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Year 2019, , 16 - 27, 12.07.2019
https://doi.org/10.31807/tjwsm.447321

Abstract

References

  • Bayazıt, M. ve Yeğen Oğuz, E. B. 2005, Mühendisler İçin İstatistik, 3. Baskı, Birsen Yayınevi, İstanbul: Çağlayan.
  • Brönnimann, S. 2007, “Impact of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on European climate”, Reviews of Geophysics, 45(3), pp., RG3003.
  • Burt, T. and Howden, N. 2013, “North Atlantic Oscillation Amplifies Orographic Precipitation and River Flow in Upland Britain”, Water Resources Research, 49(6), 3504-3515.
  • Chowdhury, R. and Beecham, S. 2010, “Australian Rainfall Trends and Their Relation to the Southern Oscillation Index”, Hydrological Processes, 24(4), pp. 504-514.
  • Givati, A. and Rosenfeld, D. 2013, “The Arctic Oscillation, Climate Change and The Effects on Precipitation in Israel”. Atmospheric Research, 132: 114-124.
  • Kadioglu, M., Tulunay, Y. and Borhan, Y. 1999, “Variability of Turkish Precipitation compared to El Nino Events”, Geophysical Research Letters, 26(11), pp. 1597-1600.
  • Kahya, E. and Karabork, M. C. 2001, “The Analysis of El Nino and La Nina Signals in Streamflows of Turkey”, International Journal of Climatology, 21(10), pp. 1231-1250.
  • Karabork, M. C., Kahya, E. and Karaca, M. 2005. “The Influences of the Southern and North Atlantic Oscillations on Climatic Surface Variables in Turkey”. Hydrological Processes, 19(6), pp. 1185-1211.
  • Kucuk, M., Kahya, E., Cengiz, T. M. and Karaca, M. 2009. “North Atlantic Oscillation Influences on Turkish Lake Levels”, Hydrological Processes, 23(6), pp. 893-906.
  • Rodo, X., Baert, E. and Comin F. 1997, “Variations in Seasonal Rainfall in Southern Europe during the Present Century: Relationships with the North Atlantic Oscillation and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation”, Climate Dynamics, 13(4), pp. 275-284.
  • Rodwell, M. J., Rowell, D. P. and Folland, C. K. 1999, “Oceanic Forcing of the Wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and European Climate”, Nature, 398(6725), pp. 320-323.
  • Thompson, D. W. and Wallace, J. M. 1998, “The Arctic Oscillation Signature in the Wintertime Geopotential Height and Temperature Fields”. Geophysical Research Letters, 25(9), pp. 1297-1300.
  • Tremblay, L., Larocque, M., Anctil, F. and Rivard, C. 2011, “ Teleconnections and interannual variability in Canadian groundwater levels”, Journal of Hydrology, 410(3), pp. 178-188.
  • Turkes, M. and Erlat, E. 2003, “Precipitation Changes and Variability in Turkey linked to the North Atlantic Oscillation during the Period 1930–2000”, International Journal of Climatology, 23(14), pp. 1771-1796.
  • Turkes, M. and Erlat, E. 2008, “Influence of the Arctic Oscillation on the Variability of Winter Mean Temperatures in Turkey”, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 92(1), pp. 75-85.
  • Turkes, M. and Erlat, E. 2009. “Winter Mean Temperature Variability in Turkey associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation”, Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 105(3-4), pp. 211-225.
  • URL 1 Climate Prediction Center, National Weather Service, NOAA (2018), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Index. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/norm.nao.monthly.b5001.current.ascii.table , 02.01.2018
  • URL 2 Climate Prediction Center, National Weather Service, NOAA (2018), Arctic Oscillation (AO) Index. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.shtml, 02.01.2018
  • Wang, D., Wang, C., Yang, X. and Lu, J. 2005, “Winter Northern Hemisphere Surface Air Temperature Variability associated with the Arctic Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation”, Geophysical Research Letters, 32(16).
  • Wang, S., Zhang, M., Sun, M., Wang, B. and Li, X. 2013, “Changes in Precipitation Extremes in Alpine Areas of the Chinese Tianshan Mountains, Central Asia, 1961–2011, Quaternary International, 311, pp. 97-107.

The Influences of Arctic & North Atlantic Oscillations on Temperature and Precipitation Data of Eastern and Northern Marmara

Year 2019, , 16 - 27, 12.07.2019
https://doi.org/10.31807/tjwsm.447321

Abstract

Arktik Salınım (AO) ve Kuzey Atlantik Salınımı (NAO) özellikle Kuzey Yarımküre’de
etki alanına sahip olan tele bağlantılardan iki tanesidir. Bu çalışmanın amacı,
AO ve NAO ile Türkiye’de Marmara Bölgesi’nin sıcaklık  ve yağış rejimi arasındaki ilişkiyi ortaya
koymak ve AO ve NAO’nun etkilerinin kıyaslanmasıdır. Bu bağlamda, ilk olarak
AO, NAO ve sıcaklık, yağış arasındaki korelasyon katsayıları hesaplanmıştır.
Buna gore, AO ve sıcaklık verisi arasında kış ve sonbahar mevsimlerinde önemli
negatif korelasyonlar elde edilmişken, diğer mevsimlerde korelasyonlar çok
düşüktür. Buna ilave olarak, AO ve yağış arasındaki en önemli ilişki kış
mevsiminde ve kısmen yıllık olarak bulunmuştur. NAO ve sıcaklık arasındaki
ilişkide ise, en önemli korelasyonlar yaz mevsiminde ve kısmen ilkbaharda
görülmüştür. Ayrıca, NAO ve yağış arasındaki ilişki Marmara Bölgesi’nin
genelinde değişkenlik göstermektedir. Yıllık olarak, negatif korelasyonlar
bölgenin büyük bir kısmında önemlidir. Kış ve sonbahar mevsimlerinde ise
korelasyonlar sırasıyla Trakya’da ve Doğu Marmara’da önemlidir. Son olarak,
sıcaklık ve yağış farkları AO ve NAO’nun negatif fazları göz önüne alınarak
hesaplanmıştır. Sıcaklık verisi için AO (-), NAO (-) etkisi altındaki sıcaklık
değerlerinin, AO (+), NAO (+) etkisi altındaki sıcaklık değerlerinden
genellikle daha fazla olduğu fark edilmiştir. Fakat yağış verisi ve atmosferik
indislerin fazları arasındaki ilişkinin daha karmaşık olduğu görülmüştür.

