Precursors of The Elazig-Sivrice Earthquake (January 24th, 2020)

Abstract

The scope of this study is to investigate the relationship between the observable abnormal changes in the nature, animals, electronic devices and the large-scale earthquakes for the 24 January 2020 Mw=6.8 Elazig-Sivrice Earthquake. These abnormal changes were collected by using face-to-face survey technique on 127 volunteer disaster victims in the shelters located in the center of Elazig province after the earthquake. The questionnaire is applied to 127 disaster victims in different disaster relief shelter areas located in Elazig after the earthquake. According to the survey findings, a total of 117 unusual observations about humans, a total of 214 unusual observations about animals, a total of 147 unusual observations of the sky, a total of 165 unusual observations of the weather, a total of 59 unusual observations on spring waters and fountain, a total of 31 unusual observations on lakes and dams and a total of 73 extraordinary observations in electrical-electronic devices are observed. As a result, it can be said that the abnormalities in the nature, animals and electronic devices warm to us within the month before the Earthquakes. To record the abnormal changes, which are also observed before many major earthquakes on a global scale, as earthquake precursors are going to contribute to the development of earthquake prediction studies and early warning systems at local scale.

Keywords

• Face-to-face questionnaire
• Disaster victims
• Earthquake precursors

Elazığ-Sivrice Depremi’nin (24 Ocak 2020) Öncül Belirtileri

Abstract

Bu çalışma kapsamında; büyük ölçekli depremler meydana gelmeden önce doğa, canlılar ve elektronik cihazlar üzerinde gözlemlenebilen anormal değişimlerin 24 Ocak 2020 Elazığ-Sivrice Depremi (Mw=6.8) ile ilişkisinin araştırılması amaçlanmıştır. Bu anormal değişimler; deprem sonrasında Elazığ ilinin merkezinde konuşlandırılan barınma alanlarındaki 127 gönüllü afetzede katılımcı üzerinde yüz yüze anket tekniği kullanılarak derlenmiştir. Katılımcılar tarafından insanlarda 117, hayvanlarda 214, gökyüzünde 147, hava durumunda 165, kaynak ve çeşme sularında 59, göl ve barajlarda 31 ve elektrik-elektronik cihazlarda toplam 73 sıra dışı gözlem yapılmıştır. Sonuç olarak, Elazığ Depremi meydana gelmeden önceki bir aylık zaman diliminde; doğanın, canlıların ve elektronik cihazların gözlemlenebilecek düzeyde sıra dışı değişimler sergilediği söylenebilir. Küresel ölçekte büyük depremler öncesinde de gözlemlenen bu anormal değişimlerin; depremlerin olası öncül belirtileri olarak kayda geçirilmesi yerel ölçekte deprem tahmin çalışmalarının ve erken uyarı sistemlerinin geliştirilmesine katkı sağlayacaktır.

Keywords

• Yüz yüze anket
• Afetzede
• Depremlerin öncülleri

Thanks

Elazığ-Sivrice ilçesine ait meteorolojik veri setlerinin bu çalışma kapsamında kullanılmasına izin veren T.C. Çevre, Şehircilik ve İklim Değişikliği Bakanlığı-Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğüne teşekkürlerimizi sunarız.

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