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iix061
  • Asisian, N. (2013). Russia & Iran: strategic alliance or marriage of convenience. Small Wars Journal, 23(3).‏ Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Njdeh-Asisian/publication/281903441_Russia_Iran_Strategic_Alliance_or_Marriage_of_Convenience/links/55fd892108aeba1d9f5cc8a0/Russia-Iran-Strategic-Alliance-or-Marriage-of-Convenience.pdf
  • Bassam, L., & Perry, T. (2015, October 06). How Iranian general plotted out Syrian assault in Moscow. Reuters. Retrieved from https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-soleimani-insigh-idUSKCN0S02BV20151006
  • Behravesh, M., & Cafiero, G. (2019). Can Russian-Iranian alignment in Syria last?.‏ Access date: 25/11/2022, https://www.mei.edu/publications/can-russian-iranian-alignment-syria-last.
  • Cengiz, S. (2020). Assessing the Astana peace process for Syria: Actors, approaches, and differences. Contemporary Review of the Middle East, 7(2), 1-15.‏https://doi.org/10.1177/2347798920901876
  • Crosston, M. D. (2014). Cold War and Ayatollah residues: Syria as a chessboard for Russia, Iran, and the United States. Strategic Studies Quarterly, 8(4), 1-18.‏ Retrieved from https://www.airuniversity.af.edu/Portals/10/SSQ/documents/Volume-08_Issue-4/Crosston.pdf
  • Dyomkin, D., & Al-Khalidi, S. (2016, March 14). Putin says Russians to start withdrawing from Syria, as peace talks resume. Reuters. Retrieved from https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-russia-pullout-idUSKCN0WG23C.
  • Erlich, R. (2014). Inside Syria. New York: Prometheus Books.‏ Goodarzi, Jubin. Iran and Syria at the Crossroads: The Fall of the Tehran-Damascus Axis?. Retrieved from https://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/media/documents/publication/iran_syria_crossroads_fall_tehran_damascus_axis.pdf
  • Hatahet, S. (2019). Russia and Iran: Economic Influence in Syria. London, UK: Chatham House.‏
  • Jones, S. (2019). Russia’s Battlefield Success in Syria: Will It Be a Pyrrhic Victory?. CTC Sentinel, 12(9), 1-9. Retrieved from ‏ https://ctc.westpoint.edu/russias-battlefield-success-syria-will-pyrrhic-victory/
  • Kalaycı, R. (2021). Bir Başarı Hikayesinden Askeri Çatışmaya Türkiye Suriye İlişkileri: 2001-2021 Arası Dönemin Analizi. Ed. Rıdvan Kalaycı and İsmail Akdoğan. 21. Yüzyılda Türkiye’nin Ortadoğu Ülkeleri ve Büyük Güçlerle İlişkileri. (463-484), Ankara: Orion Kitapevi.
  • Kalayci, R. (2019). Agent-Structure Relations in Foreign Policy: an Analysis of Turkey-Syria Relations During the Arab Spring on a Dynamic Foreign Policy Analysis Model. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 21(2), 533-553.‏ https://doi.org/10.16953/deusosbil.449199
  • Khatib, L., & Sinjab, L. (2018). Syria’s Transactional State. London, UK: Chatham House.
  • Kofman, M. (2017). Russian Spetsnaz: Learning from Experience. Access date: 15/12/2022, https://www.thecipherbrief.com/russian-spetsnaz-learning-from-experience
  • Kozak, C. (2017). Iran’s Assad regime. Access date: 8/12/2022, https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/irans-assad-regime ‏
  • Krickovic, A., & Weber, Y. (2018). Commitment issues: The Syrian and Ukraine crises as bargaining failures of the post–Cold War International Order. Problems of Post-Communism, 65(6), 1-13.‏https://doi.org/10.1080/10758216.2017.1330660
  • Kryuchkov, I., & Braterski, A. (2016, February 13). The Coldness of the Syrian War. Gazeta Ru. Retrieved from https://www.gazeta.ru/politics/2016/02/13_a_8073035.shtml
