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The Relationship between Openness and Unemployment: A Time Varying Parameter Analysis on Turkey

Year 2017, Volume: 25 Issue: 31, 45 - 74, 22.01.2017
https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.281854

Abstract

Spreading the shocks to country economies appears from two channels with the globalization process. These channels are the transmission channels of trade and finance. These two mechanisms generated effects simultaneously on country economies after the 2007-2008 global crisis. Simultaneous effects started a process emerging as a decline in economic growth and an increase in the unemployment rate. Generally, the measures taken against these process have been implemented as monetary expansion (Quantative easing-QE) policies, however the countries, which particularly EU countries that not carrying out common fiscal policy, fall into liquidty trap in the sense that the effects of as mentioned policies usually expose to a time varying unemployment process. Therefore, in this study by using a time varying parameter techniques the responses of the unemployment rates to openness levels will analyze. In the periods of 2011Q1-2015Q4 by using a time varying parameter VAR (TVP-VAR) method developed by Nakajima (2011), what extent the unemployment rates are affected from the openness level of the countries will be analyzed and the policy suggestions will be developed.

References

  • abc

Dışa Açıklık ile İşsizlik Arasındaki İlişki: AB ve Türkiye Üzerine Zamana Göre Değişen Parametreli Bir Analiz

Year 2017, Volume: 25 Issue: 31, 45 - 74, 22.01.2017
https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.281854

Abstract

Spreading the shocks to country economies appears from two channels with the globalization process. These channels are the transmission channels of trade and finance. These two mechanisms generated effects simultaneously on country economies after the 2007-2008 global crisis. Simultaneous effects started a process emerging as a decline in economic growth and an increase in the unemployment rate. Generally, the measures taken against these process have been implemented as monetary expansion (Quantative easing-QE) policies, however the countries, which particularly EU countries that not carrying out common fiscal policy, fall into liquidty trap in the sense that the effects of as mentioned policies usually expose to a time varying unemployment process. Therefore, in this study by using a time varying parameter techniques the responses of the unemployment rates to openness levels will analyze. In the periods of 2011Q1-2015Q4 by using a time varying parameter VAR (TVP-VAR) method developed by Nakajima (2011), what extent the unemployment rates are affected from the openness level of the countries will be analyzed and the policy suggestions will be developed.

References

  • abc
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Details

Journal Section Articles
Authors

Ramazan Ekinci

Osman Tüzün

Fatih Ceylan This is me

Hakan Kahyaoğlu

Publication Date January 22, 2017
Submission Date December 26, 2016
Published in Issue Year 2017 Volume: 25 Issue: 31

Cite

APA Ekinci, R., Tüzün, O., Ceylan, F., Kahyaoğlu, H. (2017). The Relationship between Openness and Unemployment: A Time Varying Parameter Analysis on Turkey. Sosyoekonomi, 25(31), 45-74. https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.281854
AMA Ekinci R, Tüzün O, Ceylan F, Kahyaoğlu H. The Relationship between Openness and Unemployment: A Time Varying Parameter Analysis on Turkey. Sosyoekonomi. January 2017;25(31):45-74. doi:10.17233/sosyoekonomi.281854
Chicago Ekinci, Ramazan, Osman Tüzün, Fatih Ceylan, and Hakan Kahyaoğlu. “The Relationship Between Openness and Unemployment: A Time Varying Parameter Analysis on Turkey”. Sosyoekonomi 25, no. 31 (January 2017): 45-74. https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.281854.
EndNote Ekinci R, Tüzün O, Ceylan F, Kahyaoğlu H (January 1, 2017) The Relationship between Openness and Unemployment: A Time Varying Parameter Analysis on Turkey. Sosyoekonomi 25 31 45–74.
IEEE R. Ekinci, O. Tüzün, F. Ceylan, and H. Kahyaoğlu, “The Relationship between Openness and Unemployment: A Time Varying Parameter Analysis on Turkey”, Sosyoekonomi, vol. 25, no. 31, pp. 45–74, 2017, doi: 10.17233/sosyoekonomi.281854.
ISNAD Ekinci, Ramazan et al. “The Relationship Between Openness and Unemployment: A Time Varying Parameter Analysis on Turkey”. Sosyoekonomi 25/31 (January 2017), 45-74. https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.281854.
JAMA Ekinci R, Tüzün O, Ceylan F, Kahyaoğlu H. The Relationship between Openness and Unemployment: A Time Varying Parameter Analysis on Turkey. Sosyoekonomi. 2017;25:45–74.
MLA Ekinci, Ramazan et al. “The Relationship Between Openness and Unemployment: A Time Varying Parameter Analysis on Turkey”. Sosyoekonomi, vol. 25, no. 31, 2017, pp. 45-74, doi:10.17233/sosyoekonomi.281854.
Vancouver Ekinci R, Tüzün O, Ceylan F, Kahyaoğlu H. The Relationship between Openness and Unemployment: A Time Varying Parameter Analysis on Turkey. Sosyoekonomi. 2017;25(31):45-74.