TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİNDE KİRLİLİK SIĞINAĞI VE KİRLENME HALE HİPOTEZLERİ ÜZERİNE AMPİRİK BİR ARAŞTIRMA

Abstract

Araştırmanın amacı, uluslararası ticaretin çevre kirliliği üzerindeki etkisini kirlilik sığınağı ve kirlenme hale hipotezleri kapsamında Türkiye örneğinde 1990-2015 dönemi içerisinde incelemektir. Amaç bağlamında sera gazı salınımları, doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar, imalat sanayisinde katma değer ve uluslararası ticarete ilişkin üç farklı parametre kullanılmıştır. Temel bulgular: (1) Eşbütünleşme sonuçları, değişkenler arasında uzun dönemli bir ilişkinin varlığının; değişkenlerin çoğunlukla sera gazı salınımlarını artırdığının (2) Hata Düzeltme Modeli sonuçları, 1 birimlik sapmanın yaklaşık %12’sinin bir sonraki dönemde düzelerek kısa dönem dengesizliklerinin ortadan kalktığının kanıtlarını sunmuştur. Sonuçlar, Türkiye’nin açık piyasa yapısına bağlı olarak ticaretin kirliliği genel anlamda artırdığını ve kirlilik sığınağı hipotezinin kanıtlarının güçlü olduğunu göstermiştir.

Keywords

• Kirlilik Sığınağı Hipotezi,Kirlenme Hale Hipotezi,Türkiye,Eşbütünleşme Metodolojisi

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