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Sentimental Herding: The Role of Regional and Global Shocks in Egyptian and Saudi Stock Markets

Year 2016, Volume: 24 Issue: 27, 2 - 9, 22.01.2016
https://doi.org/10.17233/se.53541

Abstract

In this study, the existence of market-wide herding for Egypt and Saudi stock markets is investigated using state-space methodology developed by Hwang and Salmon (2004). The objective is not just to provide evidence for herding, but also evaluate the effect of regional and global shocks on herding behavior for these markets. Results show that herding exists only in Egypt. Moreover, for herd parameter in Egypt, mortgage crisis and Egyptian military takeover are the only significant factors. As expected, these factors cause fading effect on herd parameter, strengthening adverse herding. Contrary to expected, oil return or oil return volatility has no impact on herd parameter.

References

  • Balcilar, M. & R. Demirer & S. Hammoudeh & A. Khalifa (2013), “Do Global Shocks Drive Investors Herds in Oil-rich Frontier Markets?”, Working Paper, 819, 1-28.
  • Balcilar, M. & R. Demirer & S. Hammoudeh (2013), “Investor herds and regime-switching: Evidence from Gulf Arab stock markets”, Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions and Money, 23, 295–321.
  • Bikhchandani, S. & S. Sharma (2001), “Herd behavior in financial markets: A Review”, International Monetary Fund Staff Papers 47, No. 3, 279–310.
  • Borensztein, E. & G. Gelos (2001), “A Panic-Prone Pack? The Behavior of Emerging Market Mutual Funds”, IMF Working Paper, WP No. 00/198, 1-35.
  • Chang, E.C. & J.W. Cheng & A. Khorana (2000), “An examination of herd behavior in equity markets: An international perspective”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 24(10), 1651–1679; Doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(99)00096-5.
  • Christie, W.G. & R.D. Huang (1995), “Following the pied piper: Do individual returns herd around the market?”, Financial Analyst Journal, (July-August), 31–37; Doi: 10.2469/faj.v51.n4.1918.
  • Dalia, El-Shiaty & A.A. Badawi (2014), “Herding Behavior in the Stock Market: An Empirical Analysis of the Egyptian Exchange”, Working Paper, No, 37, 1-17.
  • Demir, N. & S.F. Mahmud & M.N. Solakoglu, (2014), “Sentiment and Beta Herding in the Borsa İstanbul (BIST)”, in: Risk Management Post-financial Crisis: A Period of Monetary Easing, Vol. 96, Ed: Jonathan A. Batten and Niklas F. Wagner, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, ISBN: 978-1-78441-027-8, 389-400.
  • Demirer, R. & T. Ulussever (2011), “Investors herds and oil prices: Evidence from GCC stock markets”, Working Paper, Department of Economics and Finance, Southern Illinois University, Edwardsville, 1-22.
  • Gompers, P. & A. Metrick (2001), “Institutional Investors and Equity Prices”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116, 229-260.
  • Hwang, S. & M. Salmon (2004), “Market stress and herding”, Journal of Empirical Finance, 11(4), 585–616.
  • Kim, K. & J. Sias (2005), “Institutional herding, business groups and economic regimes: evidence from japan”, Journal of Business, 78(1), 213-242.
  • Oehler, A. & G.G. Chao (2000), “Institutional herding in bond markets”, Bamberg University Department of Finance, Working Paper, Doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.294460, 1-31.
  • Puckett, A. & X. Yan (2007), “The determinants and impact of short-term institutional herding”, Working Paper, <http://rssrn.com/abstract=972254>, 1-27.
  • Solakoglu, N. & N. Demir (2014), “Sentimental Herding in Borsa İstanbul: Informed versus Uninformed”, Applied Economic Letters, Doi: 10.1080/13504851.2014.902015, 965-968.

Sentimental Herding: The Role of Regional and Global Shocks in Egyptian and Saudi Stock Markets

Year 2016, Volume: 24 Issue: 27, 2 - 9, 22.01.2016
https://doi.org/10.17233/se.53541

Abstract

In this study, the existence of market-wide herding for Egypt and Saudi stock markets is investigated using state-space methodology developed by Hwang and Salmon (2004). The objective is not just to provide evidence for herding, but also evaluate the effect of regional and global shocks on herding behavior for these markets. Results show that herding exists only in Egypt. Moreover, for herd parameter in Egypt, mortgage crisis and Egyptian military takeover are the only significant factors. As expected, these factors cause fading effect on herd parameter, strengthening adverse herding. Contrary to expected, oil return or oil return volatility has no impact on herd parameter.

