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ARAZİ KULLANIMI/ARAZİ ÖRTÜSÜ DEĞİŞİMİNDE ZAMANSAL DİNAMİKLER: KÖKEZ PLAN ÜNİTESİ ÖRNEĞİ

Year 2021, Volume: 5 Issue: 1, 127 - 138, 30.04.2021
https://doi.org/10.32328/turkjforsci.865106

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, Bolu Orman Bölge Müdürlüğü, Aladağ Orman İşletme Müdürlüğüne bağlı Kökez Orman İşletme Şefliğinin 1986 ve 2017 yılları arasındaki arazi kullanımı/arazi örtüsü değişiminde meydana gelen konumsal ve zamansal değişimler irdelenmiştir. Bu amaçla, orman amenajman planları, sayısal meşcere haritaları ve ArcGIS 10.5TM yazılım programı kullanılarak zamansal değişim haritaları oluşturulmuştur. Gerçekleştirilen bindirme (overlay) analizi yardımıyla geçiş matrisleri (transition) üretilerek değişimler ortaya konulmuştur. Araştırma alanında otuz bir yıllık periyotta toplam ormanlık alan miktarında 57.8 (%0.7) hektar ve verimli orman alanında 400 (%5) hektarlık bir artış belirlenmiştir. Orman ekosistemindeki değişikliklerin izlenmesi yapılacak müdahalelerde karar vericiler açısından son derece yararlı olacaktır.

Thanks

Katkılarından dolayı Orman Genel Müdürlüğü Orman İdaresi ve Planlama Dairesi Başkanlığına çok teşekkür ederim.