References

  • Bayazıt, M. ve Yeğen Oğuz, E. B. 2005, Mühendisler İçin İstatistik, 3. Baskı, Birsen Yayınevi, İstanbul: Çağlayan.
  • Brönnimann, S. 2007, “Impact of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on European climate”, Reviews of Geophysics, 45(3), pp., RG3003.
  • Burt, T. and Howden, N. 2013, “North Atlantic Oscillation Amplifies Orographic Precipitation and River Flow in Upland Britain”, Water Resources Research, 49(6), 3504-3515.
  • Chowdhury, R. and Beecham, S. 2010, “Australian Rainfall Trends and Their Relation to the Southern Oscillation Index”, Hydrological Processes, 24(4), pp. 504-514.
  • Givati, A. and Rosenfeld, D. 2013, “The Arctic Oscillation, Climate Change and The Effects on Precipitation in Israel”. Atmospheric Research, 132: 114-124.
  • Kadioglu, M., Tulunay, Y. and Borhan, Y. 1999, “Variability of Turkish Precipitation compared to El Nino Events”, Geophysical Research Letters, 26(11), pp. 1597-1600.
  • Kahya, E. and Karabork, M. C. 2001, “The Analysis of El Nino and La Nina Signals in Streamflows of Turkey”, International Journal of Climatology, 21(10), pp. 1231-1250.
  • Karabork, M. C., Kahya, E. and Karaca, M. 2005. “The Influences of the Southern and North Atlantic Oscillations on Climatic Surface Variables in Turkey”. Hydrological Processes, 19(6), pp. 1185-1211.
  • Kucuk, M., Kahya, E., Cengiz, T. M. and Karaca, M. 2009. “North Atlantic Oscillation Influences on Turkish Lake Levels”, Hydrological Processes, 23(6), pp. 893-906.
  • Rodo, X., Baert, E. and Comin F. 1997, “Variations in Seasonal Rainfall in Southern Europe during the Present Century: Relationships with the North Atlantic Oscillation and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation”, Climate Dynamics, 13(4), pp. 275-284.
  • Rodwell, M. J., Rowell, D. P. and Folland, C. K. 1999, “Oceanic Forcing of the Wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and European Climate”, Nature, 398(6725), pp. 320-323.
  • Thompson, D. W. and Wallace, J. M. 1998, “The Arctic Oscillation Signature in the Wintertime Geopotential Height and Temperature Fields”. Geophysical Research Letters, 25(9), pp. 1297-1300.
  • Tremblay, L., Larocque, M., Anctil, F. and Rivard, C. 2011, “ Teleconnections and interannual variability in Canadian groundwater levels”, Journal of Hydrology, 410(3), pp. 178-188.
  • Turkes, M. and Erlat, E. 2003, “Precipitation Changes and Variability in Turkey linked to the North Atlantic Oscillation during the Period 1930–2000”, International Journal of Climatology, 23(14), pp. 1771-1796.
  • Turkes, M. and Erlat, E. 2008, “Influence of the Arctic Oscillation on the Variability of Winter Mean Temperatures in Turkey”, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 92(1), pp. 75-85.
  • Turkes, M. and Erlat, E. 2009. “Winter Mean Temperature Variability in Turkey associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation”, Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 105(3-4), pp. 211-225.
  • URL 1 Climate Prediction Center, National Weather Service, NOAA (2018), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Index. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/norm.nao.monthly.b5001.current.ascii.table , 02.01.2018
  • URL 2 Climate Prediction Center, National Weather Service, NOAA (2018), Arctic Oscillation (AO) Index. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.shtml, 02.01.2018
  • Wang, D., Wang, C., Yang, X. and Lu, J. 2005, “Winter Northern Hemisphere Surface Air Temperature Variability associated with the Arctic Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation”, Geophysical Research Letters, 32(16).
  • Wang, S., Zhang, M., Sun, M., Wang, B. and Li, X. 2013, “Changes in Precipitation Extremes in Alpine Areas of the Chinese Tianshan Mountains, Central Asia, 1961–2011, Quaternary International, 311, pp. 97-107.
There are 20 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Journal Section TURKISH JOURNAL OF WATER SCIENCES AND MANAGEMENT
Authors

Cenk Sezen

Turgay Partal

Publication Date July 12, 2019
Published in Issue Year 2019

Cite

APA Sezen, C., & Partal, T. (2019). The Influences of Arctic & North Atlantic Oscillations on Temperature and Precipitation Data of Eastern and Northern Marmara. Turkish Journal of Water Science and Management, 3(2), 16-27. https://doi.org/10.31807/tjwsm.447321