The Impact of Monetary Policy on Environmental Degradation: A Comparative Analysis of Advanced and Emerging Economies
Year 2025,
Volume: 33 Issue: 65, 217 - 235, 17.07.2025
Ayşe Damla Turan
Ayşen Sivrikaya
Abstract
This study examines the impact of monetary policy on environmental degradation by applying the two-step system generalised method of moments (GMM) methodology and utilising panel data from 58 countries (1995-2021). Additionally, a comparative analysis of advanced and emerging economies is conducted. The findings reveal that while expansionary monetary policy significantly increases environmental degradation in emerging economies, no significant relationship is observed in advanced economies. This underscores the critical need to integrate sustainability into monetary policy frameworks. It is vital for long-term sustainable growth that central banks assess the environmental impacts of their activities, prioritise green investments, and promote green financial instruments.
References
-
Antweiler, W. et al. (2001), “Is free trade good for the environment?”, American Economic Review, 91(4), 877-908.
-
Araç, A. & S. Kutalmış-Özcan (2014), “The causality between financial development and economic growth: The case of Turkey”, Journal of Economic Cooperation & Development, 35(3), 171-198.
-
Arellano, M. & O. Bover (1995), “Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models”, Journal of Econometrics, 68, 29-51.
-
Arellano, M. & S. Bond (1991), “Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations”, The Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277-297.
-
Attilio, L.A. et al. (2023), “Does monetary policy impact CO2 emissions? A GVAR analysis”, Energy Economics, 119, 106559.
-
Batten, S. (2018), “Climate change and the macro-economy: a critical review”, Bank of England Staff Working Paper, 706.
-
Bildirici, M. et al. (2023), “Effects of fiscal and monetary policies, energy consumption and economic growth on CO2 emissions in the Turkish Economy: Nonlinear Bootstrapping NARDL and Nonlinear Causality Methods”, Sustainability, 15(13), 10463.
-
Blundell, R. & S. Bond (1998), “Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models”, Journal of Econometrics, 87, 115-143.
-
Breusch, T.S. & A.R. Pagan (1980), “The Lagrange multiplier test and its application to model specification in econometrics”, Review of Economic Studies, 47, 239-253.
-
Chishti, M.Z. et al. (2021), “Mitigations pathways towards sustainable development: Assessing the influence of fiscal and monetary policies on carbon emissions in BRICS economies”, Journal of Cleaner Production, 292, 126035.
-
Cole, M.A. (2004), “Trade, the Pollution Haven Hypothesis, and the Environmental Kuznets Curve: Examining the linkages”, Ecological Economics, 48(1), 71-81.
-
Copeland, B.R. & M.S. Taylor (1994), “North-South trade and the environment”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 109(3), 755-787.
-
Duc Tran, A. et al. (2023), “The impact of monetary policy on environmental pollution in a transition country: The case of Vietnam”, Journal of Organizational Behavior Research, 8(2), 54-65.
-
European Central Bank (2020), Guide on Climate-Related and Environmental Risks, November.
-
Fischer, S. (1974), “Money and the production function”, Economic Inquiry, 12(4), 517-533.
-
Frankel, J.A. & A.K. Rose (2005), “Is trade good or bad for the environment? Sorting out the causality”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 87(1), 85-91.
-
Green Central Banking (2024), <https://greencentralbanking.com/central-banks/federal-reserve/>, 04.06.2024.
-
Greenwood, J. & B. Jovanovic (1990), “Financial development, growth and the distribution of income”, Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), 1076-1107.
-
Greenwood, J. & B.D. Smith (1997), “Financial markets in development and the development of financial markets”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 21(1), 145-181.
-
Grossman, G. & A. Krueger (1991), “Environmental impacts of a North American Free Trade Agreement”, NBER Working Papers, 3914.
-
Grossman, G. & A. Krueger (1995), “Economic growth and the environment”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(2), 353-377.
-
Gulistan, A. et al. (2020), “Dynamic relationship among economic growth, energy, trade openness, tourism, and environmental degradation: fresh global”, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27, 3477-13487.
