Türkiye Orta Gelir Tuzağından Kaçabilir mi? İktisadi Gelişmeye Kurumsalcı Bir Yaklaşım

Year 2018, Volume: 26 Issue: 38, 151 - 170, 31.10.2018

Tekin Köse , Kürşat Çınar

https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2018.04.09

Cited By: 1

Abstract

Türkiye’nin, 2010 yılların başından itibaren iktisadi gelişmenin duraksadığı bir orta gelir tuzağına yakalandığı tartışılmaktadır. Bu makale, bu soruna eğilerek Türkiye bağlamında ve Türkiye’nin iktisadi gelişme seviyesinde olan diğer ülkeler için de uygulanabilecek kurumsalcı bir analiz sunmaktadır. Makale, tarihsel ve ekonometrik yöntemleri birleştiren çok metodlu bir yöntemle, Türkiye örneğindeki gibi yüksek orta gelirli ülkelerde daha fazla iktisadi gelişmeye ulaşılması için siyasi ve iktisadi kurumlardaki sorunların çözülmesi gerektiğinin altını çizmektedir. Çalışmanın tekrar edilebilirliği hem Türkiye örneğinde, hem de karşılaştırmalı olarak diğer ülkelerde çalışmanın güvenilirliğinin test edilmesine olanak sağlamaktadır.

Keywords

Türkiye, Siyasi Kurumlar, İktisadi Kurumlar, İktisadi Gelişme, Türkiye

Can Turkey Escape the Middle-Income Trap? An Institutional Approach to Economic Development

Abstract

Since the early 2010’s, Turkey is said to be caught in “middle-income trap” characterized by economic stagnation. In this article, we offer an institutional analysis for Turkey, and many other developing nations alike, which aspire to attain higher levels of economic affluence. Using a multi-method approach which combines econometric and historical analyses, we conclude that it would be very hard to progress economically for middle-income countries such as Turkey without addressing their deficiencies in political and economic institutions. Nature of this research enables replicability not only for the case study under analysis, but also for many comparable cases throughout the world.

Keywords

Political Institutions, Economic Institutions, Economic Development, Turkey

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