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Does Climate Change Strengthen the Link between Environmental Degradation and Agricultural Output? Empirical Evidence on the Turkish Economy

Year 2024, , 49 - 60, 28.06.2024
https://doi.org/10.24181/tarekoder.1472242

Abstract

Purpose: This study investigates the relationship between agricultural output and environmental degradation, climate change, agricultural employment and economic growth in the Turkish economy for the period 1990-2020.
Methodology: Direct and interactive effects of variables are investigated with the help of two different models. As an empirical method, the ARDL bounds test proposed by Pesaran et al. (2001) is utilized. After the existence of a long-run relationship, the long and short-run results are reported separately for the two models.
Findings: Empirical findings show the existence of cointegration relationship between the relevant variables. Long-run findings show that increases in temperature increase agricultural output, while increases in CO2 emissions, economic growth and agricultural employment decrease agricultural output. In the short run, only economic growth has a negative effect on agricultural output.
Originality: In the long run, the interactive effect of climate change and environmental degradation on agricultural output is found to be higher and more negative than the direct effects. This result reveals the importance of addressing climate change and environmental degradation together.
Key words: Agriculture, Climate Change, Environmental Degradation, Time Series Analysis, Türkiye.

References

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İklim Değişikliği Çevresel Bozulma ile Tarımsal Hasıla Bağlantısını Güçlendiriyor mu? Türkiye Ekonomisi Üzerine Ampirik Kanıtlar

Year 2024, , 49 - 60, 28.06.2024
https://doi.org/10.24181/tarekoder.1472242

Abstract

Amaç: Bu çalışmada Türkiye ekonomisinde 1990-2020 döneminde tarımsal hasıla ile çevresel bozulma, iklim değişikliği, tarımsal istihdam ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi araştırılmaktadır.
Metodoloji: Değişkenlerin doğrudan ve etkilşimli etkileri iki farklı model yardımıyla araştırılmıştır. Ampirik yöntem olarak Pesaran vd. (2001) tarafından önerilen ARDL Sınır Testindne yararlanılmıştır. Uzun dönem ilişkinin varlığı sonrası uzun ve kısa dönem sonuçları iki model için ayrı ayrı rapolanmıştır.
Bulgular: Ampirik bulgular ilgili değişkenke arasında eşbütünleşme ilişkisinin varlığını göstermiştir. Uzun dönem bulguları sıcaklık artışlarının tarımsal hasılayı artırdığını; CO2 emisyonu, iktisadi büyüme ve tarımsal istihdam artışlarının ise tarımsal hasılayı azalttığı sonucunu ortaya koymuştur. Kısa dönemde ise sadece ekonomik büyümenin tarımsal hasıla üzerindeki etkisinin negatif olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır.
Özgünlük: Uzun dönemde iklim değişikliği ve çevresel bozulmanın tarımsal hasıla üzerindeki etkileşimli etkisinin, doğrudan etkilere göre daha yüksek derecede ve olumsuz yönde olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Bu sonuç, iklim değişikliğinin ve çevresel bozulma sorununun birlikte ele alınmasının önemini ortaya koymaktadır.
Anahtar kelimeler: Tarım, İklim Değişikliği, Çevresel Bozulma, Zaman Serisi Analizi, Türkiye

Thanks

Başta dergi editörü ve editör kurulu olmak üzere "Tarım Ekonomisi Dergisi" çalışanlarına teşekkür ederiz.