-
Hansen, L.P. (1982), “Large sample properties of Generalized Method of Moments estimators”, Econometrica, 50(4), 1029-1054.
-
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2023), AR6 Synthesis Report: Climate Change 2023, March.
-
Johnson, H. (1969), “Inside money, outside money, income, wealth, and welfare in monetary theory”, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1, 30-45.
-
Khan, S. et al. (2021), “Impact of financial development and energy consumption on environmental degradation in 184 countries using a dynamic panel model”, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28, 9542-9557.
-
Lau, C.K. et al. (2024),”Effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policies in promoting environmental quality: Evidence from five large emerging economies”, Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 60(1), 203-215.
-
Ling, T.Y. et al. (2020), “Trade openness and environmental degradation in ASEAN-5”, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 10(2), 691-707.
-
Magazzino, C. et al. (2022), “Renewable energy consumption, environmental degradation and economic growth: the greener the richer?”, Ecological Indicators, 139, 108912.
-
Majeed, M.T. & T. Luni (2019), “Renewable energy, water, and environmental degradation: A global panel data approach”, Pakistan Journal of Commerce and Social Sciences, 13(3), 749-778.
-
Mughal, N. et al. (2021), “Dynamic effects of fiscal and monetary policy instruments on environmental pollution in ASEAN”, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28, 65116-65126.
-
NGFS Network for Greening the Financial System (2020), “Climate Change and Monetary Policy: Initial Takeaways”, Technical Document, June.
-
NGFS Network for Greening the Financial System (2024), “NGFS Long-Term Scenarios for Central Banks and Supervisors”, Workstream on Scenario Design and Analysis, November.
-
Nguyen, T.P. et al. (2022), “Drivers of climate change in selected emerging countries: The ecological effects of monetary restrictions and expansions”, Cogent Economics & Finance, 10, 2114658.
-
Panayotou, T. (1993), “Empirical tests and policy analysis of environmental degradation at different stages of economic development”, ILO Working Papers, 992927783402676.
-
Patrick, H. (1966), “Financial development and economic growth in underdeveloped countries”, Economic Development Cultural Change, 14, 174-189.
-
Pesaran, M.H. & T. Yamagata (2008), “Testing slope homogeneity in large panels”, Journal of Econometrics, 142(1), 50-93.
-
Pesaran, M.H. (2003), “A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in the Presence of Cross Section Dependence”, Mimeo, University of Southern California.
-
Pesaran, M.H. (2004), “General diagnostic tests for cross-section dependence in panels”, Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, 0435, University of Cambridge.
-
Pesaran, M.H. et al. (2008), “A bias-adjusted LM test of error cross-section independence”, The Econometrics Journal, 11(1), 105-127.
-
Prescott, E.C. & R. Wessel (2018), Money in the production function, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
-
Qingquan, J. et al. (2020), “A new approach to environmental sustainability: Assessing the impact of monetary policy on CO2 emissions in Asian economies”, Sustainable Development, 28, 1331-1346.
-
Schumpeter, J.A. (1911), The theory of economic development, Harvard University Press, Cambridge.
-
Shirai, S. (2023), “Green central banking and regulation to foster sustainable finance”, ADBI Working Paper Series, 1361.
-
Stein, J. (1970), “Monetary growth theory in perspective”, The American Economic Review, 60, 85-106.
-
Tachie, A.K. et al. (2020), “The influence of trade openness on environmental pollution in EU-18 countries”, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27, 35535-35555.
-
Tamazian, A. et al. (2009), “Does higher economic and financial development lead to environmental degradation: Evidence from BRIC countries”, Energy Policy, 37, 246-253.
-
Uddin, M.M. (2021), “Revisiting the impacts of economic growth”, Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 28, 153-185.
-
Wu, J. et al. (2024), “Examining the non-linear effects of monetary policy on carbon emissions”, Energy Economics, 131, 107206.
