Amaç: Çocuk yoğun bakım ünitelerinde (ÇYBÜ) son derece teknolojik kurulumlara ihtiyaç bulunmaktadır. Gelişmiş teknolojiye ek olarak bu birimlerdeki hizmeti standart hale getirmek üzere mortalite skorlama sistemlerine ihtiyaç olmaktadır. Pediatric Index of Mortality (PIM) ve Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) skorlamaları en iyi mortalite tahmin skorlarıdır. Çalışmanın amacı, ileri merkezlerde geliştirilmiş olan skorlamaların etkinliklerini kıyaslayarak aralarından ünitemiz için en uygun olanını seçmek ve bu skorlama sistemini yoğun bakım ünitemize yerleştirmektir.Gereç ve Yöntemler: Bir yıl içinde ÇYBÜ’e yapılan 389 yatış çalışmaya dahil edildi. PIM2, PRISM skorlamaları prospektif olarak hesaplandı. Bu skorlamaların ayırt ettirici özellikleri istatistiksel olarak ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristics) eğrisi altında kalan alan hesaplanarak değerlendirildi. Skorlamaların ünitemize uygunluğu Hosmer ve Lemeshow tarafından geliştirilen Goodness-of-fit testi ile değerlendirildi. Her üç skorlama için de p değeri 0.05 alındı. Standardize edilmiş mortalite oranı (SMR) hesaplandı.Bulgular: PIM2, PRISM-12 ve 24 için sırayla 0.84, 0.86 ve 0.89 bulundu. ROC eğrisi altında kalan alanın 0.80’nin üzerinde olması nedeniyle her üç skorlama sisteminin de iyi ayırt ettirici özellikte olduğu görüldü. Her üç skorlama için SMR 1’in altında bulundu.Sonuç: Bu sonuçlar merkezimizde gözlenen mortalitenin beklenen mortaliteden daha düşük olduğunu gösterdi. Sonuç olarak bu skorlamaların ünitemiz için mortaliteyi öngörmede ayırt ettirici olduğu ancak kalibrasyonlarının yeterli olmadığı görüldü.
Objective: There is a need for a highly technological setting in pediatric intensive care units. In addition to advanced technology, mortality scoring systems are necessary to standardize the care given in these units. Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) and Pediatric Index of Mortality (PIM) are the best known mortality prediction scores. The aim of this study was to determine and validate the scoring systems’ effectiveness in order to choose the most suitable one and put it in regular practice in our unit. We included the three hundred eighty nine admissions to the PICU within one year in the study. Material and Methods: Mortality scores for PIM2 and PRISM were calculated prospectively. Discriminatory performance was assessed with the Receiver Operating Curve (ROC). Statistical analysis for calibration of the scoring systems was carried out using the Hosmer and Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. P values were < 0.05 for all scoring systems. Standardized mortality rates (SMR) were also calculated.Results: All three scoring systems exhibited good discrimination with area under the curve values of 0.84, 0.86 and 0.89 for PIM2, PRISM12 and PRISM24 respectively. SMRs were less than 1.0 for all scoring systems. Conclusion: This result showed that mortality was lower than that expected for our unit indicating that these scoring systems have good discriminatory performance, but their calibrations were poor for our unit
Other ID | JA69UP56YC |
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Journal Section | Research Article |
Authors | |
Publication Date | April 1, 2018 |
Submission Date | April 1, 2018 |
Published in Issue | Year 2018 Volume: 12 Issue: 1 |
The publication language of Turkish Journal of Pediatric Disease is English.
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