MARKOV ZİNCİRLERİ MODELLEMESİ İLE GENÇLERİN SPOR AYAKKABI MARKA TERCİHLERİNİN BELİRLENMESİ

Year 2020, Volume: 3 Issue: 2, 131 - 141, 30.04.2020

Özge Ercan

https://doi.org/10.33723/rs.692827

Cited By: 2

Abstract

Stokastik süreçlerin bir çeşidi olan Markov zincirleri önceden tahmin edilemeyen süreçlerde uygulanır. Markov zincirleri matematiksel bir modeldir. Ancak sosyal bilimlerde de pek çok alanda kullanılabilmektedir. Bu çalışmada, genç tüketicilerin spor ayakkabı marka tercihleri belirlenmeye çalışılmıştır. Markov zincirleri analizi için Ankara ilinde yaşayan 14-19 yaş arası genç tüketiciler araştırmaya dahil edilmiştir. Katılımcıların, %47’si (N=102) erkek ve %53’ü (N= 115) kadın olmak üzere toplam 217 katılımcı olarak belirlenmiştir. Araştırma sonucunda, Spor ayakkabısı için marka bağlılığı “0,4483” ile en yüksek Nike markasındadır. Aynı markayı tercih olasılıkları Adidas için %36,11, Reebok için %18,18 Skechers için %33,33, Puma için %14,29, New Balance için %11,11 olarak hesaplanmıştır. Uzun dönemde gençlerin spor ayakkabısı tercihlerinin; %33,02’sinin Nike, %30,47’sinin diğer markalar, %23,32’sinin Adidas, %4,42’sinin Puma, %3,72’sinin New Balance, %1,87’sinin Converse, %1,49’unun Skechers, %0,9’unun Reebok ve %0,8’inin Asics marka spor ayakkabısı olması beklenmektedir.

Keywords

Marka Bağlılığı, Marka Tercihi, Markov Zincirleri, Stokastik Süreçler

Determination of Sports Shoes Preferences of Young People with Markov Chains Modeling

Abstract

Markov chains, a kind of stochastic processes, are applied in unpredictable processes. As a mathematical model, it can be used in many fields in social sciences. The purpose of this study is to determine the sports shoe brand preferences of young consumers via this model. For the analysis of Markov chains, young consumers between the ages of 14-19 living in Ankara have been included in the study. A total of 217 participants include 47% (N = 102) men and 53% (N = 115) women. As a result of the research, brand loyalty for sports shoes is the highest Nike brand with “0.4483”. The probabilities of choosing the same brand have been calculated as 36.11% for Adidas, 18.18% for Reebok, 33.33% for Skechers, 14.29% for Puma and 11.11% for New Balance. In the long term, the young people expectations of the preference for the sports shoes have been calculated via Markov chains model as 33,02% Nike, 30,47% other brands, 23,32% Adidas, 4,42% Puma, 3,72% New Balance, 1,87% Converse, 1.49% Skechers, 0.9% Reebok and 0.8% Asics sports shoes”. 

Keywords

Brand Loyalty, Brand Preference, Markov Chains, Stochastic Processes

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