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Uzay Lojistiği ve Risk: Uzay Araçları Üzerine Bir Çalışma

Year 2024, EARLY VIEW, 1 - 1
https://doi.org/10.2339/politeknik.1472919

Abstract

Uzayın bilinmezliği tarih boyunca merak uyandırmıştır. Uzayın sırlarının anlaşılabilmesi için gözlemlemek, ulaşmak (gitmek), araştırma yapmak ve geri dönmek uzay lojistiği unsurlarınca mümkün olmaktadır. Fakat sınırların olmadığı uzayda bilinmezlikler ve çeşitli riskler vardır. Araştırmanın amacı uzay lojistiğinin önemli bir unsuru olan uzay araçlarının karşılaştığı risklerin incelenmesidir. Araştırma ticari fırlatma faaliyetlerinde sıklıkla kullanılan Falcon 9 özelinde gerçekleştirilmiştir. Havacılık ve Uzay alanında uzmanların katılımıyla elde edilen verilerin analizinde PLS-SEM yöntemi kullanılmıştır. Araştırmanın analizinde Smart PLS 4 programı kullanılmıştır. Bağımlı değişken process risks ile technical risks and environmental risks arasında anlamlı ve pozitif quality ile ise anlamlı ama negatif bir ilişki bulunmuştur. Uzay lojistiği sürecinin en önemli süreçlerinden biri olan fırlatma ve taşıma faaliyetlerini etkileyen riskler kategorize edilip aralarındaki ilişki incelenmiştir. Araştırmada kategorize edilen risklerin yanı sıra uzayın belirsizliklerinden dolayı önce görülmemiş riskler ile karşılaşılabilir. Uzay lojistiği hali hazırda dinamik ve gelişime açık bir alandır.

References

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Space Logistics and Risks: A Study on Spacecraft

Year 2024, EARLY VIEW, 1 - 1
https://doi.org/10.2339/politeknik.1472919

Abstract

The mysteries of space have aroused curiosity throughout history. To understand the secrets of space, it is possible to observe, reach (go), research, and return through the elements of space logistics. However, in space, where there are no boundaries, there are uncertainties and various risks. The purpose of the research is to examine the risks faced by space vehicles, an important element of space logistics. The research was conducted specifically on the Falcon 9, which is frequently used in commercial launch activities. The PLS-SEM method was used in the analysis of the data obtained with the participation of experts in the Aviation and Space field. Smart PLS 4 software was used in the analysis of the research. In the analysis of the research, a significant and positive relationship was found between the dependent variable process risks and technical risks and environmental risks, while a significant but negative relationship was found with quality. Risks affecting the launch and transportation activities, which are one of the most important processes of space logistics, were categorized, and their relationships were examined. In addition to the categorized risks in the research, due to the uncertainties of space, unprecedented risks can be encountered. Space logistics is currently a dynamic and open field for development.

