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Evaluation of Success in Investment Decisions of Stock Assessment Methods

Year 2014, Issue: 13, 155 - 168, 01.06.2014

Abstract

The aim of this study is to measure performance of price-earnings and book-to- market ratio which are stock valuation methods on stock investment decision. The study includes 5 years period between 2008 and 2012. It has been used data set composed of 136 firms and 680 observation in Borsa Istanbul Manufacturing Industry by the years. According to results of analysis, book-to-market method is more successful than price-earnings ratio method on the investment decisions. Besides, while there isn’t significant difference among stock returns as statistical it is reached result that returns of stocks having high and low book-to-market ratio are different from each other.

References

  • AYDOĞAN, Kürşat ve GÜNEY, Alparslan (1997), “Hisse senedi Fiyatlarının Tahmininde F/K Oranı ve Temettü Verimi”, İMKB Dergisi, 1 (1), 83-96. BASU, S. (1977), “Investment Performance of Common Stocks in Relation to Their Price-Earnings Ratios: A Test of The Efficient Market Hypothesis”, The Journal of Finance, 32, 663-682. BEAVER, W. H. ve RYAN, S. G. (2000), “Biases and Lags in Book Value and Their Effects on the Ability of the Book-to-Market Ratio to Predict Book Return on Equity”, Journal of Accounting Research, 38, (1), 127-148. BERNARD, V. L. (1994), “Accounting-Based Valuation Methods, Determinants of Market-to-Book Ratios, and Implications for Financial Statement Analysis”, Working paper, University of Michigan. BHATT, P. ve SUMANGALA, JK. (2012), “Impact of Earnings per Share on Market Value of an Equity Share: An Empirical Study in Indian Capital Market”, Journal of Finance, Accounting and Management, 3 (2), 1-14. BOLAK, Mehmet (2005), İşletme Finansı, İstanbul: Birsen Yayınevi.
  • CHEN, Long ve ZHAO, Xinlei (2006), “On the relation between the marketto-book ratio, growth opportunity, and leverage ratio”, Finance Research Letters, 3 (4), 253-266. COLLINS Daniel W., PINCUS Morton, ve XIE Hong (1999), “Equity Valuation and Negative Earnings: The Role of Book Value of Equity”, The Accounting Review, 74,(1), 29-61. DAĞLI, Hüseyin (2009), Sermaye Piyasası ve Portföy Analizi, 3. Baskı, Trabzon: Derya Kitabevi. FAMA, E. E. ve FRENCH, K. R. (1992), “The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns”, The Journal of Finance, 6, 427-65. FAMA, E. E. ve FRENCH, K. R. (1995), “Size and Book-to-Market Factors in Earnings and Returns”, Thefoumal of Finance (March 1995): 131-55. HELFERT, Erich A. (2000), Techniques of Financial Analysis: A Guide to Value Creation, Tenth Edition, Singapore: McGraw-Hill. HORASAN, Mukadder (2009), “Fiyat/Kazanç Oranının Hisse Senedi Getirilerine Etkisi: İMKB 30 Endeksi Üzerine Bir Uygulama”, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 23 (1), 181-192. JOHNSON R. Stafford, FIORE C. Lyle ve ZUBER Richard (1989) “The Investment Performance of Common Stocks in Relation to Their Price-Earnings Ratios: An Update of the Basu Study”, The Financial Review, 24 (3), 499–505. JONES, Charles P. (1998), Investments Analysis and Management, Sixth Edition, New York: John Wiley and Sons. KARAN, Mehmet B. (1996), “Price/Earning, Market Value/Book Value and Price/Sales Effects in İstanbul Stock Exchange”, İşletme ve Finans Dergisi, 4,73-85. OHLSON, J. A. (1995), “Earnings, Book Values, and Dividends in Security Valuation”, Contemporary Accounting Research 11, 661-687. PENMAN, Stephen. H. (1992), “Return to Fundamentals”, Journal of Accounting, Auditing, and Finance, 465-83. PENMAN, Stephen H. (1996), “The Articulation of Price-Earnings Ratios and Market-to-Book Ratios and the Evaluation of Growth”, Journal of Accounting Research, 34 (2), 235-259. TREVINO, Ruben ve ROBERTSON, Fiona (2002), “P/E Ratios and Stock Market Returns”, Journal of Financial Planning, 15, (2), 76-84. TSENG K.C. (1998), “Low Price, Price-Earnings Ratio, Market Value and Abnormal Stock Returns”, The Financial Review, 23,(3),333-343. ÜRETEN, Aykan ve ERCAN, Metin K. (2000), Firma Değerinin Tespiti ve Yönetimi, Ankara: Gazi Kitabevi.

