Can an Earthquake be Predicted Using Meteorological Data?

Abstract

To investigate whether there is a relationship between earthquakes and meteorological data, earthquakes with magnitudes 4.0≤Mw≤7.0 were compared with daily average temperature, average wind speed, total rainfall and sea water temperature values in the Aegean Sea. On the contrary the news about changes in air temperature and sea water being precursors of earthquakes is frequently seen on both social media and in the national press, our study conducted with data covering the pre- and post-earthquakes has shown that such associations can only be explained by coincidences. It was observed that there is no relationship between 4.0≤Mw≤7.0 earthquakes and meteorological data in the Aegean Sea.

Keywords

• Earthquake
• Aegean
• Sea
• Meteorology
• Temperature

Meteorolojik Veriler Kullanılarak Deprem Tahmin Edilebilir mi?

Abstract

Depremler ile meteorolojik veriler arasında bir ilişkinin bulunup bulunmadığı araştırmak için Ege Denizi özelinde büyüklüğü 4.0≤Mw≤7.0 depremler ile günlük ortalama sıcaklık, ortalama rüzgâr hızı, toplam yağış miktarı ve deniz suyu sıcaklığı değerleri karşılaştırılmıştır. Hava sıcaklığında ve deniz suyundaki değişimlerin depremin habercisi olduğu yönündeki haberler sosyal medyada ve ulusal basında sıklıkla görülse de depremlerin öncesini ve sonrasını kapsayan veriler ile yapılan incelemeler bu tür ilişkilendirmenin sadece rastlantılar ile açıklanabileceğini göstermektedir. Ege denizi özelinde büyüklüğü 4.0≤Mw≤7.0aralığındaki depremlerle meteorolojik verilerin arasında herhangi bir ilişkinin olmadığı görülmüştür.

Keywords

• Deprem
• Ege
• Deniz
• Meteoroloji
• Sıcaklık

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