References

  • Akay, A.E., Sivrikaya, F., Gülci, S. (2014). Analyzing riparian forest cover changes along the Firniz river in the Mediterranean city of Kahramanmaras in Turkey. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 186 (5), 2741-2747, 10.1007/s10661-013-3575-7.
  • Anonim, (2021). https://www.nufusune.com/ [Erişim tarihi:15.01 2021]
  • ATALAY, İ. (2004). Türkiye’nin Ekolojik Bölgeleri. Orman Bakanlığı Yayınları. Ankara.
  • Başkent EZ, JG Borges, J Kaspar, M Tahri. (2020). A design for addressing multiple ecosystem services in forest management planning. Forests 11(10): 1108. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/f11101108
  • Bozali, N., Sivrikaya, F., Akay, A.E., (2015). Use of spatial pattern analysis to assess forest cover changes in the Mediterranean region of Turkey. Journal of Forest Research, 20 (4), 365-374. DOI 10.1007/s10310-015-0493-2
  • Buğday, E., Erkan Buğday, S., (2019). Modeling and simulating land use/cover change using artificial neural network from remotely sensing data. CERNE, v. 25, n. 2, p.246-254, 2019.
  • Buytaert, W., Zulkafli, Z., Grainger, S., Acosta, L., Alemie, T.C., Bastiaensen, J., De Bièvre, B., Bhusal, J., Clark, J., Dewulf, A., Foggin, M., Hannah, D.M., Hergarten, C., Isaeva, A., Karpouzoglou, T., Pandeya, B., Paudel, D., Sharma, K., Steenhuis, T., Tilahun, S., Van Hecken, G., Zhumanova, M., (2014). Citizen science in hydrology and water resources: opportunities for knowledge generation, ecosystem service management, and sustainable development. Front. Earth Sci. 2.
  • Cayuela, L., Rey Benayas, J. M., Echeverría, C., (2006). Clearance and fragmentation of tropical montane forests in the highlands of Chiapas, Mexico (1975–2000). Forest Ecology and Management, 226,208–218.
  • Çakır G, F Sivrikaya, S Keleş. (2008). Forest cover change and fragmentation using Landsat data in Maçka state forest enterprise in Turkey. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 137(1-3): 51-66. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-007-9728-9
  • Çakır G, F Sivrikaya, S Terzioğlu, S Keleş, EZ Başkent. (2007). Monitoring thirty years of land cover change: secondary forest succession in the Artvin forest planning unit of Northeastern Turkey. Scottish Geographical Journal 123(3): 209–226. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/14702540701876697
  • Çoban, H.O., Gündoğdu, Ş., (2020). Orman alanlarındaki değişimlerin CBS tabanlı belirlenmesi: Çamsu Orman İşletme Şefliği örneği. Turkish Journal of Forestry, 21(1): 60-69. DOI: 10.18182/tjf.693465
  • Değermenci, A.S., Zengin, H., 2016. Ormanlardaki karbon birikiminin konumsal ve zamansal değişiminin incelenmesi: Daday planlama birimi örneği. Artvin Çoruh Üniversitesi Orman Fakültesi Dergisi, 17(2): 177- 187
  • Girma, H., Hassan, R., (2014). Drivers of land-use change in the southern nations, nationalities and people's region of Ethiopia. African Journal of Agriculture and Resource Economics, 9(2), 148–164.
  • Günlü, A., Göl, C., Sarıçam, F., (2019). Topraküstü meşcere karbonunun zamansal ve konumsal değişiminin değerlendirilmesi: Yukarı Göksu Nehri Havzası örneği. Turkish Journal of Forestry, 20(4): 352-359. DOI: 10.18182/tjf.601972
  • Günlü, A., Kadıoğulları, A. İ., Keleş, S., Başkent, E. Z., (2009). Spatiotemporal changes of landscape pattern in response to deforestation in northeastern Turkey: A case study in Rize. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 148, 127-137.
  • Haddad, N.M.,et al. (2015). Habitat fragmentation and its lasting impact on Earth’s ecosystems, Sci. Adv.,1, Article e1500052
  • J. Xiao, Y. Shen, J. Ge, R. Tateishi, C. Tang, Y. Liang., (2006). Evaluating urban expansion and land use change in Shijiazhuang, China, by using GIS and remote sensing, Landsc. Urban Plann., 75 (1–2) (2006), pp. 69-80
  • Kadıoğulları, A. İ., Sayin, M., Çelik, D., Borucu, S., Çil, B., & Bulut, S. (2014). Analysing land cover changes for understanding of forest dynamics using temporal forest management plans. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 186, 2089-2110. doi:10.1007/s10661-013-3520-9