  • Khlebnikov, A. S. (2020). Moving toward stabilization in Syria and beyond by 2021. Russian International Affairs Council the Institute for Iran-Eurasia Studies. Access date: 11/11/2022, https://russiancouncil.ru/papers/Russia-Iran-Syria-Paper59-En.pdf
  • Landis, J., & Simon, S. (2020, February 02). The pointless cruelty of Trump's new Syria sanctions. Foreign Affairs. Retrieved from https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/syria/2020-08-17/pointless-cruelty-trumps-new-syria-sanctions
  • Maher, D., & Pieper, M. (2021). Russian intervention in Syria: exploring the nexus between regime consolidation and energy transnationalisation. Political Studies, 69(4), 1-21 https://doi.org/10.1177/0032321720934637
  • Rabi, U., & Friedman, B. (2017). Weaponizing sectarianism in Iraq and Syria. Orbis, 61(3), 1-16.‏ https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orbis.2017.04.003
  • Rammal, D. (2012). Iran, Turkey and Gulf Countries Reassess Their Policies. Access date: 26/11/2022, http://m.al-monitor.com/pulse/politics/2012/09/iran-turkey-gulfreassess-syria-strategy.html.
  • Saab, B. Y. (2006). Syria and Iran revive an old ghost with defense pact. Access date: 3/12/2022,‏ https://www.brookings.edu/opinions/syria-and-iran-revive-an-old-ghost-with-defense-pact/
  • Sahloul, A., Sekkarie, S., & Alkoutami, S. (2020, September 04). How U.S. sanctions can crack the Syrian regime. Foreign Affairs. Retrieved from https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/middle-east/2020-09-04/how-us-sanctions-can-crack-syrian-regime
  • Schaffner, T. (2021, March 18). Five Years After Russia Declared Victory in Syria: What Has Been Won?. Russia matters. Retrieved from https://www.russiamatters.org/analysis/five-years-after-russia-declared-victory-syria-what-has-been-won.
  • Sekulow, J. (2017). Unholy Alliance: The Agenda Iran, Russia, and Jihadists Share for Conquering the World. New York: Simon and Schuster.
  • Smagin, N. (2021). EAEU–Iran trade and its prospects. Access date: 6/12/2022, https://russiancouncil.ru/en/analytics-and-comments/analytics/eaeu-iran-trade-and-its-prospects/
  • Stent, A. (2019). Putin's World: Russia against the West and with the Rest. London, UK: Hachette. Tasnim News Agency. (2017, July 15). Iran’s Top Security Official, Russian Envoy Discuss Syrian Crisis. Tasnim News Agency. Access date: 11/12/2022, Iran’s Top Security Official, Russian Envoy Discuss Syrian Crisis - Politics news - Tasnim News Agency | Tasnim News Agency
  • Tabatabai, A., Martini, J., & Wasser, B. (2021). The Iranian Threat Network (ITN): Four Models of Iran's Nonstate Client Partnerships. RAND.‏
  • Therme, C. (2018). Iran and Russia in the Middle East: Toward a Regional Alliance?. The Middle East Journal, 72(4), 549-562.‏ https://doi.org/10.3751/72.4.11
  • Trenin, D. (2015). Putin’s Syria Gambit aims at something bigger than Syria. Access date: 6/11/2022, https://carnegiemoscow.org/2015/10/13/putin-s-syria-gambit-aims-at-something-bigger-than-syria-pub-61611
  • Vysotsky, A. (2014). Russia and the Arab spring. Connections, 14(1), 41-64.‏ DOI: 10.11610/Connections.14.1.02
  • Waters, G. (2018). The Tiger Forces: Pro-Assad Fighters Backed by Russia. Access date: 3/11/2022, https://www.mei.edu/publications/tiger-forces-pro-assad-fighters-backed-russia
  • Weiss, A. S., & Ng, N. (2019). Collision Avoidance: Lessons from US and Russian Operations in Syria.‏ Access date:20/11/2022, 2019, https://carnegieendowment.org/2019/03/20/collision-avoidance-lessons-of-u.s.-and-russian-operations-in-syria-pub-78571
  • Zisser, E. (2021). Russia in Syria: A Long Road to Victory. A Multidisciplinary Journal on National Security, 24(3), 3-19. Retrieved from https://strategicassessment.inss.org.il/en/articles/russia-in-syria/

