الحقبة الجديدة في علاقات ترامب وبوتين في إطار البراغماتية والمصالح الإستراتيجية

Year 2025, Volume: 14 Issue: 2, 57 - 72, 01.06.2025

Mehmet Çağatay Güler

https://doi.org/10.36360/1560-014-002-004

Abstract

تبدو طبيعة العلاقات بين الولايات المتحدة وروسيا غير معروفة خلال الولاية الرئاسية الثانية لترامب، ويعتمد مسار هذه العلاقات إلى حد كبير على التطورات المتعلقة بحرب أوكرانيا. يمكن أن يكون الوصول إلى وقف إطلاق نار مؤقت أو سلام دائم (وإن كان غير مرجح) بمثابة نجاح دبلوماسي واقتصادي لإدارة ترامب. قد يتصرف ترامب، في أثناء تعامله مع العلاقات بشكل براغماتي، بحيث تكون العقوبات والمساعدات المقدمة لأوكرانيا أداة للمساومة مع موسكو. إن احتمالات التعاون والصراع متشابكة. وتُعدّ عناصر الأرض النادرة، والتنافس على النفوذ مع الصين، والنقاش الدائر حول هيكل الأمن الأوروبي من بين العوامل الحاسمة. بالإضافة إلى ذلك، فإن للسياسات الداخلية الأمريكية والإستراتيجية الأمنية الروسية دورًا محوريًّا أيضًا في تشكيل الحسابات الإستراتيجية.

Keywords

ترامب , بوتين , أمريكا , روسيا , أوكرانيا

The New Era in Trump-Putin Relations between Pragmatism and Strategic Interests

Abstract

US-Russia relations seem to be uncertain during Trump’s second term as president, and the course of these relations largely depends on the developments related to Ukraine War. A temporary ceasefire or a lasting peace (although unlikely) can be conceptualized as a diplomatic and economic success by Trump Administration. Trump, while approaching relations pragmatically, may use the sanctions and aids to Ukraine as a bargaining tool vis-à-vis Moscow. The possibilities of cooperation and conflict are intertwined. Rare earth elements, power competition with China and the debate revolving around the European Security Architecture are among the determining factors. Moreover, US domestic politics and Russian security strategic are also pivotal shaping the strategic calculations.

Keywords

Trump , Putin , America , Russia , Ukraine

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