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TÜRKİYE’DE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME VE İŞSİZLİK İLİŞKİSİ: 1951- 2006

Year 2008, Volume: 10 Issue: 1-2, 99 - 116, 06.05.2014

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, 1951-2006 döneminde Türkiye’de ekonomik büyüme ile işsizlik arasındaki ilişkinin En Küçük Kareler (EKK) ve Vektör Otoregresyon (VAR) yöntemi ile açıklanması amaçlanmıştır. Söz konusu metodlara göre ise En Küçük Kareler yöntemi hariç VAR yöntemi sonuçlarına göre ekonomik büyüme ile işsizlik arasında ilişki olduğu belirlenmiştir. Diğer bir deyişle, Türkiye’de ekonomik büyüme işsizlik oranlarını etkilemektedir fakat söz konusu bu etki yeterli düzeyde değildir.

References

  • AKALIN, Gulsum and Erkisi, Kemal (2007), The Testing of the Electoral Economy Application in the Course of Opportunist Electoral
  • Business Cycle in Turkey, Zonguldak Karaelmas University Journal of Social Sciences, 3: 89—1 16. ATTFIELD, Clifford L. F. and Silverstone, Brian (1997), Okun's
  • Coefficient: A Comment, Review of Economics and Statistics, 79: 326— According to the OECD, during the 1996—2005 period, Turkey is the first country that wage cost is increasing during the period. http:// www.tisk.org.tr/duyurular.asp‘?ayrinti=True&id=204 1 . (21 08.2008) i“ In the total labour force of Turkey, 15.263.000 people’s education level is less than high school. http://www.tuik.gov.tr/VeriBilgi.do?tb_id:25&ust_id:8. (15.09.2008)
  • ENDERS, Walter (1995), Applied Econometric Time Series, John
  • Wiley & Sons, New York. HAMILTON, J. D. (1994), Time Series Analysis, Princeton University
  • Press, Princeton, New Jersey. HATEMİ—J , A. and Hacker, R. S. (2007), Can the LR Test be Helpful in
  • Choosing the Optimal Lag Order in the VAR Model When Information Criteria Suggest Different Lag Orders?. Applied Economics, iFirsr: 1—5. KATUSYA, Ito (2008), Oil Price and the Russian Economy: A VEC
  • Model Approach, International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 17: 68—74. KNOTEK, Edward S. (2007), How Useful is Okun’s Law?, Federal
  • Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Economic Review, Fourth Quarter: 73— KRISTEN, L. Frank and Agbola, W. Frank (2005), Causality Links
  • Between Asset Prices and Cash Rate in Australia, International Journal of Applied Economics and Quantitative Studies, 2-3: 93—1 10. MITCHELL, James (2000), The Importance of Long Run Structure for
  • Impulse Response Analysis in VAR Models, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Discussion Papers, 172: 1-10. NORIEGA, Antonio E. and Ventosa—Santauléria, Daniel, Spurious Regression and Trending Variables, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 69: 439—44. OKUN, Arthur M. (1962), Potential GNP: Its Measurement and Significance, American Statistical Association, Proceedings of Business and Economic Statistics Section, 98—104.
  • OZCICEK, Omer and McMillin, W. Douglas (1999), Lag Length
  • Selection in Vector Autoregressive Models: Symmetric and Asymmetric Lags, Applied Economics, 31: 517-524. ROBINSON, Wayne (1998), Forecasting Inşation Using VAR Analysis,
  • Bank of Jamaica Papers. VlLLAVERDE, Jose and Maza, Adolfo (2007), Okun’s Law in the Spanish Regions, Economics Bulletin, 18: 1—1 1. http://people.bath.ac.uk/bm232/EC50l62/Financia1%20Econ%202.doc. (24.08.2008) http://www.tisk.org.tr/duyurular.asp?ayrinti=True&id=2041 . (21.08.2008) http://WWW.tuik.g0v.tr/VeriBi1gi.do?tb_idz25&ust_id=8. (15.09.2008) http:/lwww.tuik.gov.tr. (24.08.2008). ,16
Year 2008, Volume: 10 Issue: 1-2, 99 - 116, 06.05.2014