  • Keleş, S., Sivrikaya, F., Çakır, G., (2007). Temporal changes in forest landscape patterns in Artvin forest planning unit, Turkey. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 129 (1-3), 483-490.
  • Keleş, S., Sivrikaya, F., Çakır, G., Köse, S., (2008). Urbanization and forest cover change in regional directorate of Trabzon forestry from 1975 to 2000 using Landsat data. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 140 (1-3), 1-14.
  • Lossou, E., Owusu-Prempeh, N., Agyemang, G., (2019). Monitoring Land Cover changes in the tropical high forests using multi-temporal remote sensing and spatial analysis techniques, Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment 16 (2019) 100264.
  • Maimaitijiang, M.,Ghulam, A., Sandoval, J. S. O., Maimaitiyiming, M. (2015). Drivers of land cover and land use changes in St. Louis Metropolitan area over the past 40 years characterized by remote sensing and census population data. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation,35:161-174.
  • Morcatty, T.Q., H.R. El Bizri, H.C.S. Carneiro, R.L. Biasizzo, C.R.d.O. Alméri, E.S. da Silva, F.H.G. Rodrigues, J.E.C. Figueira (2013). Habitat loss and mammalian extinction patterns: are the reserves in the Quadrilátero Ferrífero, southeastern Brazil, effective in conserving mammals? Ecol. Res., 28, pp. 935-947
  • Mumcu Küçüker, Derya, “Impacts of Socio-Economic Factors on Carbon Dynamics in Black Sea Forests: A Case Study from Akçaabat Forest Planning Unit”, Karadeniz Araştırmaları Enstitüsü Dergisi, 6/9, ss.121-140. DOI: 10.31765/karen.741889 OGM, 2019. Aladağ Orman İşletme Müdürlüğü, Kökez Orman İşletme Şefliği, Orman amenajman planı (1986- 2017). Orman İdaresi ve Planlama Dairesi Başkanlığı, Ankara.
  • Shi, Y., Wang, R., Fan, L., Li, J., Yang, D., (2010). Analysis on landuse change and its demographic factors in the originalstream watershed of Tarim River based on GIS and statistic. Procedia Environmental Sciences, 2, 175-184. Sivrikaya, F., Çakır, G., Akay, A.E., (2011). Factors of land use/cover change: A case study from Turkey. Scientific Research and Essays, 6 (17), 3684-3696.
  • Sivrikaya, F., Çakır, G., Kadıoğulları, A. İ., Keleş, S., Başkent, E. Z., & Terzioğlu, S. (2007). Evaluating land use/land cover changes and fragmentation in the Camili forest planning unit of northeastern Turkey from 1972 to 2005. Land Degradation and Development, 18, 383–396
  • Song XP, MC Hansen, SV Stehman, PV Potapov, A Tyukavina, EF Vermote, JR Townshend. (2018). Global land change from 1982 to 2016. Nature 560: 639–643. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0411-9
  • Şen, G., Bayramoglu, M. M., Toksoy, D., (2015). Spatiotemporal changes of land use patterns in high mountain areas of Northeast Turkey: A case study in Maçka. Environ. Monit. Assess., 187, 515.
  • Şen, G., Güngör, E. (2018). Analysis of Land Use/Land Cover Changes Following Population Movements and Agricultural Activities: A Case Study in Northern Turkey. Applied Ecology and Environmental Research 16(2):2073-2088. http://dx.doi.org/10.15666/aeer/1602_20732088
  • Tittensor, et al. (2014). A mid-term analysis of progress toward international biodiversity targets, Science, 346 (2014), p. 241
  • Xie, H., He, Y., Choi, Y., Chen, Q., Cheng, H., (2020). Warning of negative effects of land-use changes on ecological security based on GIS. Science of The Total Environment, 704: 135427.
  • Zengin, H., Değermenci, A. S., Bettinger, P. (2018): Analysis of temporal changes in land cover and landscape metrics of a managed forest in the West Black Sea region of northern Turkey: 1970–2010. Journal of Forestry Research 29(1): 139-150.
  • Zhang, H., Z. F. Qi, X. Y. Ye, Y. B. Cai, W. C. Ma, and M. N. Chen. (2013). Analysis of land use/land cover change, population shift, and their effects on spatiotemporal patterns of urban heat islands in metropolitan Shanghai, China. Applied Geography 44:121–33. DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2013.07.021
  • Zhao, ZF., Liu, J.G. Wu,. (2020). Grassland ecosystem services: a systematic review of research Y.Y. advances and future directions, Landscape Ecology, 35, pp. 793-814

