Middle Income Trap: The Ignored Role of Women

Year 2021, Volume: 29 Issue: 49, 33 - 46, 30.07.2021

Leyla Firuze Arda Özalp

https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2021.03.02

Abstract

This paper estimates the links between the middle-income trap and women’s employment with the dataset of 27 middle-income countries for 22 years. In line with the study’s prime objective, a panel logit regression model is used. The findings based on the conditional fixed-effects logistic regression show that the possibility of a middle-income country being a high-income economy is significantly associated with women’s employment rate, productivity, innovation, and institution. The results also show that female employment is an argument of escape strategy that has more impact than other variables.

Keywords

Middle Income Trap, Growth, Women’s Employment, Panel Data, Logistic Regression

Orta Gelir Tuzağı: Kadınların Göz Ardı Edilen Rolü

Abstract

Bu makale, orta gelir tuzağı ve kadın istihdamı arasındaki ilişkiyi, 22 yıllık dönem için 27 orta gelirli ülkenin veri setiyle tahmin etmektedir. Çalışmanın temel amacı doğrultusunda panel logit regresyon modeli kullanılmıştır. Lojistik regresyona bağlı bulgular, orta gelirli bir ülkenin yüksek gelirli bir ekonomi olma olasılığının, kadın istihdam oranı, verimlilik, yenilik ve kurumlar ile önemli ölçüde ilişkili olduğunu göstermektedir. Bununla birlikte, sonuçlar kadın istihdamının diğer değişkenlerden daha fazla etkiye sahip bir kaçış stratejisi argümanı olduğunu da göstermektedir.

Keywords

Orta Gelir Tuzağı, Büyüme, Kadın İstihdamı, Panel Veri, Lojistik Regresyon

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