References

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  • Bayer, C., and Hanck, C. (2013), “Eşbütünleşme olmayan testlerin birleştirilmesi”, Zaman Serisi Analizi Dergisi, 34(1), ss.83-95.
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  • FAO, 2024. https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data, Erişim Tarihi: 10.03.2024.
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  • Gokmenoglu, K. K., and Taspinar, N. (2018), “Testing the agriculture-induced EKC hypothesis: the case of Pakistan”, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 25, pp.22829-22841.
  • Gokmenoglu, K. K., Taspinar, N., and Kaakeh, M. (2019), “Agriculture-induced Environmental Kuznets Curve: the case of China”, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 26, pp.37137-37151.
  • Hayaloğlu, P. (2019), “İklim değişikliğinin tarım sektörü ve ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkileri”, Gümüşhane Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 9(25), ss.51-62.
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  • Johansen, S. (1988), “Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12, pp.231-54.
  • Johansen, S. (1991), “Estimation and hypothesis testing of cointegration vectors in Gaussian vector autoregressive models”, Econometrica 59, pp.1551-1580.
  • Johansen, S. and Juselius, K. (1990), “Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on cointegration-withapplications to the demand for money”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52, pp.169-210.
  • Johansen, S. and Juselius, K. (1992), “Testing structural hypotheses in a multivariate cointegration analysis of the PPP and the UIP for UK”, Journal of Econometrics, 53, pp.211-244.
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  • Li, X., and Fu, H. (2022), “Migrant remittance, agricultural producer services, and environmental pollution”, Asia-Pacific Journal of Accounting & Economics, 29(5), pp.1267-1282.
  • Ma, B., Karimi, M. S., “Mohammed, K. S., Shahzadi, I., and Dai, J. (2024), Nexus between climate change, agricultural output, fertilizer use, agriculture soil emissions: Novel implications in the context of environmental management”, Journal of Cleaner Production, 141801.
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There are 72 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Agricultural Economics (Other)
Journal Section Research
Authors

Sefa Özbek 0000-0002-1043-2056

Bahar Özbek 0000-0002-4335-9086

Publication Date June 28, 2024
Submission Date April 22, 2024
Acceptance Date June 11, 2024
Published in Issue Year 2024

Cite

APA Özbek, S., & Özbek, B. (2024). Does Climate Change Strengthen the Link between Environmental Degradation and Agricultural Output? Empirical Evidence on the Turkish Economy. Tarım Ekonomisi Dergisi, 30(1), 49-60. https://doi.org/10.24181/tarekoder.1472242
AMA Özbek S, Özbek B. Does Climate Change Strengthen the Link between Environmental Degradation and Agricultural Output? Empirical Evidence on the Turkish Economy. TED - TJAE. June 2024;30(1):49-60. doi:10.24181/tarekoder.1472242
Chicago Özbek, Sefa, and Bahar Özbek. “Does Climate Change Strengthen the Link Between Environmental Degradation and Agricultural Output? Empirical Evidence on the Turkish Economy”. Tarım Ekonomisi Dergisi 30, no. 1 (June 2024): 49-60. https://doi.org/10.24181/tarekoder.1472242.
EndNote Özbek S, Özbek B (June 1, 2024) Does Climate Change Strengthen the Link between Environmental Degradation and Agricultural Output? Empirical Evidence on the Turkish Economy. Tarım Ekonomisi Dergisi 30 1 49–60.
IEEE S. Özbek and B. Özbek, “Does Climate Change Strengthen the Link between Environmental Degradation and Agricultural Output? Empirical Evidence on the Turkish Economy”, TED - TJAE, vol. 30, no. 1, pp. 49–60, 2024, doi: 10.24181/tarekoder.1472242.
ISNAD Özbek, Sefa - Özbek, Bahar. “Does Climate Change Strengthen the Link Between Environmental Degradation and Agricultural Output? Empirical Evidence on the Turkish Economy”. Tarım Ekonomisi Dergisi 30/1 (June 2024), 49-60. https://doi.org/10.24181/tarekoder.1472242.
JAMA Özbek S, Özbek B. Does Climate Change Strengthen the Link between Environmental Degradation and Agricultural Output? Empirical Evidence on the Turkish Economy. TED - TJAE. 2024;30:49–60.
MLA Özbek, Sefa and Bahar Özbek. “Does Climate Change Strengthen the Link Between Environmental Degradation and Agricultural Output? Empirical Evidence on the Turkish Economy”. Tarım Ekonomisi Dergisi, vol. 30, no. 1, 2024, pp. 49-60, doi:10.24181/tarekoder.1472242.
Vancouver Özbek S, Özbek B. Does Climate Change Strengthen the Link between Environmental Degradation and Agricultural Output? Empirical Evidence on the Turkish Economy. TED - TJAE. 2024;30(1):49-60.

              

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