TEMPORAL DYNAMICS IN LAND USE/LAND COVER CHANGE: AN EXAMPLE OF KÖKEZ PLANNING UNIT

Year 2021, Volume: 5 Issue: 1, 127 - 138, 30.04.2021
https://doi.org/10.32328/turkjforsci.865106

Abstract

In this study, the temporal changes that occurred in the land use/land cover change between 1986 and 2017 in the Kökez Forest Sub-district under Aladağ Forest Management Directorate, Bolu Regional Directorate of Forestry were examined. For this purpose, land use/land cover change map were generated by using forest management plans, digital stand type maps and ArcGIS 10.5TM software. The changes were revealed based on change matrices produced with the help of the overlay analysis. In the research area, an increase of 57.8 hectares (0.7%) in the total forest area and 400 hectares (5%) in the productive forest area was determined in a period of thirty one years. Monitoring changes in this way will be extremely useful for decision makers in interventions to the forest ecosystem. In addition, in terms of planning forest resources in accordance with sustainable forest management, it is important to determine the temporal changes in forest ecosystems and the factors affecting them.

References

  • Akay, A.E., Sivrikaya, F., Gülci, S. (2014). Analyzing riparian forest cover changes along the Firniz river in the Mediterranean city of Kahramanmaras in Turkey. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 186 (5), 2741-2747, 10.1007/s10661-013-3575-7.
  • Anonim, (2021). https://www.nufusune.com/ [Erişim tarihi:15.01 2021]
  • ATALAY, İ. (2004). Türkiye’nin Ekolojik Bölgeleri. Orman Bakanlığı Yayınları. Ankara.
  • Başkent EZ, JG Borges, J Kaspar, M Tahri. (2020). A design for addressing multiple ecosystem services in forest management planning. Forests 11(10): 1108. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/f11101108
  • Bozali, N., Sivrikaya, F., Akay, A.E., (2015). Use of spatial pattern analysis to assess forest cover changes in the Mediterranean region of Turkey. Journal of Forest Research, 20 (4), 365-374. DOI 10.1007/s10310-015-0493-2
  • Buğday, E., Erkan Buğday, S., (2019). Modeling and simulating land use/cover change using artificial neural network from remotely sensing data. CERNE, v. 25, n. 2, p.246-254, 2019.
  • Buytaert, W., Zulkafli, Z., Grainger, S., Acosta, L., Alemie, T.C., Bastiaensen, J., De Bièvre, B., Bhusal, J., Clark, J., Dewulf, A., Foggin, M., Hannah, D.M., Hergarten, C., Isaeva, A., Karpouzoglou, T., Pandeya, B., Paudel, D., Sharma, K., Steenhuis, T., Tilahun, S., Van Hecken, G., Zhumanova, M., (2014). Citizen science in hydrology and water resources: opportunities for knowledge generation, ecosystem service management, and sustainable development. Front. Earth Sci. 2.
  • Cayuela, L., Rey Benayas, J. M., Echeverría, C., (2006). Clearance and fragmentation of tropical montane forests in the highlands of Chiapas, Mexico (1975–2000). Forest Ecology and Management, 226,208–218.
  • Çakır G, F Sivrikaya, S Keleş. (2008). Forest cover change and fragmentation using Landsat data in Maçka state forest enterprise in Turkey. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 137(1-3): 51-66. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-007-9728-9
  • Çakır G, F Sivrikaya, S Terzioğlu, S Keleş, EZ Başkent. (2007). Monitoring thirty years of land cover change: secondary forest succession in the Artvin forest planning unit of Northeastern Turkey. Scottish Geographical Journal 123(3): 209–226. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/14702540701876697
  • Çoban, H.O., Gündoğdu, Ş., (2020). Orman alanlarındaki değişimlerin CBS tabanlı belirlenmesi: Çamsu Orman İşletme Şefliği örneği. Turkish Journal of Forestry, 21(1): 60-69. DOI: 10.18182/tjf.693465
  • Değermenci, A.S., Zengin, H., 2016. Ormanlardaki karbon birikiminin konumsal ve zamansal değişiminin incelenmesi: Daday planlama birimi örneği. Artvin Çoruh Üniversitesi Orman Fakültesi Dergisi, 17(2): 177- 187
  • Girma, H., Hassan, R., (2014). Drivers of land-use change in the southern nations, nationalities and people's region of Ethiopia. African Journal of Agriculture and Resource Economics, 9(2), 148–164.
  • Günlü, A., Göl, C., Sarıçam, F., (2019). Topraküstü meşcere karbonunun zamansal ve konumsal değişiminin değerlendirilmesi: Yukarı Göksu Nehri Havzası örneği. Turkish Journal of Forestry, 20(4): 352-359. DOI: 10.18182/tjf.601972
  • Günlü, A., Kadıoğulları, A. İ., Keleş, S., Başkent, E. Z., (2009). Spatiotemporal changes of landscape pattern in response to deforestation in northeastern Turkey: A case study in Rize. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 148, 127-137.
  • Haddad, N.M.,et al. (2015). Habitat fragmentation and its lasting impact on Earth’s ecosystems, Sci. Adv.,1, Article e1500052