AN ALLIANCE BASED ON COMMON INTEREST: RUSSIAN-IRANIAN RELATIONS DURING THE SYRIAN CIVIL WAR

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 9 Sayı: 1, 1 - 13, 31.03.2023

Öz

The eastward expansion of NATO or the increasing influence of the USA and its allies in crises in Central Asia, the Caucasus or the Middle East are seen as threats to their national security by both Russia and Iran. In addition, the Arab Spring, which started as a reaction against authoritarian regimes and their long-standing policies, brought risks and opportunities for Russia and Iran. In this context, this article deals with the Syrian civil war, which is a problem that has turned into a civil war and attracted many regional and global actors. The founding features of the strategic partnership between Russia and Iran, whose positions overlapped since the beginning of the Syrian Crisis, are analyzed in the context of the Syrian civil war. Both countries have different goals in Syria, real ideological differences, different policies towards Israel and their potential rivals as energy suppliers, so it is difficult to state that Russia-Iran relations have formed a typical strategic partnership within the framework of the Syria Crisis. In this context, the present study concludes that cooperation between the Tehran and Moscow administrations has been made in the Syrian field under the pressure of internal and external factors, and this has made both actors more sheltered and advantageous against their main enemies’ competitors.

Kaynakça

  • Allison, R. (2017). Russia and the post-2014 international legal order: revisionism and realpolitik. International affairs, 93(3), 519-543.‏ https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iix061
  • Asisian, N. (2013). Russia & Iran: strategic alliance or marriage of convenience. Small Wars Journal, 23(3).‏ Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Njdeh-Asisian/publication/281903441_Russia_Iran_Strategic_Alliance_or_Marriage_of_Convenience/links/55fd892108aeba1d9f5cc8a0/Russia-Iran-Strategic-Alliance-or-Marriage-of-Convenience.pdf
  • Bassam, L., & Perry, T. (2015, October 06). How Iranian general plotted out Syrian assault in Moscow. Reuters. Retrieved from https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-soleimani-insigh-idUSKCN0S02BV20151006
  • Behravesh, M., & Cafiero, G. (2019). Can Russian-Iranian alignment in Syria last?.‏ Access date: 25/11/2022, https://www.mei.edu/publications/can-russian-iranian-alignment-syria-last.
  • Cengiz, S. (2020). Assessing the Astana peace process for Syria: Actors, approaches, and differences. Contemporary Review of the Middle East, 7(2), 1-15.‏https://doi.org/10.1177/2347798920901876
  • Crosston, M. D. (2014). Cold War and Ayatollah residues: Syria as a chessboard for Russia, Iran, and the United States. Strategic Studies Quarterly, 8(4), 1-18.‏ Retrieved from https://www.airuniversity.af.edu/Portals/10/SSQ/documents/Volume-08_Issue-4/Crosston.pdf
  • Dyomkin, D., & Al-Khalidi, S. (2016, March 14). Putin says Russians to start withdrawing from Syria, as peace talks resume. Reuters. Retrieved from https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-russia-pullout-idUSKCN0WG23C.
  • Erlich, R. (2014). Inside Syria. New York: Prometheus Books.‏ Goodarzi, Jubin. Iran and Syria at the Crossroads: The Fall of the Tehran-Damascus Axis?. Retrieved from https://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/media/documents/publication/iran_syria_crossroads_fall_tehran_damascus_axis.pdf
  • Hatahet, S. (2019). Russia and Iran: Economic Influence in Syria. London, UK: Chatham House.‏
  • Jones, S. (2019). Russia’s Battlefield Success in Syria: Will It Be a Pyrrhic Victory?. CTC Sentinel, 12(9), 1-9. Retrieved from ‏ https://ctc.westpoint.edu/russias-battlefield-success-syria-will-pyrrhic-victory/
  • Kalaycı, R. (2021). Bir Başarı Hikayesinden Askeri Çatışmaya Türkiye Suriye İlişkileri: 2001-2021 Arası Dönemin Analizi. Ed. Rıdvan Kalaycı and İsmail Akdoğan. 21. Yüzyılda Türkiye’nin Ortadoğu Ülkeleri ve Büyük Güçlerle İlişkileri. (463-484), Ankara: Orion Kitapevi.
  • Kalayci, R. (2019). Agent-Structure Relations in Foreign Policy: an Analysis of Turkey-Syria Relations During the Arab Spring on a Dynamic Foreign Policy Analysis Model. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 21(2), 533-553.‏ https://doi.org/10.16953/deusosbil.449199
  • Khatib, L., & Sinjab, L. (2018). Syria’s Transactional State. London, UK: Chatham House.
  • Kofman, M. (2017). Russian Spetsnaz: Learning from Experience. Access date: 15/12/2022, https://www.thecipherbrief.com/russian-spetsnaz-learning-from-experience
  • Kozak, C. (2017). Iran’s Assad regime. Access date: 8/12/2022, https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/irans-assad-regime ‏
