TÜRKİYE, MISIR, IRAK, ÜRDÜN VE LÜBNAN’DA BULUNAN SURİYELİ MÜLTECİLER: RAKAMLARLA GERÇEKLER

Year 2017, Volume: 22 Issue: Göç Özel Sayısı, 1411 - 1425, 30.11.2017

Cansu Erbaş

Abstract

Bu makalede , 2011 Mart sonrası Suriye’den göç eden mültecilerin göç ettikleri hedef ülke üzerinde ekonomiye olan etkileri gözlemlenmiştir. UNHCR kayıtlarına gore Eylül 2017 itibariyle, 3168757 Suriyeli mültecinin Türkiye’de, 122203 mültecinin Mısır’da, 244235 mültecinin Irak’ta, 654582 mültecinin Ürdün’de ve 1011366 mültecinin Lübnanda yaşadığı bilinmekte. (http://data.unhcr.org/syrianrefugees/country.php?id=122,01.09.2017) Böylesine büyük bir mülteci kitlesinin hedef ülkeler içinde ucuz işçi sağlaması beklenilebilir bir durum. Diğer taraftan, oldukça yüklü miktarlarda yapılan finansal yardımlardan da bahsedilecek olunursa, $556.765.964,00 ile en büyük yardım Lübnan’a, $ 431.185.844,00 ile en büyük ikinci yardım Ürdün’e ve $300.505.418,00 ile en büyük üçüncü yardım Türkiye’ye yapılmıştır.(UNHCR, September 2017). Bu makalede, Suriyeli mültecilerdeki yüzdelik değişimlerle hedef ülkelerdeki bazı makroekonomik değişkenlerin ( GSYİMH, TÜFE, ithalat, ihracat, işsizlik) yüzdelik değişimleri arasında belirli bir ilişki bulunup bulunmadığı gözlemlenmiştir. Sonuçlar, bu ilişkinin olumlu olduğu yönündedir.

Keywords

Suriye’li mülteci, GSYİMH, TÜFE, ithalat, ihracat, işsizlik, yüzdelik değişim

SYRIAN REFUGEES IN TURKEY, EGYPT, IRAQ, JORDAN AND LEBANON: FACTS AND FIGURES

Abstract

This paper looks at the impact of economics growth across most Syrian refugees host countries after the civil war in Syria in March 2011. Based on the figures by UNHCR, as of September 2017, there are 3168757 Syrian refugees living in Turkey, 122203 in Egypt, 244235 in Iraq, 654582 Jordan and 1011366 in Lebanon. (http://data.unhcr.org/syrianrefugees/country.php?id=122 ,01.09.2017). It is inevitable that the massive influx of Syrian refuges into those countries provides cheap informal labour. Not to mention, there are high volume of funding flowing into host countries with the largest $556.765.964,00 to Lebanon, second largest $ 431.185.844,00 to Jordan and finally the third largest $300.505.418,00 to Turkey based on the figures by UNHCR (September 2017). This paper compares whether there is any sensible link between the percentage change in the number of Syrian refugees and some of the main macroeconomic variables such as GDP, CPI, import, export and unemployment in the host country. Findings support that the percentage change in the number of Syrian refugees and macroeconomic variables move along the same direction.

Keywords

Syrian refugees, GDP, CPI, import/export, unemployment, percentage change in difference

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