  • J. Xiao, Y. Shen, J. Ge, R. Tateishi, C. Tang, Y. Liang., (2006). Evaluating urban expansion and land use change in Shijiazhuang, China, by using GIS and remote sensing, Landsc. Urban Plann., 75 (1–2) (2006), pp. 69-80
  • Kadıoğulları, A. İ., Sayin, M., Çelik, D., Borucu, S., Çil, B., & Bulut, S. (2014). Analysing land cover changes for understanding of forest dynamics using temporal forest management plans. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 186, 2089-2110. doi:10.1007/s10661-013-3520-9
  • Keleş, S., Sivrikaya, F., Çakır, G., (2007). Temporal changes in forest landscape patterns in Artvin forest planning unit, Turkey. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 129 (1-3), 483-490.
  • Keleş, S., Sivrikaya, F., Çakır, G., Köse, S., (2008). Urbanization and forest cover change in regional directorate of Trabzon forestry from 1975 to 2000 using Landsat data. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 140 (1-3), 1-14.
  • Lossou, E., Owusu-Prempeh, N., Agyemang, G., (2019). Monitoring Land Cover changes in the tropical high forests using multi-temporal remote sensing and spatial analysis techniques, Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment 16 (2019) 100264.
  • Maimaitijiang, M.,Ghulam, A., Sandoval, J. S. O., Maimaitiyiming, M. (2015). Drivers of land cover and land use changes in St. Louis Metropolitan area over the past 40 years characterized by remote sensing and census population data. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation,35:161-174.
  • Morcatty, T.Q., H.R. El Bizri, H.C.S. Carneiro, R.L. Biasizzo, C.R.d.O. Alméri, E.S. da Silva, F.H.G. Rodrigues, J.E.C. Figueira (2013). Habitat loss and mammalian extinction patterns: are the reserves in the Quadrilátero Ferrífero, southeastern Brazil, effective in conserving mammals? Ecol. Res., 28, pp. 935-947
  • Mumcu Küçüker, Derya, “Impacts of Socio-Economic Factors on Carbon Dynamics in Black Sea Forests: A Case Study from Akçaabat Forest Planning Unit”, Karadeniz Araştırmaları Enstitüsü Dergisi, 6/9, ss.121-140. DOI: 10.31765/karen.741889 OGM, 2019. Aladağ Orman İşletme Müdürlüğü, Kökez Orman İşletme Şefliği, Orman amenajman planı (1986- 2017). Orman İdaresi ve Planlama Dairesi Başkanlığı, Ankara.
  • Shi, Y., Wang, R., Fan, L., Li, J., Yang, D., (2010). Analysis on landuse change and its demographic factors in the originalstream watershed of Tarim River based on GIS and statistic. Procedia Environmental Sciences, 2, 175-184. Sivrikaya, F., Çakır, G., Akay, A.E., (2011). Factors of land use/cover change: A case study from Turkey. Scientific Research and Essays, 6 (17), 3684-3696.
  • Sivrikaya, F., Çakır, G., Kadıoğulları, A. İ., Keleş, S., Başkent, E. Z., & Terzioğlu, S. (2007). Evaluating land use/land cover changes and fragmentation in the Camili forest planning unit of northeastern Turkey from 1972 to 2005. Land Degradation and Development, 18, 383–396
  • Song XP, MC Hansen, SV Stehman, PV Potapov, A Tyukavina, EF Vermote, JR Townshend. (2018). Global land change from 1982 to 2016. Nature 560: 639–643. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0411-9
  • Şen, G., Bayramoglu, M. M., Toksoy, D., (2015). Spatiotemporal changes of land use patterns in high mountain areas of Northeast Turkey: A case study in Maçka. Environ. Monit. Assess., 187, 515.
  • Şen, G., Güngör, E. (2018). Analysis of Land Use/Land Cover Changes Following Population Movements and Agricultural Activities: A Case Study in Northern Turkey. Applied Ecology and Environmental Research 16(2):2073-2088. http://dx.doi.org/10.15666/aeer/1602_20732088
  • Tittensor, et al. (2014). A mid-term analysis of progress toward international biodiversity targets, Science, 346 (2014), p. 241
  • Xie, H., He, Y., Choi, Y., Chen, Q., Cheng, H., (2020). Warning of negative effects of land-use changes on ecological security based on GIS. Science of The Total Environment, 704: 135427.
  • Zengin, H., Değermenci, A. S., Bettinger, P. (2018): Analysis of temporal changes in land cover and landscape metrics of a managed forest in the West Black Sea region of northern Turkey: 1970–2010. Journal of Forestry Research 29(1): 139-150.
  • Zhang, H., Z. F. Qi, X. Y. Ye, Y. B. Cai, W. C. Ma, and M. N. Chen. (2013). Analysis of land use/land cover change, population shift, and their effects on spatiotemporal patterns of urban heat islands in metropolitan Shanghai, China. Applied Geography 44:121–33. DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2013.07.021
  • Zhao, ZF., Liu, J.G. Wu,. (2020). Grassland ecosystem services: a systematic review of research Y.Y. advances and future directions, Landscape Ecology, 35, pp. 793-814
There are 34 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Forest Industry Engineering
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Nuri Bozali 0000-0001-5735-3649

