Türkiye'de Elektrik Tüketimi, İstihdam ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi

Yıl 2011, Cilt: 16 Sayı: 1, 349 - 362, 01.03.2011

  Yrd.doç.dr.özgür Polat Enes E. Uslu Arş.gör.sayın San

Öz

Anahtar Kelimeler

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TÜRKİYE’DE ELEKTRİK TÜKETİMİ, İSTİHDAM VE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİ

Öz

Bu çalışmada; Türkiye’de elektrik tüketimi, istihdam ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişki 1950-2006 dönemine ait yıllık veriler kullanılarak araştırılmıştır. Değişkenler arasındaki eşbütünleşme ilişkisi ARDL sınır testi ve çok değişkenli vektör hata düzeltme modeline dayanan Granger nedensellik testi kullanılarak analiz edilmiştir. Çalışmadan elde edilen sonuçlara göre, söz konusu değişkenler arasında uzun dönemde bir eşbütünleşme olduğu görülmüştür. Çok değişkenli Granger nedensellik analizinin sonuçları, istihdam ve elektrik tüketiminden reel GSMH’ye yönelik bir nedenselliğin uzun dönemde mevcut olduğunu, kısa dönemde ise sadece istihdam düzeyinden elektrik tüketimine doğru tek yönlü bir nedensellik olduğuna işaret etmektedir

Anahtar Kelimeler

Elektrik Tüketimi, Eşbütünleşme, Nedensellik

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