References

  • [1] Evans, William. "Logistics and supply chain management-a space operations enabler." SpaceOps 2006 Conference, (2006).
  • [2] Snead, James. "Architecting rapid growth in space logistics capabilities." 40th AIAA/ASME/SAE/ASEE Joint Propulsion Conference and Exhibit, (2004).
  • [3] Shull, Sarah, et al. "The future of asset management for human space exploration: Supply classification and an integrated database." Space 2006. 7232, (2006).
  • [4] Cooper, Martha C., Douglas M. Lambert, and Janus D. Pagh. "Supply chain management: more than a new name for logistics." The international journal of logistics management 8:1 1-14, (1997).
  • [5] Bowersox, Donald J., et al. Supply chain logistics management, Mcgraw-hill, (2020).
  • [6] Baraniecka, Anna. "Space logistics-current status and perspectives." Transport Economics and Logistics 82: 67-78, (2019).
  • [7] Ishimatsu, Takuto, et al. "Generalized multicommodity network flow model for the earth–moon–mars logistics system." Journal of Spacecraft and Rockets 53:1, 25-38, (2016).
  • [8] Waters, Donald. Supply chain risk management: vulnerability and resilience in logistics. Kogan Page Publishers, (2011).
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  • [10] NASA, https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-astronauts-launch-from-america-in-historic-test-flight-of-spacex-crew-dragon/, Access date:29.01.2024,(2024).
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  • [41] Ellegaard, Chris. "Supply risk management in a small company perspective." Supply Chain Management: An International Journal 13:6, 425-434, (2008).
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  • [43] Kozak, M. Bilimsel araştırma: Tasarım, yazım ve yayım teknikleri, Detay Yayıncılık, (2014).
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  • [45] Baker, D. N., Erickson, P. J., Fennell, J. F., Foster, J. C., Jaynes, A. N., and Verronen, P. T. Space weather effects in the Earth’s radiation belts. Space Science Reviews, 214, 1-60, (2018).
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  • [47] Schaub, H., Jasper, L. E., Anderson, P. V., and McKnight, D. S."Cost and risk assessment for spacecraft operation decisions caused by the space debris environment." Acta Astronautica, 113 : 66-79. (2015).
  • [48] Altabbakh, H., Murray, S., Grantham, K., and Damle, S. "Variations in risk management models: a comparative study of the space shuttle challenger disasters." Engineering Management Journal 25:2 13-24, (2013).
  • [49] Somers, J. T., Scheuring, R., Granderson, B., Jones, J., Newby, N., and Gernhardt, M., "Defining NASA risk guidelines for capsule-based spacecraft occupant injuries resulting from launch, abort, and landing." NASA Technical Memorandum (2014).
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  • [53] Cockrell, J. J., Small Spacecraft Technology Program Guidebook for Technology Development Projects, https://www.nasa.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/smallsattechdevguidebook_rev-508d1.pdf?emrc=71a57b, Access Date:31.07.2024, (2021).
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  • [55] Schwenn, Rainer. "Space weather: The solar perspective." Living reviews in solar physics 3:1, 1-72. (2006).
  • [56] Liou, J. C., Hall, D. T., Krisko, P. H., & Opiela, J. N., "LEGEND–a three-dimensional LEO-to-GEO debris evolutionary model." Advances in Space Research 34:5 981-986, (2004).
  • [57] Fuentes, I. P., Bonetti, D., Letterio, F., de Miguel, G. V., Arnao, G. B., Palomo, P., and Kanzler, R., "Upgrade of ESA's debris risk assessment and mitigation analysis (DRAMA) tool: spacecraft entry survival analysis module." Acta Astronautica, 158, 148-160, (2019).
  • [58] Jones, Harry W. "NASA’s Understanding of Risk in Apollo and Shuttle." 2018 AIAA SPACE and Astronautics Forum and Exposition, (2018).
  • [59] Meidutė-Kavaliauskienė, Ieva, Artūras Aranskis, and Michail Litvinenko. "Consumer satisfaction with the quality of logistics services." Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences, 110, 330-340, (2014).
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There are 70 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Air-Space Transportation
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Yavuz Toraman 0000-0002-5196-1499

Early Pub Date August 20, 2024
Publication Date
Submission Date April 24, 2024
Acceptance Date August 10, 2024
Published in Issue Year 2024 EARLY VIEW

Cite

APA Toraman, Y. (2024). Space Logistics and Risks: A Study on Spacecraft. Politeknik Dergisi1-1. https://doi.org/10.2339/politeknik.1472919
AMA Toraman Y. Space Logistics and Risks: A Study on Spacecraft. Politeknik Dergisi. Published online August 1, 2024:1-1. doi:10.2339/politeknik.1472919
Chicago Toraman, Yavuz. “Space Logistics and Risks: A Study on Spacecraft”. Politeknik Dergisi, August (August 2024), 1-1. https://doi.org/10.2339/politeknik.1472919.
EndNote Toraman Y (August 1, 2024) Space Logistics and Risks: A Study on Spacecraft. Politeknik Dergisi 1–1.
IEEE Y. Toraman, “Space Logistics and Risks: A Study on Spacecraft”, Politeknik Dergisi, pp. 1–1, August 2024, doi: 10.2339/politeknik.1472919.
ISNAD Toraman, Yavuz. “Space Logistics and Risks: A Study on Spacecraft”. Politeknik Dergisi. August 2024. 1-1. https://doi.org/10.2339/politeknik.1472919.
JAMA Toraman Y. Space Logistics and Risks: A Study on Spacecraft. Politeknik Dergisi. 2024;:1–1.
MLA Toraman, Yavuz. “Space Logistics and Risks: A Study on Spacecraft”. Politeknik Dergisi, 2024, pp. 1-1, doi:10.2339/politeknik.1472919.
Vancouver Toraman Y. Space Logistics and Risks: A Study on Spacecraft. Politeknik Dergisi. 2024:1-.