Publication Date April 30, 2021
Published in Issue Year 2021 Volume: 5 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Bozali, N. (2021). ARAZİ KULLANIMI/ARAZİ ÖRTÜSÜ DEĞİŞİMİNDE ZAMANSAL DİNAMİKLER: KÖKEZ PLAN ÜNİTESİ ÖRNEĞİ. Turkish Journal of Forest Science, 5(1), 127-138. https://doi.org/10.32328/turkjforsci.865106
AMA Bozali N. ARAZİ KULLANIMI/ARAZİ ÖRTÜSÜ DEĞİŞİMİNDE ZAMANSAL DİNAMİKLER: KÖKEZ PLAN ÜNİTESİ ÖRNEĞİ. Turk J For Sci. April 2021;5(1):127-138. doi:10.32328/turkjforsci.865106
Chicago Bozali, Nuri. “ARAZİ KULLANIMI/ARAZİ ÖRTÜSÜ DEĞİŞİMİNDE ZAMANSAL DİNAMİKLER: KÖKEZ PLAN ÜNİTESİ ÖRNEĞİ”. Turkish Journal of Forest Science 5, no. 1 (April 2021): 127-38. https://doi.org/10.32328/turkjforsci.865106.
EndNote Bozali N (April 1, 2021) ARAZİ KULLANIMI/ARAZİ ÖRTÜSÜ DEĞİŞİMİNDE ZAMANSAL DİNAMİKLER: KÖKEZ PLAN ÜNİTESİ ÖRNEĞİ. Turkish Journal of Forest Science 5 1 127–138.
IEEE N. Bozali, “ARAZİ KULLANIMI/ARAZİ ÖRTÜSÜ DEĞİŞİMİNDE ZAMANSAL DİNAMİKLER: KÖKEZ PLAN ÜNİTESİ ÖRNEĞİ”, Turk J For Sci, vol. 5, no. 1, pp. 127–138, 2021, doi: 10.32328/turkjforsci.865106.
ISNAD Bozali, Nuri. “ARAZİ KULLANIMI/ARAZİ ÖRTÜSÜ DEĞİŞİMİNDE ZAMANSAL DİNAMİKLER: KÖKEZ PLAN ÜNİTESİ ÖRNEĞİ”. Turkish Journal of Forest Science 5/1 (April 2021), 127-138. https://doi.org/10.32328/turkjforsci.865106.
JAMA Bozali N. ARAZİ KULLANIMI/ARAZİ ÖRTÜSÜ DEĞİŞİMİNDE ZAMANSAL DİNAMİKLER: KÖKEZ PLAN ÜNİTESİ ÖRNEĞİ. Turk J For Sci. 2021;5:127–138.
MLA Bozali, Nuri. “ARAZİ KULLANIMI/ARAZİ ÖRTÜSÜ DEĞİŞİMİNDE ZAMANSAL DİNAMİKLER: KÖKEZ PLAN ÜNİTESİ ÖRNEĞİ”. Turkish Journal of Forest Science, vol. 5, no. 1, 2021, pp. 127-38, doi:10.32328/turkjforsci.865106.
Vancouver Bozali N. ARAZİ KULLANIMI/ARAZİ ÖRTÜSÜ DEĞİŞİMİNDE ZAMANSAL DİNAMİKLER: KÖKEZ PLAN ÜNİTESİ ÖRNEĞİ. Turk J For Sci. 2021;5(1):127-38.