Abstract

References

  • AKALIN, Gulsum and Erkisi, Kemal (2007), The Testing of the Electoral Economy Application in the Course of Opportunist Electoral
  • Business Cycle in Turkey, Zonguldak Karaelmas University Journal of Social Sciences, 3: 89—1 16. ATTFIELD, Clifford L. F. and Silverstone, Brian (1997), Okun's
  • Coefficient: A Comment, Review of Economics and Statistics, 79: 326— According to the OECD, during the 1996—2005 period, Turkey is the first country that wage cost is increasing during the period. http:// www.tisk.org.tr/duyurular.asp‘?ayrinti=True&id=204 1 . (21 08.2008) i“ In the total labour force of Turkey, 15.263.000 people’s education level is less than high school. http://www.tuik.gov.tr/VeriBilgi.do?tb_id:25&ust_id:8. (15.09.2008)
  • ENDERS, Walter (1995), Applied Econometric Time Series, John
  • Wiley & Sons, New York. HAMILTON, J. D. (1994), Time Series Analysis, Princeton University
  • Press, Princeton, New Jersey. HATEMİ—J , A. and Hacker, R. S. (2007), Can the LR Test be Helpful in
  • Choosing the Optimal Lag Order in the VAR Model When Information Criteria Suggest Different Lag Orders?. Applied Economics, iFirsr: 1—5. KATUSYA, Ito (2008), Oil Price and the Russian Economy: A VEC
  • Model Approach, International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 17: 68—74. KNOTEK, Edward S. (2007), How Useful is Okun’s Law?, Federal
  • Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Economic Review, Fourth Quarter: 73— KRISTEN, L. Frank and Agbola, W. Frank (2005), Causality Links
  • Between Asset Prices and Cash Rate in Australia, International Journal of Applied Economics and Quantitative Studies, 2-3: 93—1 10. MITCHELL, James (2000), The Importance of Long Run Structure for
  • Impulse Response Analysis in VAR Models, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Discussion Papers, 172: 1-10. NORIEGA, Antonio E. and Ventosa—Santauléria, Daniel, Spurious Regression and Trending Variables, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 69: 439—44. OKUN, Arthur M. (1962), Potential GNP: Its Measurement and Significance, American Statistical Association, Proceedings of Business and Economic Statistics Section, 98—104.
  • OZCICEK, Omer and McMillin, W. Douglas (1999), Lag Length
  • Selection in Vector Autoregressive Models: Symmetric and Asymmetric Lags, Applied Economics, 31: 517-524. ROBINSON, Wayne (1998), Forecasting Inşation Using VAR Analysis,
  • Bank of Jamaica Papers. VlLLAVERDE, Jose and Maza, Adolfo (2007), Okun’s Law in the Spanish Regions, Economics Bulletin, 18: 1—1 1. http://people.bath.ac.uk/bm232/EC50l62/Financia1%20Econ%202.doc. (24.08.2008) http://www.tisk.org.tr/duyurular.asp?ayrinti=True&id=2041 . (21.08.2008) http://WWW.tuik.g0v.tr/VeriBi1gi.do?tb_idz25&ust_id=8. (15.09.2008) http:/lwww.tuik.gov.tr. (24.08.2008). ,16
There are 14 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Journal Section Makaleler
Authors

Taha Bahadır Saraç This is me

Ayşegül Atabey This is me

Publication Date May 6, 2014
Submission Date December 31, 2014
Published in Issue Year 2008 Volume: 10 Issue: 1-2

Cite

APA Saraç, T. B., & Atabey, A. (2014). TÜRKİYE’DE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME VE İŞSİZLİK İLİŞKİSİ: 1951- 2006. Selçuk Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Meslek Yüksekokulu Dergisi, 10(1-2), 99-116.

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