  • Krickovic, A., & Weber, Y. (2018). Commitment issues: The Syrian and Ukraine crises as bargaining failures of the post–Cold War International Order. Problems of Post-Communism, 65(6), 1-13.‏https://doi.org/10.1080/10758216.2017.1330660
  • Kryuchkov, I., & Braterski, A. (2016, February 13). The Coldness of the Syrian War. Gazeta Ru. Retrieved from https://www.gazeta.ru/politics/2016/02/13_a_8073035.shtml
  • Khlebnikov, A. S. (2020). Moving toward stabilization in Syria and beyond by 2021. Russian International Affairs Council the Institute for Iran-Eurasia Studies. Access date: 11/11/2022, https://russiancouncil.ru/papers/Russia-Iran-Syria-Paper59-En.pdf
  • Landis, J., & Simon, S. (2020, February 02). The pointless cruelty of Trump's new Syria sanctions. Foreign Affairs. Retrieved from https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/syria/2020-08-17/pointless-cruelty-trumps-new-syria-sanctions
  • Maher, D., & Pieper, M. (2021). Russian intervention in Syria: exploring the nexus between regime consolidation and energy transnationalisation. Political Studies, 69(4), 1-21 https://doi.org/10.1177/0032321720934637
  • Rabi, U., & Friedman, B. (2017). Weaponizing sectarianism in Iraq and Syria. Orbis, 61(3), 1-16.‏ https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orbis.2017.04.003
  • Rammal, D. (2012). Iran, Turkey and Gulf Countries Reassess Their Policies. Access date: 26/11/2022, http://m.al-monitor.com/pulse/politics/2012/09/iran-turkey-gulfreassess-syria-strategy.html.
  • Saab, B. Y. (2006). Syria and Iran revive an old ghost with defense pact. Access date: 3/12/2022,‏ https://www.brookings.edu/opinions/syria-and-iran-revive-an-old-ghost-with-defense-pact/
  • Sahloul, A., Sekkarie, S., & Alkoutami, S. (2020, September 04). How U.S. sanctions can crack the Syrian regime. Foreign Affairs. Retrieved from https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/middle-east/2020-09-04/how-us-sanctions-can-crack-syrian-regime
  • Schaffner, T. (2021, March 18). Five Years After Russia Declared Victory in Syria: What Has Been Won?. Russia matters. Retrieved from https://www.russiamatters.org/analysis/five-years-after-russia-declared-victory-syria-what-has-been-won.
  • Sekulow, J. (2017). Unholy Alliance: The Agenda Iran, Russia, and Jihadists Share for Conquering the World. New York: Simon and Schuster.
  • Smagin, N. (2021). EAEU–Iran trade and its prospects. Access date: 6/12/2022, https://russiancouncil.ru/en/analytics-and-comments/analytics/eaeu-iran-trade-and-its-prospects/
  • Stent, A. (2019). Putin's World: Russia against the West and with the Rest. London, UK: Hachette. Tasnim News Agency. (2017, July 15). Iran’s Top Security Official, Russian Envoy Discuss Syrian Crisis. Tasnim News Agency. Access date: 11/12/2022, Iran’s Top Security Official, Russian Envoy Discuss Syrian Crisis - Politics news - Tasnim News Agency | Tasnim News Agency
  • Tabatabai, A., Martini, J., & Wasser, B. (2021). The Iranian Threat Network (ITN): Four Models of Iran's Nonstate Client Partnerships. RAND.‏
  • Therme, C. (2018). Iran and Russia in the Middle East: Toward a Regional Alliance?. The Middle East Journal, 72(4), 549-562.‏ https://doi.org/10.3751/72.4.11
  • Trenin, D. (2015). Putin’s Syria Gambit aims at something bigger than Syria. Access date: 6/11/2022, https://carnegiemoscow.org/2015/10/13/putin-s-syria-gambit-aims-at-something-bigger-than-syria-pub-61611
  • Vysotsky, A. (2014). Russia and the Arab spring. Connections, 14(1), 41-64.‏ DOI: 10.11610/Connections.14.1.02
  • Waters, G. (2018). The Tiger Forces: Pro-Assad Fighters Backed by Russia. Access date: 3/11/2022, https://www.mei.edu/publications/tiger-forces-pro-assad-fighters-backed-russia
  • Weiss, A. S., & Ng, N. (2019). Collision Avoidance: Lessons from US and Russian Operations in Syria.‏ Access date:20/11/2022, 2019, https://carnegieendowment.org/2019/03/20/collision-avoidance-lessons-of-u.s.-and-russian-operations-in-syria-pub-78571
  • Zisser, E. (2021). Russia in Syria: A Long Road to Victory. A Multidisciplinary Journal on National Security, 24(3), 3-19. Retrieved from https://strategicassessment.inss.org.il/en/articles/russia-in-syria/
Toplam 35 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Mustafa Al-basre 0000-0002-5707-3927

Yayımlanma Tarihi 31 Mart 2023
Gönderilme Tarihi 28 Aralık 2022
Kabul Tarihi 19 Mart 2023
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2023 Cilt: 9 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Al-basre, M. (2023). AN ALLIANCE BASED ON COMMON INTEREST: RUSSIAN-IRANIAN RELATIONS DURING THE SYRIAN CIVIL WAR. PESA Uluslararası Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, 9(1), 1-13.

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