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EKONOMİK VE PSİKOLOJİK BELİRSİZLİK BAĞLAMINDA DOOM SPENDİNG: KAVRAMSAL BİR MODEL ÖNERİSİ

Year 2026, Volume: 9 Issue: 19, 201 - 216, 31.01.2026
https://doi.org/10.55830/tje.1801065

Abstract

Bu çalışma, ekonomik ve psikolojik belirsizliklerin bireylerin duygusal durumları ve tüketim davranışları üzerindeki etkisini inceleyen kavramsal bir model önermektedir. Belirsizlik → duygusal bozukluk → doom spending süreci temel alınarak oluşturulan modelde, sosyal medya maruziyetinin bu ilişkiyi güçlendirici, finansal okuryazarlığın ise zayıflatıcı etkileri olduğu varsayılmıştır. Türkiye özelinde özellikle yüksek enflasyon dönemlerinde gözlenen irrasyonel harcama davranışları, modelin geçerliliğini destekler niteliktedir. Model, tüketici psikolojisi, davranışsal ekonomi ve dijital medya etkilerini bütüncül olarak ele alması açısından literatüre disiplinlerarası bir katkı sunmaktadır. Ayrıca bu çalışma, sosyal medya içerikleri ve finansal okuryazarlık düzeylerinin doom spending davranışları üzerindeki etkilerinin gelecek araştırmalarda ampirik olarak test edilmesine zemin hazırlamaktadır

References

  • Aktaş, H., & Erkan, H. (2024). Belirsizlik ortamında bireysel harcama motivasyonları: Pandemi sonrası dönemde davranışsal etkiler. Tüketici ve Pazar Araştırmaları Dergisi, 11(1), 17–39. https://www.proquest.com/dissertations-theses/sağlık-iletişimi-ve-panik-söylemi-yeni-medyada/docview/3122662576/se-2?accountid=191755
  • Bachmann, R., Elstner, S., & Sims, E. R. (2013). Uncertainty and economic activity: Evidence from business survey data. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 5(2), 217–249. DOI: 10.1257/mac.5.2.217.
  • Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., & Davis, S. J. (2016). Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(4), 1593–1636. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjw024
  • Başçı,E.(2005).Credit growth in Turkey: drivers and challenges. Bank for International Settlements, BIS Papers No. 28. https://www.bis.org/publ/bppdf/bispap28y.pdf.
  • Baumeister, R. F. (2002). Yielding to temptation: Self‐control failure, impulsive purchasing, and consumer behavior. Journal of Consumer Research, 28(4), 670–676. https://doi.org/10.1086/338209
  • Ben Salah A, DeAngelis BN, al'Absi M. Uncertainty and psychological distress during COVID-19: What about protective factors? Curr Psychol. 2022 May 28:1-8. doi: 10.1007/s12144-022-03244-2. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 35669208; PMCID: PMC9145118. https://doi.org/10.1086/338209
  • Bloom, N. (2014). Fluctuations in uncertainty. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 28(2), 153–176. DOI: 10.1257/jep.28.2.153
  • Bonciani, D., & Roye, B. (2015). Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions and economic activity. ECB Working Paper Series, No. 1785. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2016.09.008
  • Coibion, O., Gorodnichenko, Y., & Weber, M. (2020). The cost of the covid-19 crisis: Lockdowns, macroeconomic expectations, and consumer spending (No. w27141). National Bureau of Economic Research. DOI 10.3386/w27141
  • Coibion, O., Gorodnichenko, Y., & Weber, M. (2021). Fiscal policy and households’ inflation expectations: Evidence from a randomized control trial (No. w28485). National Bureau of Economic Research. DOI 10.3386/w28485
  • Değirmenci, T., Ünsal, Y., & Cengiz, Y. (2024). Türkiye’de politik istikrar, ekonomik politika belirsizliği ve ekonomik büyümenin askeri harcamalar üzerindeki etkisi. Politik Ekonomik Kuram, 8(2), 370-384. https://doi.org/10.30586/pek.1422314
  • Deloitte. (2022). Global Consumer Tracker: Behavior and sentiment through uncertainty. Retrieved from https://www2.deloitte.com.
  • Doğan, E. (2021). Politika Belirsizliği İle Fiyat İstikrarı Arasındaki İlişkinin Analizi: Türkiye Örneği. İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimlerde Özgün Çalışmalar, 162.
  • Erataş, H., & Ünal, Y. (2024). Global financial factors and credit expansion in Turkey. Ekonomik Yaklaşım, 35(1), 75–96. https://www.ekonomikyaklasim.org/index.php?fulltxt=184405&fulltxtj=94&fulltxtp=94-1704715781.pdf. Fischhoff, B., Slovic, P., Lichtenstein, S., Read, S., & Combs, B. (2000). How safe is safe enough? A psychometric study of attitudes toward technological risks and benefits. Policy Sciences, 9(2), 127–152. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/BF00143739.
  • Giavazzi, F., & McMahon, M. (2012). Policy uncertainty and household savings. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 94(2), 517–531. https://doi.org/10.1162/REST_a_00158
  • Gomado, K. M. (2024). Distributional effects of structural reforms in developing countries: Evidence from financial liberalization. Open Economies Review, 35(5), 1051-1084. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11079-023-09740-7
  • Grupe, D. W., & Nitschke, J. B. (2013). Uncertainty and anticipation in anxiety: An integrated neurobiological and psychological perspective. Nature Reviews Neuroscience, 14(7), 488–501. https://doi.org/10.1038/nrn3524
  • Haddow, A., Hare, C., Hooley, J., & Shakir, T. (2013). Macroeconomic uncertainty: what is it, how can we measure it and why does it matter? Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2281090#paper-references-widget.
  • Hertwig, R., & Erev, I. (2009). The description–experience gap in risky choice. Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 13(12), 517–523. DOI: 10.1016/j.tics.2009.09.004
  • Husnayetti, I. N., & Junarti, A. T. Y. Doom Spending Behaviour Among the Digital Generation: The Role of Financial Literacy and Social Media Interaction. DOI: 10.47191/jefms/v8-i6-44, Impact Factor: 8.317.
  • Keynes, J. M. (1936). The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. Macmillan.
  • Knight, F. H. (1921). Risk, Uncertainty and Profit. Houghton Mifflin.
  • Korucuk, E. (2025). Tüketim Çılgınlığı: Doom Spending’in Bireysel ve Toplumsal Etkileri. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/394520308_TUKETIM_CILGINLIGI_DOOM_SPENDING%27IN_BIREYSEL_VE_TOPLUMSAL_ETKILERI#fullTextFileContent.
  • Lee, J., Park, Y., & Shin, K. (2021). Economic uncertainty and credit risk: Evidence from emerging economies. Finance Research Letters, 39, 101585.
  • Lins, K. V., Servaes, H., & Tamayo, A. (2017). Social capital, trust, and firm performance: The value of corporate social responsibility during the financial crisis. The Journal of Finance, 72(4), 1785–1824. https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12505
  • Loewenstein, G. (2000). Emotions in economic theory and economic behavior. American Economic Review, 90(2), 426–432. DOI: 10.1257/aer.90.2.426
  • McKinsey & Company. (2023). The state of fashion 2023: Resilience in the face of uncertainty. Retrieved from https://www.mckinsey.com
  • Mulska, O. (2023). Financial stability of households and territorial communities under instability conditions: Elasticity to the economic progress. World of finance, (2 (75)), 155-168. DOI: https://doi.org/10.35774/sf2023.02.155
  • Norris, J. (2023). The Psychology of Doom Spending. Behavioral Economics Review, 5(3), 215–232. Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263–292. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003145851
  • Özer, B. (2025). Doomspender Kavramı Ve Postmodern Tüketim Olgusu Bağlamında Üniversite Öğrencilerinin Tüketim Alışkanlıklarının İncelenmesi. Pazarlama Ve Pazarlama Araştırmaları Dergisi, 18(3), 599-636. https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/ppad/issue/94780/1642596#article_cite
  • Peters, E., Västfjäll, D., Slovic, P., Mertz, C. K., Mazzocco, K., & Dickert, S. (2006). Numeracy and decision making. Psychological Science, 17(5), 407–413. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9280.2006.01720.x
  • Scammon, C. N. (2025). The Relationships Between Doomscrolling and Anxiety, Depression, and Coping (Doctoral dissertation, Northwest University). https://www.proquest.com/dissertations-theses/relationships-between-doomscrolling-anxiety/docview/3219526560/se-2
  • Sibley, C. G., et al. (2022). Economic stress and psychological well-being: The moderating role of perceived institutional trust. PLOS ONE, 17(2).
  • Supriadia, S. (2025). Doom Spending Among Economics Education Students: A Psychological And Socioeconomic Perspective. Journal of Economic Ecuation, 4(1), 104-112.
  • Umapathy, T. (2024). Behavioral Economics: Understanding Irrationality In Economic Decision-Making. Migration Letters, 21(S2), 923-32. https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Tumapathy-Thulasidass/publication/385695916_Migration_Letters/links/6730c93377f274616d686a72/Migration-Letters.pdf
  • Watkins, E. (2008). Constructive and unconstructive repetitive thought. Psychological Bulletin, 134(2), 163–206. https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-2909.134.2.163

DOOM SPENDİNG IN THE CONTEXT OF ECONOMİC AND PSYCHOLOGİCAL UNCERTAİNTY: A CONCEPTUAL MODEL PROPOSAL

Year 2026, Volume: 9 Issue: 19, 201 - 216, 31.01.2026
https://doi.org/10.55830/tje.1801065

Abstract

This study proposes a conceptual model examining the effects of economic and psychological uncertainty on individuals’ emotional states and consumption behavior. The model is structured around the sequence: uncertainty → emotional disturbance → doom spending, assuming that social media exposure amplifies this relationship while financial literacy mitigates it. Particularly in Turkey, irrational consumer spending behaviors observed during high-inflation periods support the model’s practical relevance. The study offers an interdisciplinary contribution by integrating perspectives from consumer psychology, behavioral economics, and digital media. It also provides a theoretical basis for future empirical research on how social media content and financial literacy levels influence doom spending behavior.

References

  • Aktaş, H., & Erkan, H. (2024). Belirsizlik ortamında bireysel harcama motivasyonları: Pandemi sonrası dönemde davranışsal etkiler. Tüketici ve Pazar Araştırmaları Dergisi, 11(1), 17–39. https://www.proquest.com/dissertations-theses/sağlık-iletişimi-ve-panik-söylemi-yeni-medyada/docview/3122662576/se-2?accountid=191755
  • Bachmann, R., Elstner, S., & Sims, E. R. (2013). Uncertainty and economic activity: Evidence from business survey data. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 5(2), 217–249. DOI: 10.1257/mac.5.2.217.
  • Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., & Davis, S. J. (2016). Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(4), 1593–1636. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjw024
  • Başçı,E.(2005).Credit growth in Turkey: drivers and challenges. Bank for International Settlements, BIS Papers No. 28. https://www.bis.org/publ/bppdf/bispap28y.pdf.
  • Baumeister, R. F. (2002). Yielding to temptation: Self‐control failure, impulsive purchasing, and consumer behavior. Journal of Consumer Research, 28(4), 670–676. https://doi.org/10.1086/338209
  • Ben Salah A, DeAngelis BN, al'Absi M. Uncertainty and psychological distress during COVID-19: What about protective factors? Curr Psychol. 2022 May 28:1-8. doi: 10.1007/s12144-022-03244-2. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 35669208; PMCID: PMC9145118. https://doi.org/10.1086/338209
  • Bloom, N. (2014). Fluctuations in uncertainty. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 28(2), 153–176. DOI: 10.1257/jep.28.2.153
  • Bonciani, D., & Roye, B. (2015). Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions and economic activity. ECB Working Paper Series, No. 1785. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2016.09.008
  • Coibion, O., Gorodnichenko, Y., & Weber, M. (2020). The cost of the covid-19 crisis: Lockdowns, macroeconomic expectations, and consumer spending (No. w27141). National Bureau of Economic Research. DOI 10.3386/w27141
  • Coibion, O., Gorodnichenko, Y., & Weber, M. (2021). Fiscal policy and households’ inflation expectations: Evidence from a randomized control trial (No. w28485). National Bureau of Economic Research. DOI 10.3386/w28485
  • Değirmenci, T., Ünsal, Y., & Cengiz, Y. (2024). Türkiye’de politik istikrar, ekonomik politika belirsizliği ve ekonomik büyümenin askeri harcamalar üzerindeki etkisi. Politik Ekonomik Kuram, 8(2), 370-384. https://doi.org/10.30586/pek.1422314
  • Deloitte. (2022). Global Consumer Tracker: Behavior and sentiment through uncertainty. Retrieved from https://www2.deloitte.com.
  • Doğan, E. (2021). Politika Belirsizliği İle Fiyat İstikrarı Arasındaki İlişkinin Analizi: Türkiye Örneği. İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimlerde Özgün Çalışmalar, 162.
  • Erataş, H., & Ünal, Y. (2024). Global financial factors and credit expansion in Turkey. Ekonomik Yaklaşım, 35(1), 75–96. https://www.ekonomikyaklasim.org/index.php?fulltxt=184405&fulltxtj=94&fulltxtp=94-1704715781.pdf. Fischhoff, B., Slovic, P., Lichtenstein, S., Read, S., & Combs, B. (2000). How safe is safe enough? A psychometric study of attitudes toward technological risks and benefits. Policy Sciences, 9(2), 127–152. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/BF00143739.
  • Giavazzi, F., & McMahon, M. (2012). Policy uncertainty and household savings. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 94(2), 517–531. https://doi.org/10.1162/REST_a_00158
  • Gomado, K. M. (2024). Distributional effects of structural reforms in developing countries: Evidence from financial liberalization. Open Economies Review, 35(5), 1051-1084. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11079-023-09740-7
  • Grupe, D. W., & Nitschke, J. B. (2013). Uncertainty and anticipation in anxiety: An integrated neurobiological and psychological perspective. Nature Reviews Neuroscience, 14(7), 488–501. https://doi.org/10.1038/nrn3524
  • Haddow, A., Hare, C., Hooley, J., & Shakir, T. (2013). Macroeconomic uncertainty: what is it, how can we measure it and why does it matter? Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2281090#paper-references-widget.
  • Hertwig, R., & Erev, I. (2009). The description–experience gap in risky choice. Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 13(12), 517–523. DOI: 10.1016/j.tics.2009.09.004
  • Husnayetti, I. N., & Junarti, A. T. Y. Doom Spending Behaviour Among the Digital Generation: The Role of Financial Literacy and Social Media Interaction. DOI: 10.47191/jefms/v8-i6-44, Impact Factor: 8.317.
  • Keynes, J. M. (1936). The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. Macmillan.
  • Knight, F. H. (1921). Risk, Uncertainty and Profit. Houghton Mifflin.
  • Korucuk, E. (2025). Tüketim Çılgınlığı: Doom Spending’in Bireysel ve Toplumsal Etkileri. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/394520308_TUKETIM_CILGINLIGI_DOOM_SPENDING%27IN_BIREYSEL_VE_TOPLUMSAL_ETKILERI#fullTextFileContent.
  • Lee, J., Park, Y., & Shin, K. (2021). Economic uncertainty and credit risk: Evidence from emerging economies. Finance Research Letters, 39, 101585.
  • Lins, K. V., Servaes, H., & Tamayo, A. (2017). Social capital, trust, and firm performance: The value of corporate social responsibility during the financial crisis. The Journal of Finance, 72(4), 1785–1824. https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12505
  • Loewenstein, G. (2000). Emotions in economic theory and economic behavior. American Economic Review, 90(2), 426–432. DOI: 10.1257/aer.90.2.426
  • McKinsey & Company. (2023). The state of fashion 2023: Resilience in the face of uncertainty. Retrieved from https://www.mckinsey.com
  • Mulska, O. (2023). Financial stability of households and territorial communities under instability conditions: Elasticity to the economic progress. World of finance, (2 (75)), 155-168. DOI: https://doi.org/10.35774/sf2023.02.155
  • Norris, J. (2023). The Psychology of Doom Spending. Behavioral Economics Review, 5(3), 215–232. Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263–292. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003145851
  • Özer, B. (2025). Doomspender Kavramı Ve Postmodern Tüketim Olgusu Bağlamında Üniversite Öğrencilerinin Tüketim Alışkanlıklarının İncelenmesi. Pazarlama Ve Pazarlama Araştırmaları Dergisi, 18(3), 599-636. https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/ppad/issue/94780/1642596#article_cite
  • Peters, E., Västfjäll, D., Slovic, P., Mertz, C. K., Mazzocco, K., & Dickert, S. (2006). Numeracy and decision making. Psychological Science, 17(5), 407–413. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9280.2006.01720.x
  • Scammon, C. N. (2025). The Relationships Between Doomscrolling and Anxiety, Depression, and Coping (Doctoral dissertation, Northwest University). https://www.proquest.com/dissertations-theses/relationships-between-doomscrolling-anxiety/docview/3219526560/se-2
  • Sibley, C. G., et al. (2022). Economic stress and psychological well-being: The moderating role of perceived institutional trust. PLOS ONE, 17(2).
  • Supriadia, S. (2025). Doom Spending Among Economics Education Students: A Psychological And Socioeconomic Perspective. Journal of Economic Ecuation, 4(1), 104-112.
  • Umapathy, T. (2024). Behavioral Economics: Understanding Irrationality In Economic Decision-Making. Migration Letters, 21(S2), 923-32. https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Tumapathy-Thulasidass/publication/385695916_Migration_Letters/links/6730c93377f274616d686a72/Migration-Letters.pdf
  • Watkins, E. (2008). Constructive and unconstructive repetitive thought. Psychological Bulletin, 134(2), 163–206. https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-2909.134.2.163
There are 36 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Digital Marketing, Consumer Behaviour
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Mümine Karadağ 0000-0001-5922-0794

Submission Date October 10, 2025
Acceptance Date December 24, 2025
Publication Date January 31, 2026
Published in Issue Year 2026 Volume: 9 Issue: 19

Cite

APA Karadağ, M. (2026). EKONOMİK VE PSİKOLOJİK BELİRSİZLİK BAĞLAMINDA DOOM SPENDİNG: KAVRAMSAL BİR MODEL ÖNERİSİ. İstanbul Ticaret Üniversitesi Girişimcilik Dergisi, 9(19), 201-216. https://doi.org/10.55830/tje.1801065