Türkiye’de Tarımsal Faaliyetler Karbon Emisyonunu Etkiler mi? “ARDL Testinden Elde Edilen Kanıtlar”

Year 2024, Volume: 11 Issue: 2, 536 - 546, 30.04.2024

Ülkü Özbay

https://doi.org/10.30910/turkjans.1380091

Abstract

Bu çalışmanın amacı; Türkiye’de karbon emisyonu ile tarımsal faaliyetler arasındaki ilişkiyi 1990-2020 dönemi için analiz etmektir. Çalışmada karbon emisyonunu temsilen; CO2 emisyonu değişkeni, tarımsal faaliyetleri temsilen; bitkisel üretim endeksi, gıda üretim endeksi, hayvancılık üretim endeksi ve tarımsal katma değer değişkenleri kullanılmıştır. Söz konusu değişkenler arasındaki eşbütünleşme ilişkisi ARDL Sınır Testi yaklaşımı ile açıklanmıştır. Analiz bulgularına göre tüm değişkenler arasında istatistiki olarak anlamlı eşbütünleşme ilişkisi tespit edilmiştir. Uzun dönemli sonuçlara göre; gıda üretim endeksi değişkeni ile CO2 emisyonu değişkeni arasında pozitif ilişki tespit edilmiştir. Buna karşın, tarımsal katma değer, hayvancılık endeksi ve bitki üretim endeksi değişkenleri ile CO2 emisyonu değişkeni arasında negatif ilişki söz konusudur. Araştırmadan elde edilen sonuçlar C02 emisyonu ve tarımsal faaliyetlere ilişkin literatüre katkı ve politika yapıcılar için aydınlatıcı bilgi sağlayacaktır.

Keywords

Tarımsal Faaliyetler, CO2 Emisyonu, Tarım Ekonomisi, Çevre Ekonomisi, Zaman Serileri

Do Agricultura Activities Affect Carbon Emissions in Turkiye? “Evidence From ARDL Testing”

Abstract

The aim of this study is to analyze the relationship between carbon emissions and agricultural activities in Turkey for the 1990-2020 period. In the study, the CO2 emission variable represents carbon emissions. In addition, crop production index, food production index, livestock production index and agricultural added value variables represent agricultural activities. The cointegration relationship between the variables in the study was explained with the ARDL Bounds Test approach. According to the analysis findings, a statistically significant cointegration relationship was found between all variables. According to long-term results; A positive relationship was detected between the food production index variable and the CO2 emission variable. On the other hand, a negative relationship was found between the variables of agricultural added value, livestock index, crop production index and the CO2 emission variable. The results obtained from the research will contribute to the literature on C02 emissions and agricultural activities and these results will provide enlightening information for policy makers.

Keywords

Agricultural Activities, C02 Emission, Agricultural Economics, Environmental Economics, Time Series

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