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GEÇİŞ EKONOMİLERİNDE SERMAYE KAÇIŞLARININ EKONOMİK VE KURUMSAL BELİRLEYİCİLERİ

Year 2016, Issue: 16, 171 - 196, 16.12.2015
https://doi.org/10.18092/ijeas.25125

Abstract

Sermaye kaçışları, tanımı, ölçülmesi, belirleyicileri ve etkileri açısından teorik ve ampirik iktisat yazınının temel tartışma konularından biridir. Bu çalışmada, sermaye kaçışlarının ekonomik ve kurumsal belirleyicileri 26 geçiş ekonomisi için panel veri analiz yöntemi kullanılarak test edilmiştir. Elde edilen sonuçlara göre, bakiye ve sıcak para yöntemleri kullanılarak ölçülen sermaye kaçışlarının belirleyicileri, sermaye kaçışı ölçüm yöntemine göre farklılık arz etmektedir. Sıcak para yöntemine göre ölçülen sermaye kaçışlarının temel belirleyicisi ekonomik faktörlerdir. Buna karşılık, bakiye yöntemine göre ölçülen sermaye kaçışları ekonomik faktörlerden ziyade kurumsal faktörler tarafından belirlenmektedir.

JEL Sınıflandırması: F32, B25, C33, O11

Anahtar Kelimeler: Sermaye Kaçışı, Kurumlar, Panel Veri Analizi

 

Economic and Institutional Determinants of Capital Flight in Transition Economies

ABSTRACT

Capital flight is one of the main discussion points in the theoretical and empirical economic literature in terms of its definition, measurement, determinants and impacts. In this paper economic and institutional determinants of capital flight are examined using panel data for 26 transition economies. Our empirical results show that determinants of capital flight derived from residual and hot money methods are different from each other base upon measuring method. Main determinants of capital flight for hot money method are economic variables. On the other hand, capital flight measured by using residual method is affected by institutional variables rather than economic variables.

JEL Classification: F32, B25, C33, O11

Keywords: Capital Flight, Institutions, Panel Data Analysis

References

  • Abalkin, A. ve Walley J. (1999). The Problem of Capital Flight From The Russia, Wiley Blackwell Publishing, 22(3), 421-444.
  • Adesoye, A. B., MAKU, E. O., ATANDA, A. A. (2012). Capital Flight and Invest-ment Dynamics in Nigeria: A Time Series Analysis (1970-2006), MPRA Research Archive, No: 35386, 1-21.
  • Alesina, A. ve Tabellini, G. (1989). External Debt, Capital Flight and Political Risk. Journal of International Economics, 27 (4), 199-220.
  • Al-Fayomi N. A., Alzoube, M. S.,Abuzayed B. M. (2011). Determinants Of Capital Flight: Evidence From MENA Countries. International Business & Economic Re-search Journal, 11(1), 1-10.
  • Ali A.ve Walters, B. (2011). On Causes of Capital Flight from Sub-Saharan Africa. Central For The Study Of African Economies, 2011 Annual Conference, www.csae.ox.ac.uk/conferences/2011-edia/papers/679-ali-pdf, Erşim Tarihi: (02.04.2013).
  • Anthony, M.L. ve Hallet, A.J. H. (1992). How Successfully Do We Measure Capital Flight? The Empirical Evidence from Five Developing Countries. Journal of Devel-opment Studies, 28(3), 538-556.
  • Baek, Seung-Gwan ve Yang D. M. (2008). Empirics on Capital Fligth. Korean Money And Finance Association, http://www.kmfa.or.kr/paper/ econo/ 2008/4.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: 10.11.2013.
  • Beja, Jr. E. L. (2005). Capital Flight Meanings and Measures. Gerald A. Epstein (Ed.), Capital Flight and Capital Controls in Developing Countries, 1st Edition içinde (58-82), Cheltenem UK: Edward Elgar Publishing.
  • Boyce, J.K. (1992). The Revolving Door? External Debt and Capital Flight: A Phil-ippine Case Study. World Development, 20(3), 335-349.
  • Boyrie M. E. Pak, S., J., Zdnowicsz, J. S. (2007). Capital Movement Through Trade Misinvoicing: The Case of Africa. Journal of Financial Crime, 14(4), 444-489.
  • Chipalkatti, N. ve Meenakshi, R. (2001). External Debt and Capital Flight. Oxford Development Studies, 29 (1).
  • Claessens, S. ve Naude, D. (1993). Recent Estimates of Capital Flight. International Economics Department of World Bank Working Paper, WPS 1186.
  • Cumby R. M ve Levich, R. (1987). On the Definition and Magnitude of Recent Capital Flight. NBER Working Paper Series, 2275.
  • Cuddington, J. T. (1986). Capital Flight: Estimates, Issues, and Explanation. Prince-ton Studies in International Finance, 58, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University.
  • Cuddington, J.T. (1987). Capital Flight. European Economic Review, 31, 382-388.
  • Collier, P., Hoeffler, A., Pattillo, C. (2004). Africa's Exodus: Capital Flight and Brain Drain as Portfolio Decisions. Journal of African Economies, 13(2), 15-54.
  • Davies, V.A.B. (2007). Capital Flight and War. World Bank Policy Research Work-ing Paper, 4120.
  • Demir, F.(2004). A Failure Story: Politics and Financial Liberalization in Turkey, Revisiting the Revolving Door Hypothesis, World Development, 32(5), 851-869.
  • Deepler, M. ve Williamson, M. (1987). Capital Flight: Concepts, Measurement, and Issues. IMF Staff Studies for The World Economic Outlook, Washington DC
  • Dooley, M.P. (1988). Capital Flight, A Response to Differences in Financial Risks. Staff Papers- International Monetary Fund, 35(3), 422-436.
  • EBRD (European Bank For Reconstruction and Development) (2013). Transition Report 2013-Stuck in Transition, http://www.tr.ebrd. com/tr13/images/down
  • loads/357_ TR2013v3.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: (10.03.2013).
  • Erbe, S. (1985). The Flight of Capital from Developing Countries. Intereconomics, 20(6), 268-275.
  • Fatehi, K.(1994). Capital Flight from Latin America as a Barometer of Political In-stability. Journal of Business Research, 30, 187-195.
  • Gibson D. H. ve Tsakalotos Euclid(1993). Testing a Flow Model of Capital Flight in Five European Countries. The Manchester School, 61 (2), 144-166.
  • Gunter, F.R. (1991). Colombian Capital Flight. Journal of Interamerican Studies and World Affairs, 33(1), 123-147.
  • Harrigan, J., Mavrotas, G., Yusop, Z. (2002). On The Determinants of Capital Flight: A New Approach. Journal of The Asia Pacific Economy, 7 (2), 203-241.
  • Henry, A. W. (2013). Analysis of the Effects of Capital Flight on Economic Growth: Evidence From Nijerian Economy (1980-2011). Europen Journal of Business and Management, 5(17), 21-32.
  • Henry, L. (1996). Capital Flight from Beautiful Places: The Case Of Three Caribbe-an Countries. International Review of Applied Economics, 10 (2), 263-272.
  • Hermes, N. ve Lensink, R. (1992). The Magnitude and Determinations of Capital Flight: The Case of Six Sub-Saharan African Countries. De Economist, 140 (4), 515-530.
  • Kar, D. ve Freitas, S. (2013). Russian Illicit Financial Flows and the Role of the Un-derground Economy. Global Financial Integrity http://russia.gfintegrity.org/
  • Russia_Illicit_Financial_Flows_and_the_Role_of_the_Underground_Economy-HighRes.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: (11.10.2013).
  • Khan M. S., Ul Haque, N. (1987). Foreign Borrowing and Capital Flight. IMF Staff Papers, Vol. 32, No.4, 606-628.
  • Le, Q.V. ve Rishi, M.(2006). Corruption and Capital Flight: An Empirical Assess-ment. International Economic Journal, 20(4), 523-540
  • Le, Q. V. ve Zak, J. P. (2006).Political Risk and Capital Flight. Journal of Interna-tional Money and Finance, 25, 308-329.
  • Lensink R., Hermes, N., Murinde, V.(2000). Capital Flight and Political Risk. Jour-nal of International Money and Finance, 19, 73-92
  • Lessard, D.R. ve Williamson, J.(1987). Capital Flight and Third World Debt. Wash-ington DC: Institute for International Economics.
  • Ljungwall, C.ve Wang, Z. (2008). Why is Capital Flowing Out of The China? China Economic Review, 19 (2008), 359-372
  • Loungani, P. ve Mauro, P. (2000). Capital Flight From Russia, Conference on Post-Election Strategy, Moscow, April 5-7, https://www.imf.org/ exter-nal/pubs/ft/seminar/2000/invest/pdf/loung.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: (10.06.2013).
  • Lucas, R.E. Jr. (1990). Why Doesn't Capital Flow form Rich to Poor Countries. American Economic Reviev, 80 (2), 92-96.
  • McDonald, Gulay T. (1999). International Capital Flows: An Evaluation of Turkish Capital Flight. Yayınlanmamış Doktora Tezi, The City University Of Newyork, Graduate Faculty in Economics.
  • Mikkelsen, Jan G. (1991). An Econometric Investigation of Capital Flight. Applied Economics, 23, 73-85.
  • Ndikumana, L. ve Boyce, J.K. (2003). Public Debt and Private Assets: Explaining Capital Flight from Sub-Saharan African Countries. World Development, 31 (1), 107-130.
  • Nnajı, S. O. (2004). Capital Flight and Economic Growth: The Sub Saharan Africa Experience. Yayınlanmamış Doktora Tezi. Howard University.
  • Olopoenia, R.A. (2000). Capital Flight From Uganda, 1971-94: Estimate Causes, and Consequences Ajayi S. Ibi ve Khan Mohsin S. (Eds.), External Debt and Capital Flight in Sub Saharan Africa içinde (238-263), Washington DC: IMF Institute.
  • Pappas, A. P. (2011). The Short-term Determinants of Capital Flows for a Small Open Economy: The Case of Greece. Review of Development Economics, 15 (4), 699-713
  • Pastor, M. Jr. (1990). Capital Flight From Latin America. World Development, 18(1), 1-18.
  • Patnaik, I., Gupta, A. S., Shah, A. (2010). Determinants of Trade Misinvoicing. Na-tional Institute Public Finance and Policy, 2010-75 http://www.nipfp.org.in/newweb/sites/ default/files/wp_ 2010_75.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: (10.11.2012).
  • Rojas-Suarez, L.(1990). Risk and Capital Flight in Developing Countries. IMF Working Paper, 90 (64), 1-22.
  • Sheet, N. (1995). Capital Flight from the Countries in Transition: Some Theory and Empirical Evidence. Bank of Governors of Federal Reserve System, International Finance Discussion Papers, 514.
  • Quazi, R. M. (2004). Foreign Aid and Capital Flight in Bangladesh. Journal of Asia Pacific Economy, 9(3), 370-393.
  • World Bank (1985). World Bank Development Report 1985- International Capital and Economic Development World Development Indicators.
Year 2016, Issue: 16, 171 - 196, 16.12.2015
https://doi.org/10.18092/ijeas.25125