Hisse Senedi Değerlendirme Yöntemlerinin Yatırım Kararlarındaki Başarısının Değerlendirilmesi

Year 2014, Issue: 13, 155 - 168, 01.06.2014

Abstract

Bu çalışmanın amacı hisse senedi değerlendirme yöntemlerinden piyasa değeri defter değeri ve fiyat kazanç oranı yöntemlerinin hisse senedi yatırım kararlarındaki başarısını ölçmektir. Çalışma 2008 ile 2012 arasındaki 5 yıllık bir dönemi kapsamaktadır. Belirtilen dönemler itibariyle Borsa İstanbul’daki imalat sanayi sektörüne ait 136 firma ve 680 adet gözlemden oluşan veri seti kullanılmıştır. Analiz sonucunda piyasa değeri defter değeri oranı yönteminin fiyat kazanç oranı yöntemine göre yatırım kararlarında daha başarılı olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Ayrıca fiyat kazanç oranı bakımından hisse senedi getirileri arasında istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir fark bulunmazken yüksek ve düşük piyasa değeri defter değeri oranına sahip olan hisse senedi getirilerin birbirinden farklı olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır.

References

  • AYDOĞAN, Kürşat ve GÜNEY, Alparslan (1997), “Hisse senedi Fiyatlarının Tahmininde F/K Oranı ve Temettü Verimi”, İMKB Dergisi, 1 (1), 83-96. BASU, S. (1977), “Investment Performance of Common Stocks in Relation to Their Price-Earnings Ratios: A Test of The Efficient Market Hypothesis”, The Journal of Finance, 32, 663-682. BEAVER, W. H. ve RYAN, S. G. (2000), “Biases and Lags in Book Value and Their Effects on the Ability of the Book-to-Market Ratio to Predict Book Return on Equity”, Journal of Accounting Research, 38, (1), 127-148. BERNARD, V. L. (1994), “Accounting-Based Valuation Methods, Determinants of Market-to-Book Ratios, and Implications for Financial Statement Analysis”, Working paper, University of Michigan. BHATT, P. ve SUMANGALA, JK. (2012), “Impact of Earnings per Share on Market Value of an Equity Share: An Empirical Study in Indian Capital Market”, Journal of Finance, Accounting and Management, 3 (2), 1-14. BOLAK, Mehmet (2005), İşletme Finansı, İstanbul: Birsen Yayınevi.
  • CHEN, Long ve ZHAO, Xinlei (2006), “On the relation between the marketto-book ratio, growth opportunity, and leverage ratio”, Finance Research Letters, 3 (4), 253-266. COLLINS Daniel W., PINCUS Morton, ve XIE Hong (1999), “Equity Valuation and Negative Earnings: The Role of Book Value of Equity”, The Accounting Review, 74,(1), 29-61. DAĞLI, Hüseyin (2009), Sermaye Piyasası ve Portföy Analizi, 3. Baskı, Trabzon: Derya Kitabevi. FAMA, E. E. ve FRENCH, K. R. (1992), “The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns”, The Journal of Finance, 6, 427-65. FAMA, E. E. ve FRENCH, K. R. (1995), “Size and Book-to-Market Factors in Earnings and Returns”, Thefoumal of Finance (March 1995): 131-55. HELFERT, Erich A. (2000), Techniques of Financial Analysis: A Guide to Value Creation, Tenth Edition, Singapore: McGraw-Hill. HORASAN, Mukadder (2009), “Fiyat/Kazanç Oranının Hisse Senedi Getirilerine Etkisi: İMKB 30 Endeksi Üzerine Bir Uygulama”, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 23 (1), 181-192. JOHNSON R. Stafford, FIORE C. Lyle ve ZUBER Richard (1989) “The Investment Performance of Common Stocks in Relation to Their Price-Earnings Ratios: An Update of the Basu Study”, The Financial Review, 24 (3), 499–505. JONES, Charles P. (1998), Investments Analysis and Management, Sixth Edition, New York: John Wiley and Sons. KARAN, Mehmet B. (1996), “Price/Earning, Market Value/Book Value and Price/Sales Effects in İstanbul Stock Exchange”, İşletme ve Finans Dergisi, 4,73-85. OHLSON, J. A. (1995), “Earnings, Book Values, and Dividends in Security Valuation”, Contemporary Accounting Research 11, 661-687. PENMAN, Stephen. H. (1992), “Return to Fundamentals”, Journal of Accounting, Auditing, and Finance, 465-83. PENMAN, Stephen H. (1996), “The Articulation of Price-Earnings Ratios and Market-to-Book Ratios and the Evaluation of Growth”, Journal of Accounting Research, 34 (2), 235-259. TREVINO, Ruben ve ROBERTSON, Fiona (2002), “P/E Ratios and Stock Market Returns”, Journal of Financial Planning, 15, (2), 76-84. TSENG K.C. (1998), “Low Price, Price-Earnings Ratio, Market Value and Abnormal Stock Returns”, The Financial Review, 23,(3),333-343. ÜRETEN, Aykan ve ERCAN, Metin K. (2000), Firma Değerinin Tespiti ve Yönetimi, Ankara: Gazi Kitabevi.
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Details

Primary Language Turkish
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Ahmet Kurtaran This is me

Publication Date June 1, 2014
Published in Issue Year 2014 Issue: 13

Cite

APA Kurtaran, A. (2014). Hisse Senedi Değerlendirme Yöntemlerinin Yatırım Kararlarındaki Başarısının Değerlendirilmesi. Uluslararası İktisadi Ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi(13), 155-168. https://doi.org/10.18092/ijeas.41110

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