The Effect of Unemployment and Urbanization on Migration in Turkey: An Evaluation in terms of the Harris-Todaro Model

Year 2022, Volume: 30 Issue: 51, 215 - 239, 31.01.2022

Canan Sancar Yusuf Ekrem Akbaş

https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2022.01.11

Abstract

This study tested whether there was a relationship between migration, unemployment, and urbanization based on the Harris-Todaro model in 12 regions of Turkey, which were formed according to NUTS-1 classification, in the period between 2008 and 2019. For this purpose, panel data methods that consider cross-section dependency were used in the study. As a result of the analysis, it was concluded that the Harris-Todaro model was valid in TR1, TR2, TR3, TR4, TR5, and TR6 regions. In TR7, TR8, TR9, TRA, TRB, and TRC regions, it was found that the Harris-Todaro model was not valid.

Keywords

Migration, Unemployment, Urbanization, The Harris-Todaro Model

Türkiye’de İşsizlik ve Kentleşmenin Göç Üzerindeki Etkisi: Harris-Todaro Modeli Açısından Bir Değerlendirme

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, Düzey 1 sınıflandırmasına göre Türkiye’nin 12 bölgesinde 2008-2019 döneminde Harris-Todaro modelinin geçerli olup olmadığı test edilmiştir. Bu amaçla çalışmada, yatay kesit bağımlılığını dikkate alan panel veri yöntemleri kullanılmıştır. Analiz sonucunda, TR1, TR2, TR3, TR4, TR5 ve TR6 bölgelerinde Harris-Todaro modelinin geçerli olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. TR7, TR8, TR9, TRA, TRB ve TRC bölgelerinde Harris-Todaro modeli geçerli değildir.

Keywords

Göç, İşsizlik, Kentleşme, Harris- Todaro Modeli

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