Hükümet Politikalarının COVID-19 Pandemisinin Yayılması Üzerindeki Etkileri

Year 2023, , 24 - 36, 25.02.2023

Çiğdem Baskıcı , Yunus Gokmen Yavuz Ercil

https://doi.org/10.21076/vizyoner.1069827

Abstract

Çalışmanın amacı, devletlerin insan hareketliliğini kontrol etme politikalarının COVID-19 pandemisiyle mücadelede başarılı olup olmadığını belirlemektir. Hükümetler tarafından insan hareketliliğini kontrol etmek için uygulanan politikalar Oxford Üniversitesi tarafından oluşturulan Sıkılık Endeksi ile belirlenmiştir. İnsan hareketliliği, Google Topluluk Hareket Raporu tarafından sağlanan verilerle gözlemlenmiştir. Ülkelerin COVID-19 pandemisi ile mücadeledeki başarısı Çoğalma Oranı ile ölçülmüştür. 104 ülkeyi kapsayan veriler, ülkelerin 100. kümülatif vakaya ulaşma tarihleri ile 360 gün sonraki tarih arasındaki süre için ilgili resmi web sitelerinin veri tabanlarından toplanmıştır. Hipotezleri test etmek için veriler, panel veri analiz yöntemi ile analiz edilmiştir. Sonuçlar, ülkeler tarafından pandeminin yayılmasını önlemek için uygulanan hükümet politikalarının sıkılığını gösteren Sıkılık Endeksi'nin insan hareketliliği boyutlarını anlamlı ve ters yönde etkilediğini göstermiştir. İnsan hareketliliği boyutları evde kalma üzerinde %95 güven aralığında farklı düzeylerde ters ve anlamlı bir etkiye sahiptir. