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A regression analysis of fiberboard production, import and export amounts in Turkey, with projections to 2021

Year 2015, Volume: 16 Issue: 1, 27 - 35, 09.04.2015
https://doi.org/10.18182/tjf.74822

Abstract

That the foreign trade enjoys an important place in the industrialization policies shows the need to develop fiberboard industry and give important to this sector. For this reason, it has become very important to examine changes to occur in the production and foreign trade structure of fiberboard industry in Turkey over time. And hence in this study, models are established and projections are developed for production, import and export of Turkish fiberboard industry by econometric method. As a result of regression analysis performed, it is seen that fiberboard production of 2 million m3 in 2006 shall increase 1.5 times in the year 2021, reaching to 3.4 million m3, and the fiberboard export around 200 thousands m3 in 2004-2006 shall reach to 330 thousands m3 and import of 500 thousands m3 to 900 m3 thousands in 2021. 

References

  • DTM, 2008. Undersecretariat of The Prime Ministry For Foreign Trade of Turkey, http://www.dtm.gov.tr/ dtmweb/index.cfm, Accessed: 23.12.2008.
  • FAO, 2008. Food and Agriculture Organization of The United Nations, http://faostat.fao.org/site/626/default. aspx#ancor, Accessed: 30.11.2008.
  • FAO, 2014. Food and Agriculture Organization of The United aspx#ancor, Accessed: 10.08.2014.
  • FSCC, 2008. Forest Certification Council, http://www. fsc.org/, Accessed: 25.11.2008.
  • IGEME, 2008. Export Development Center, Ministry of Industry and Trade, http://www.igeme.org.tr/, Accessed: 13.11.2008.
  • Koç, H., Aksu, B., 1999. Türkiye liflevha diş ticareti. Laminant Mobilya Dekorasyon Sanat Tasarım Dergisi, 3: 82-85.
  • OGM, 2008. General Directorate of Forestry, Forestry Statistics, http://www.ogm.gov.tr/, Accessed: 29.11.2008.
  • Sakarya, S., Canli, Ş., 2011. Orta Anadolu Ağaç Mamulleri ve Orman Ürünleri İhracatçıları Birliği, Levha Sanayi Raporu,17 s.
  • Tank, T., Göker, Y., Kurtoğlu, A., Erdin, N., 1998. Türkiye’de orman ürünleri endüstrisindeki gelişmeler. Cumhuriyetimizin Sempozyumu, Bildiri Kitabı, s. 471-475, İstanbul.
  • TOBB, 2007. Union of Chambers and Commodity Turkey, Exchanges www.tobb.org.tr, Accessed: 11.09.2007. Industry Database,
  • TOBB, 2012. Union of Chambers and Commodity Exchanges of Turkey, 2011 Turkey Forest Products Sector Council, 49 s.
  • TUIK, 2008. Turkish Statistics Institute, http://www. tuik.gov.tr/VeriBilgi, Accessed: 30.12.2008.

Türkiye'de liflevha üretimi, ithalat ve ihracat değerlerine ilişkin regresyon analizi ve 2021 yılına kadar tahmini

Year 2015, Volume: 16 Issue: 1, 27 - 35, 09.04.2015
https://doi.org/10.18182/tjf.74822

Abstract

Sanayileşme politikalarında dış ticaretin önemli bir yerinin olması liflevha endüstrisinin geliştirilmesini ve bu sektöre önem verilmesi gereğini ortaya koymaktadır. Bu nedenle, Türkiye'nin liflevha endüstri üretim ve dış ticaret yapısının zaman içinde meydana gelecek değişmelerinin incelenmesi son derece önemli duruma gelmiştir. Bu çalışmada, Türkiye liflevha endüstrisinin üretim, ithalat ve ihracatının ekonometrik yöntemle modelleri kurulmuş ve tahminleri geliştirilmiştir. Yapılan regresyon analizi sonucunda 2006 yılı itibarıyla 2 milyon m3 olan liflevha üretiminin 2021 yılında yaklaşık 1,5 kat artarak 3,4 milyon m3 olacağı, 2004-2006 yıllarında yaklaşık 200 bin m3 olan liflevha ihracatının ise 330 bin m3e, 500 bin m3 olan ithalatın ise 2021 yılında 900 bin m3e ulaşacağı görülmektedir. 

References

  • DTM, 2008. Undersecretariat of The Prime Ministry For Foreign Trade of Turkey, http://www.dtm.gov.tr/ dtmweb/index.cfm, Accessed: 23.12.2008.
  • FAO, 2008. Food and Agriculture Organization of The United Nations, http://faostat.fao.org/site/626/default. aspx#ancor, Accessed: 30.11.2008.
  • FAO, 2014. Food and Agriculture Organization of The United aspx#ancor, Accessed: 10.08.2014.
  • FSCC, 2008. Forest Certification Council, http://www. fsc.org/, Accessed: 25.11.2008.
  • IGEME, 2008. Export Development Center, Ministry of Industry and Trade, http://www.igeme.org.tr/, Accessed: 13.11.2008.
  • Koç, H., Aksu, B., 1999. Türkiye liflevha diş ticareti. Laminant Mobilya Dekorasyon Sanat Tasarım Dergisi, 3: 82-85.
  • OGM, 2008. General Directorate of Forestry, Forestry Statistics, http://www.ogm.gov.tr/, Accessed: 29.11.2008.
  • Sakarya, S., Canli, Ş., 2011. Orta Anadolu Ağaç Mamulleri ve Orman Ürünleri İhracatçıları Birliği, Levha Sanayi Raporu,17 s.
  • Tank, T., Göker, Y., Kurtoğlu, A., Erdin, N., 1998. Türkiye’de orman ürünleri endüstrisindeki gelişmeler. Cumhuriyetimizin Sempozyumu, Bildiri Kitabı, s. 471-475, İstanbul.
  • TOBB, 2007. Union of Chambers and Commodity Turkey, Exchanges www.tobb.org.tr, Accessed: 11.09.2007. Industry Database,
  • TOBB, 2012. Union of Chambers and Commodity Exchanges of Turkey, 2011 Turkey Forest Products Sector Council, 49 s.
  • TUIK, 2008. Turkish Statistics Institute, http://www. tuik.gov.tr/VeriBilgi, Accessed: 30.12.2008.
There are 12 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Journal Section Orijinal Araştırma Makalesi
Authors

Yıldız Çabuk

Selman Karayılmazlar

Alper Aytekin

Saadettin Onat This is me

Rıfat Kurt

Publication Date April 9, 2015
Published in Issue Year 2015 Volume: 16 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Çabuk, Y., Karayılmazlar, S., Aytekin, A., Onat, S., et al. (2015). A regression analysis of fiberboard production, import and export amounts in Turkey, with projections to 2021. Turkish Journal of Forestry, 16(1), 27-35. https://doi.org/10.18182/tjf.74822
AMA Çabuk Y, Karayılmazlar S, Aytekin A, Onat S, Kurt R. A regression analysis of fiberboard production, import and export amounts in Turkey, with projections to 2021. Turkish Journal of Forestry. April 2015;16(1):27-35. doi:10.18182/tjf.74822
Chicago Çabuk, Yıldız, Selman Karayılmazlar, Alper Aytekin, Saadettin Onat, and Rıfat Kurt. “A Regression Analysis of Fiberboard Production, Import and Export Amounts in Turkey, With Projections to 2021”. Turkish Journal of Forestry 16, no. 1 (April 2015): 27-35. https://doi.org/10.18182/tjf.74822.
EndNote Çabuk Y, Karayılmazlar S, Aytekin A, Onat S, Kurt R (April 1, 2015) A regression analysis of fiberboard production, import and export amounts in Turkey, with projections to 2021. Turkish Journal of Forestry 16 1 27–35.
IEEE Y. Çabuk, S. Karayılmazlar, A. Aytekin, S. Onat, and R. Kurt, “A regression analysis of fiberboard production, import and export amounts in Turkey, with projections to 2021”, Turkish Journal of Forestry, vol. 16, no. 1, pp. 27–35, 2015, doi: 10.18182/tjf.74822.
ISNAD Çabuk, Yıldız et al. “A Regression Analysis of Fiberboard Production, Import and Export Amounts in Turkey, With Projections to 2021”. Turkish Journal of Forestry 16/1 (April 2015), 27-35. https://doi.org/10.18182/tjf.74822.
JAMA Çabuk Y, Karayılmazlar S, Aytekin A, Onat S, Kurt R. A regression analysis of fiberboard production, import and export amounts in Turkey, with projections to 2021. Turkish Journal of Forestry. 2015;16:27–35.
MLA Çabuk, Yıldız et al. “A Regression Analysis of Fiberboard Production, Import and Export Amounts in Turkey, With Projections to 2021”. Turkish Journal of Forestry, vol. 16, no. 1, 2015, pp. 27-35, doi:10.18182/tjf.74822.
Vancouver Çabuk Y, Karayılmazlar S, Aytekin A, Onat S, Kurt R. A regression analysis of fiberboard production, import and export amounts in Turkey, with projections to 2021. Turkish Journal of Forestry. 2015;16(1):27-35.