Para Politikasının Çevresel Bozulma Üzerindeki Etkisi: Gelişmiş ve Gelişmekte Olan Ekonomilerin Karşılaştırmalı Analizi
Year 2025,
Volume: 33 Issue: 65, 217 - 235, 17.07.2025
Ayşe Damla Turan
Ayşen Sivrikaya
Abstract
Bu çalışma, para politikasının çevresel bozulma üzerindeki etkilerini iki aşamalı sistem genelleştirilmiş momentler (GMM) metodolojisini uygulayarak ve 58 ülkeden (1995-2021) elde edilen panel verileri kullanarak incelemektedir. Ayrıca, gelişmiş ve gelişmekte olan ekonomiler için karşılaştırmalı bir analiz yapılmıştır. Bulgular, genişletici para politikasının gelişmekte olan ülkelerde çevresel bozulmayı anlamlı şekilde artırırken, gelişmiş ekonomilerde anlamlı bir ilişki gözlemlenmediğini ortaya koymaktadır. Bu durum, para politikası çerçevelerine sürdürülebilirliğin entegre edilmesi gerektiğini vurgulamaktadır. Merkez bankalarının, faaliyetlerinin çevresel etkilerini değerlendirmesi, yeşil yatırımları önceliklendirmesi ve yeşil finansal araçları teşvik etmesi uzun vadeli sürdürülebilir büyüme için hayati önem taşımaktadır.
References
-
Antweiler, W. et al. (2001), “Is free trade good for the environment?”, American Economic Review, 91(4), 877-908.
-
Araç, A. & S. Kutalmış-Özcan (2014), “The causality between financial development and economic growth: The case of Turkey”, Journal of Economic Cooperation & Development, 35(3), 171-198.
-
Arellano, M. & O. Bover (1995), “Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models”, Journal of Econometrics, 68, 29-51.
-
Arellano, M. & S. Bond (1991), “Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations”, The Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277-297.
-
Attilio, L.A. et al. (2023), “Does monetary policy impact CO2 emissions? A GVAR analysis”, Energy Economics, 119, 106559.
-
Batten, S. (2018), “Climate change and the macro-economy: a critical review”, Bank of England Staff Working Paper, 706.
-
Bildirici, M. et al. (2023), “Effects of fiscal and monetary policies, energy consumption and economic growth on CO2 emissions in the Turkish Economy: Nonlinear Bootstrapping NARDL and Nonlinear Causality Methods”, Sustainability, 15(13), 10463.
-
Blundell, R. & S. Bond (1998), “Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models”, Journal of Econometrics, 87, 115-143.
-
Breusch, T.S. & A.R. Pagan (1980), “The Lagrange multiplier test and its application to model specification in econometrics”, Review of Economic Studies, 47, 239-253.
-
Chishti, M.Z. et al. (2021), “Mitigations pathways towards sustainable development: Assessing the influence of fiscal and monetary policies on carbon emissions in BRICS economies”, Journal of Cleaner Production, 292, 126035.
-
Cole, M.A. (2004), “Trade, the Pollution Haven Hypothesis, and the Environmental Kuznets Curve: Examining the linkages”, Ecological Economics, 48(1), 71-81.
-
Copeland, B.R. & M.S. Taylor (1994), “North-South trade and the environment”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 109(3), 755-787.
-
Duc Tran, A. et al. (2023), “The impact of monetary policy on environmental pollution in a transition country: The case of Vietnam”, Journal of Organizational Behavior Research, 8(2), 54-65.
-
European Central Bank (2020), Guide on Climate-Related and Environmental Risks, November.
-
Fischer, S. (1974), “Money and the production function”, Economic Inquiry, 12(4), 517-533.
-
Frankel, J.A. & A.K. Rose (2005), “Is trade good or bad for the environment? Sorting out the causality”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 87(1), 85-91.
-
Green Central Banking (2024), <https://greencentralbanking.com/central-banks/federal-reserve/>, 04.06.2024.
-
Greenwood, J. & B. Jovanovic (1990), “Financial development, growth and the distribution of income”, Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), 1076-1107.
-
Greenwood, J. & B.D. Smith (1997), “Financial markets in development and the development of financial markets”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 21(1), 145-181.
-
Grossman, G. & A. Krueger (1991), “Environmental impacts of a North American Free Trade Agreement”, NBER Working Papers, 3914.