Abstract

References

  • Abalkin, A. ve Walley J. (1999). The Problem of Capital Flight From The Russia, Wiley Blackwell Publishing, 22(3), 421-444.
  • Adesoye, A. B., MAKU, E. O., ATANDA, A. A. (2012). Capital Flight and Invest-ment Dynamics in Nigeria: A Time Series Analysis (1970-2006), MPRA Research Archive, No: 35386, 1-21.
  • Alesina, A. ve Tabellini, G. (1989). External Debt, Capital Flight and Political Risk. Journal of International Economics, 27 (4), 199-220.
  • Al-Fayomi N. A., Alzoube, M. S.,Abuzayed B. M. (2011). Determinants Of Capital Flight: Evidence From MENA Countries. International Business & Economic Re-search Journal, 11(1), 1-10.
  • Ali A.ve Walters, B. (2011). On Causes of Capital Flight from Sub-Saharan Africa. Central For The Study Of African Economies, 2011 Annual Conference, www.csae.ox.ac.uk/conferences/2011-edia/papers/679-ali-pdf, Erşim Tarihi: (02.04.2013).
  • Anthony, M.L. ve Hallet, A.J. H. (1992). How Successfully Do We Measure Capital Flight? The Empirical Evidence from Five Developing Countries. Journal of Devel-opment Studies, 28(3), 538-556.
  • Baek, Seung-Gwan ve Yang D. M. (2008). Empirics on Capital Fligth. Korean Money And Finance Association, http://www.kmfa.or.kr/paper/ econo/ 2008/4.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: 10.11.2013.
  • Beja, Jr. E. L. (2005). Capital Flight Meanings and Measures. Gerald A. Epstein (Ed.), Capital Flight and Capital Controls in Developing Countries, 1st Edition içinde (58-82), Cheltenem UK: Edward Elgar Publishing.
  • Boyce, J.K. (1992). The Revolving Door? External Debt and Capital Flight: A Phil-ippine Case Study. World Development, 20(3), 335-349.
  • Boyrie M. E. Pak, S., J., Zdnowicsz, J. S. (2007). Capital Movement Through Trade Misinvoicing: The Case of Africa. Journal of Financial Crime, 14(4), 444-489.
  • Chipalkatti, N. ve Meenakshi, R. (2001). External Debt and Capital Flight. Oxford Development Studies, 29 (1).
  • Claessens, S. ve Naude, D. (1993). Recent Estimates of Capital Flight. International Economics Department of World Bank Working Paper, WPS 1186.
  • Cumby R. M ve Levich, R. (1987). On the Definition and Magnitude of Recent Capital Flight. NBER Working Paper Series, 2275.
  • Cuddington, J. T. (1986). Capital Flight: Estimates, Issues, and Explanation. Prince-ton Studies in International Finance, 58, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University.
  • Cuddington, J.T. (1987). Capital Flight. European Economic Review, 31, 382-388.
  • Collier, P., Hoeffler, A., Pattillo, C. (2004). Africa's Exodus: Capital Flight and Brain Drain as Portfolio Decisions. Journal of African Economies, 13(2), 15-54.
  • Davies, V.A.B. (2007). Capital Flight and War. World Bank Policy Research Work-ing Paper, 4120.
  • Demir, F.(2004). A Failure Story: Politics and Financial Liberalization in Turkey, Revisiting the Revolving Door Hypothesis, World Development, 32(5), 851-869.
  • Deepler, M. ve Williamson, M. (1987). Capital Flight: Concepts, Measurement, and Issues. IMF Staff Studies for The World Economic Outlook, Washington DC
  • Dooley, M.P. (1988). Capital Flight, A Response to Differences in Financial Risks. Staff Papers- International Monetary Fund, 35(3), 422-436.
  • EBRD (European Bank For Reconstruction and Development) (2013). Transition Report 2013-Stuck in Transition, http://www.tr.ebrd. com/tr13/images/down
  • loads/357_ TR2013v3.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: (10.03.2013).
  • Erbe, S. (1985). The Flight of Capital from Developing Countries. Intereconomics, 20(6), 268-275.
  • Fatehi, K.(1994). Capital Flight from Latin America as a Barometer of Political In-stability. Journal of Business Research, 30, 187-195.
  • Gibson D. H. ve Tsakalotos Euclid(1993). Testing a Flow Model of Capital Flight in Five European Countries. The Manchester School, 61 (2), 144-166.
  • Gunter, F.R. (1991). Colombian Capital Flight. Journal of Interamerican Studies and World Affairs, 33(1), 123-147.
  • Harrigan, J., Mavrotas, G., Yusop, Z. (2002). On The Determinants of Capital Flight: A New Approach. Journal of The Asia Pacific Economy, 7 (2), 203-241.
  • Henry, A. W. (2013). Analysis of the Effects of Capital Flight on Economic Growth: Evidence From Nijerian Economy (1980-2011). Europen Journal of Business and Management, 5(17), 21-32.
