The Impact Of Education On Economic Growth In Turkey

Year 2010, Volume: 15 Issue: 3, 43 - 62, 01.09.2010

  Doç.dr.ahmet Beşkaya Yrd.doç.dr.bilal Savaş Doç.dr.famil Şamlıoğlu

Abstract

Keywords

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TÜRKİYE'DE EĞİTİMİN EKONOMİK BÜYÜMEYE ETKİSİ

Abstract

Bu makale, kişi başına okula kayıt olma ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkiyi 1923-2007 dönemi Türkiye verileriyle incelemeyi amaçlamaktadır. Otoregresif Dağıtılmış Gecikme (ARDL) yaklaşımını kullanarak, okula kayıt olma ile reel gelir arasında uzun dönem eşbütünleşme olduğu bulunmuştur. Reel gelir ve okula kayıt olma arasında iki yönlü Granger nedenselliği vardır. Ortaokul, lise ve meslek lisesinden reel gelire doğru kısa dönem tek yönlü Granger nedenselliği vardır. Sonuçlar, ayrıca liseye kayıtlarının yüksek öğrenime kayıt olmanın kısa dönemde Granger nedeni olduğunu göstermektedir. Varyans ayrıştırması ve etki tepki analizleri Granger nedensellik testlerinin sonuçlarını teyit etmektedir. Genel olarak sonuçlar eğitimin ekonomik büyümenin bir aracı (ve tersi) olduğunu göstermektedir.

Keywords

Eğitim, Ekonomik Büyüme, Eşbütünleşme, Granger Nedenselliği, Öngörü Hata Varyans Ayrıştırması

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