References

  • Balcilar, M. & R. Demirer & S. Hammoudeh & A. Khalifa (2013), “Do Global Shocks Drive Investors Herds in Oil-rich Frontier Markets?”, Working Paper, 819, 1-28.
  • Balcilar, M. & R. Demirer & S. Hammoudeh (2013), “Investor herds and regime-switching: Evidence from Gulf Arab stock markets”, Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions and Money, 23, 295–321.
  • Bikhchandani, S. & S. Sharma (2001), “Herd behavior in financial markets: A Review”, International Monetary Fund Staff Papers 47, No. 3, 279–310.
  • Borensztein, E. & G. Gelos (2001), “A Panic-Prone Pack? The Behavior of Emerging Market Mutual Funds”, IMF Working Paper, WP No. 00/198, 1-35.
  • Chang, E.C. & J.W. Cheng & A. Khorana (2000), “An examination of herd behavior in equity markets: An international perspective”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 24(10), 1651–1679; Doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(99)00096-5.
  • Christie, W.G. & R.D. Huang (1995), “Following the pied piper: Do individual returns herd around the market?”, Financial Analyst Journal, (July-August), 31–37; Doi: 10.2469/faj.v51.n4.1918.
  • Dalia, El-Shiaty & A.A. Badawi (2014), “Herding Behavior in the Stock Market: An Empirical Analysis of the Egyptian Exchange”, Working Paper, No, 37, 1-17.
  • Demir, N. & S.F. Mahmud & M.N. Solakoglu, (2014), “Sentiment and Beta Herding in the Borsa İstanbul (BIST)”, in: Risk Management Post-financial Crisis: A Period of Monetary Easing, Vol. 96, Ed: Jonathan A. Batten and Niklas F. Wagner, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, ISBN: 978-1-78441-027-8, 389-400.
  • Demirer, R. & T. Ulussever (2011), “Investors herds and oil prices: Evidence from GCC stock markets”, Working Paper, Department of Economics and Finance, Southern Illinois University, Edwardsville, 1-22.
  • Gompers, P. & A. Metrick (2001), “Institutional Investors and Equity Prices”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116, 229-260.
  • Hwang, S. & M. Salmon (2004), “Market stress and herding”, Journal of Empirical Finance, 11(4), 585–616.
  • Kim, K. & J. Sias (2005), “Institutional herding, business groups and economic regimes: evidence from japan”, Journal of Business, 78(1), 213-242.
  • Oehler, A. & G.G. Chao (2000), “Institutional herding in bond markets”, Bamberg University Department of Finance, Working Paper, Doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.294460, 1-31.
  • Puckett, A. & X. Yan (2007), “The determinants and impact of short-term institutional herding”, Working Paper, <http://rssrn.com/abstract=972254>, 1-27.
  • Solakoglu, N. & N. Demir (2014), “Sentimental Herding in Borsa İstanbul: Informed versus Uninformed”, Applied Economic Letters, Doi: 10.1080/13504851.2014.902015, 965-968.
There are 15 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Ali Güvercin This is me

Publication Date January 22, 2016
Submission Date December 28, 2015
Published in Issue Year 2016 Volume: 24 Issue: 27

Cite

APA Güvercin, A. (2016). Sentimental Herding: The Role of Regional and Global Shocks in Egyptian and Saudi Stock Markets. Sosyoekonomi, 24(27), 2-9. https://doi.org/10.17233/se.53541
AMA Güvercin A. Sentimental Herding: The Role of Regional and Global Shocks in Egyptian and Saudi Stock Markets. Sosyoekonomi. January 2016;24(27):2-9. doi:10.17233/se.53541
Chicago Güvercin, Ali. “Sentimental Herding: The Role of Regional and Global Shocks in Egyptian and Saudi Stock Markets”. Sosyoekonomi 24, no. 27 (January 2016): 2-9. https://doi.org/10.17233/se.53541.
EndNote Güvercin A (January 1, 2016) Sentimental Herding: The Role of Regional and Global Shocks in Egyptian and Saudi Stock Markets. Sosyoekonomi 24 27 2–9.
IEEE A. Güvercin, “Sentimental Herding: The Role of Regional and Global Shocks in Egyptian and Saudi Stock Markets”, Sosyoekonomi, vol. 24, no. 27, pp. 2–9, 2016, doi: 10.17233/se.53541.
ISNAD Güvercin, Ali. “Sentimental Herding: The Role of Regional and Global Shocks in Egyptian and Saudi Stock Markets”. Sosyoekonomi 24/27 (January 2016), 2-9. https://doi.org/10.17233/se.53541.
JAMA Güvercin A. Sentimental Herding: The Role of Regional and Global Shocks in Egyptian and Saudi Stock Markets. Sosyoekonomi. 2016;24:2–9.
MLA Güvercin, Ali. “Sentimental Herding: The Role of Regional and Global Shocks in Egyptian and Saudi Stock Markets”. Sosyoekonomi, vol. 24, no. 27, 2016, pp. 2-9, doi:10.17233/se.53541.
Vancouver Güvercin A. Sentimental Herding: The Role of Regional and Global Shocks in Egyptian and Saudi Stock Markets. Sosyoekonomi. 2016;24(27):2-9.