  • Henry, L. (1996). Capital Flight from Beautiful Places: The Case Of Three Caribbe-an Countries. International Review of Applied Economics, 10 (2), 263-272.
  • Hermes, N. ve Lensink, R. (1992). The Magnitude and Determinations of Capital Flight: The Case of Six Sub-Saharan African Countries. De Economist, 140 (4), 515-530.
  • Kar, D. ve Freitas, S. (2013). Russian Illicit Financial Flows and the Role of the Un-derground Economy. Global Financial Integrity http://russia.gfintegrity.org/
  • Russia_Illicit_Financial_Flows_and_the_Role_of_the_Underground_Economy-HighRes.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: (11.10.2013).
  • Khan M. S., Ul Haque, N. (1987). Foreign Borrowing and Capital Flight. IMF Staff Papers, Vol. 32, No.4, 606-628.
  • Le, Q.V. ve Rishi, M.(2006). Corruption and Capital Flight: An Empirical Assess-ment. International Economic Journal, 20(4), 523-540
  • Le, Q. V. ve Zak, J. P. (2006).Political Risk and Capital Flight. Journal of Interna-tional Money and Finance, 25, 308-329.
  • Lensink R., Hermes, N., Murinde, V.(2000). Capital Flight and Political Risk. Jour-nal of International Money and Finance, 19, 73-92
  • Lessard, D.R. ve Williamson, J.(1987). Capital Flight and Third World Debt. Wash-ington DC: Institute for International Economics.
  • Ljungwall, C.ve Wang, Z. (2008). Why is Capital Flowing Out of The China? China Economic Review, 19 (2008), 359-372
  • Loungani, P. ve Mauro, P. (2000). Capital Flight From Russia, Conference on Post-Election Strategy, Moscow, April 5-7, https://www.imf.org/ exter-nal/pubs/ft/seminar/2000/invest/pdf/loung.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: (10.06.2013).
  • Lucas, R.E. Jr. (1990). Why Doesn't Capital Flow form Rich to Poor Countries. American Economic Reviev, 80 (2), 92-96.
  • McDonald, Gulay T. (1999). International Capital Flows: An Evaluation of Turkish Capital Flight. Yayınlanmamış Doktora Tezi, The City University Of Newyork, Graduate Faculty in Economics.
  • Mikkelsen, Jan G. (1991). An Econometric Investigation of Capital Flight. Applied Economics, 23, 73-85.
  • Ndikumana, L. ve Boyce, J.K. (2003). Public Debt and Private Assets: Explaining Capital Flight from Sub-Saharan African Countries. World Development, 31 (1), 107-130.
  • Nnajı, S. O. (2004). Capital Flight and Economic Growth: The Sub Saharan Africa Experience. Yayınlanmamış Doktora Tezi. Howard University.
  • Olopoenia, R.A. (2000). Capital Flight From Uganda, 1971-94: Estimate Causes, and Consequences Ajayi S. Ibi ve Khan Mohsin S. (Eds.), External Debt and Capital Flight in Sub Saharan Africa içinde (238-263), Washington DC: IMF Institute.
  • Pappas, A. P. (2011). The Short-term Determinants of Capital Flows for a Small Open Economy: The Case of Greece. Review of Development Economics, 15 (4), 699-713
  • Pastor, M. Jr. (1990). Capital Flight From Latin America. World Development, 18(1), 1-18.
  • Patnaik, I., Gupta, A. S., Shah, A. (2010). Determinants of Trade Misinvoicing. Na-tional Institute Public Finance and Policy, 2010-75 http://www.nipfp.org.in/newweb/sites/ default/files/wp_ 2010_75.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: (10.11.2012).
  • Rojas-Suarez, L.(1990). Risk and Capital Flight in Developing Countries. IMF Working Paper, 90 (64), 1-22.
  • Sheet, N. (1995). Capital Flight from the Countries in Transition: Some Theory and Empirical Evidence. Bank of Governors of Federal Reserve System, International Finance Discussion Papers, 514.
  • Quazi, R. M. (2004). Foreign Aid and Capital Flight in Bangladesh. Journal of Asia Pacific Economy, 9(3), 370-393.
  • World Bank (1985). World Bank Development Report 1985- International Capital and Economic Development World Development Indicators.
There are 52 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Nuran Öztürk This is me

Seyfettin Artan This is me

Publication Date December 16, 2015
Published in Issue Year 2016 Issue: 16

Cite

APA Öztürk, N., & Artan, S. (2015). GEÇİŞ EKONOMİLERİNDE SERMAYE KAÇIŞLARININ EKONOMİK VE KURUMSAL BELİRLEYİCİLERİ. Uluslararası İktisadi Ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi(16), 171-196. https://doi.org/10.18092/ijeas.25125

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