-
Grossman, G. & A. Krueger (1995), “Economic growth and the environment”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(2), 353-377.
-
Gulistan, A. et al. (2020), “Dynamic relationship among economic growth, energy, trade openness, tourism, and environmental degradation: fresh global”, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27, 3477-13487.
-
Hansen, L.P. (1982), “Large sample properties of Generalized Method of Moments estimators”, Econometrica, 50(4), 1029-1054.
-
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2023), AR6 Synthesis Report: Climate Change 2023, March.
-
Johnson, H. (1969), “Inside money, outside money, income, wealth, and welfare in monetary theory”, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1, 30-45.
-
Khan, S. et al. (2021), “Impact of financial development and energy consumption on environmental degradation in 184 countries using a dynamic panel model”, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28, 9542-9557.
-
Lau, C.K. et al. (2024),”Effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policies in promoting environmental quality: Evidence from five large emerging economies”, Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 60(1), 203-215.
-
Ling, T.Y. et al. (2020), “Trade openness and environmental degradation in ASEAN-5”, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 10(2), 691-707.
-
Magazzino, C. et al. (2022), “Renewable energy consumption, environmental degradation and economic growth: the greener the richer?”, Ecological Indicators, 139, 108912.
-
Majeed, M.T. & T. Luni (2019), “Renewable energy, water, and environmental degradation: A global panel data approach”, Pakistan Journal of Commerce and Social Sciences, 13(3), 749-778.
-
Mughal, N. et al. (2021), “Dynamic effects of fiscal and monetary policy instruments on environmental pollution in ASEAN”, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28, 65116-65126.
-
NGFS Network for Greening the Financial System (2020), “Climate Change and Monetary Policy: Initial Takeaways”, Technical Document, June.
-
NGFS Network for Greening the Financial System (2024), “NGFS Long-Term Scenarios for Central Banks and Supervisors”, Workstream on Scenario Design and Analysis, November.
-
Nguyen, T.P. et al. (2022), “Drivers of climate change in selected emerging countries: The ecological effects of monetary restrictions and expansions”, Cogent Economics & Finance, 10, 2114658.
-
Panayotou, T. (1993), “Empirical tests and policy analysis of environmental degradation at different stages of economic development”, ILO Working Papers, 992927783402676.
-
Patrick, H. (1966), “Financial development and economic growth in underdeveloped countries”, Economic Development Cultural Change, 14, 174-189.
-
Pesaran, M.H. & T. Yamagata (2008), “Testing slope homogeneity in large panels”, Journal of Econometrics, 142(1), 50-93.
-
Pesaran, M.H. (2003), “A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in the Presence of Cross Section Dependence”, Mimeo, University of Southern California.
-
Pesaran, M.H. (2004), “General diagnostic tests for cross-section dependence in panels”, Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, 0435, University of Cambridge.
-
Pesaran, M.H. et al. (2008), “A bias-adjusted LM test of error cross-section independence”, The Econometrics Journal, 11(1), 105-127.
-
Prescott, E.C. & R. Wessel (2018), Money in the production function, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
-
Qingquan, J. et al. (2020), “A new approach to environmental sustainability: Assessing the impact of monetary policy on CO2 emissions in Asian economies”, Sustainable Development, 28, 1331-1346.
-
Schumpeter, J.A. (1911), The theory of economic development, Harvard University Press, Cambridge.
-
Shirai, S. (2023), “Green central banking and regulation to foster sustainable finance”, ADBI Working Paper Series, 1361.
-
Stein, J. (1970), “Monetary growth theory in perspective”, The American Economic Review, 60, 85-106.
-
Tachie, A.K. et al. (2020), “The influence of trade openness on environmental pollution in EU-18 countries”, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27, 35535-35555.
-
Tamazian, A. et al. (2009), “Does higher economic and financial development lead to environmental degradation: Evidence from BRIC countries”, Energy Policy, 37, 246-253.
-
Uddin, M.M. (2021), “Revisiting the impacts of economic growth”, Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 28, 153-185.
-
Wu, J. et al. (2024), “Examining the non-linear effects of monetary policy on carbon emissions”, Energy Economics, 131, 107206.