TÜRKİYE’DE DOĞRUDAN YABANCI YATIRIMLAR VE DIŞ TİCARET ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ

Yıl 2020, Cilt: 25 Sayı: 4, 417 - 426, 19.10.2020

Erdoğan Kotil

Öz

Bu makalede 2003-2019 dönemi için doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar, ihracat ve ithalat arasındaki ilişki gözden geçirilmiştir. Bu dönem Türkiye'de dış ticarette serbestliğin giderek arttığı ve doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar için yasal düzenlemelerin yapıldığı bir dönemdir. Bu çalışmada vektör otoregresif model kullanılılarak etki-tepki ve varyans fonksiyonları tahmin edilmiştir. Ulaşılan sonuçlar, ihracat ve ithalat arasında yakın bir ilişkinin varlığını göstermiştir. Doğrudan yabancı yatırımların öngörülenin aksine ihracat ve ithalat üzerinde önemli bir etkisi tespit edilmemiştir. İhracata ve ithalata yönelik şokların birbirleri üzerinde olumlu etkileri bulunmuştur.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırımlar, İthalat, İhracat, VAR Modeli

THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT AND FOREIGN TRADE IN TURKEY

Öz

The relation between foreign direct investments, exports and imports have been reviewed in this article for the period 2003-2019. This is a period in Turkey during which freeness has gradually increased in foreign trade and legal arrangements have been made for FDI’s. The vector autoregressive model has been estimated during the research and action reaction and variance functions obtained. The results reached have demonstrated the existence of a close relationship between exports and imports. Contrary to the anticipated, an important impact of foreign direct investment on exports and imports has not been detected. The positive impacts on each other for the shocks aimed at exports and imports have been found.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Foreign Direct Investment, Import, Export, VAR Model.

Kaynakça

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