A New Approach to Sustainable Development: Analysis of the Environmental Phillips Curve Hypothesis

Year 2023, Volume: 31 Issue: 56, 11 - 25, 28.04.2023

Tunahan HACIİMAMOĞLU

https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2023.02.01

Abstract

This study aims to test the Environmental Phillips Curve hypothesis, which assumes a negative relationship between environmental pollution and unemployment in the Next-11 countries in 1991-2018. In the study in which ecological footprint was used as an indicator of environmental pollution, the long-term relationship was estimated using the LM test, and the coefficient was estimated using the Augmented Mean Group and Dynamic Common Correlated Effects estimators. As a result of the empirical analysis, it was found that the EPC hypothesis is valid in the Next-11 countries; in other words, the increase in unemployment reduces environmental pollution.

Keywords

Sustainable Development, Ecological Footprint, Environmental Pollution

Sürdürülebilir Kalkınmaya Yeni Bir Yaklaşım: Çevresel Phillips Eğrisi Hipotezinin Analizi

Abstract

Bu çalışmanın amacı, Next-11 ülkelerinde 1991-2018 döneminde çevresel kirlilik ve işsizlik arasında negatif bir ilişki olduğunu varsayan Çevresel Phillips Eğrisi hipotezini test etmektir. Çevresel kirlilik göstergesi olarak ekolojik ayak izinin kullanıldığı çalışmada, LM testi ile uzun dönemli ilişki, Genişletilmiş Ortalama Grup ve Dinamik Ortak İlişkili Etkiler tahmincileri ile de katsayı tahmini yapılmıştır. Ampirik analiz sonucunda Next-11 ülkelerinde EPC hipotezinin geçerli olduğu, diğer bir ifade ile işsizlikteki artışın çevresel kirliliği azalttığı bulgusuna ulaşılmıştır.

Keywords

Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma, Ekolojik Ayak İzi, Çevresel Kirlilik

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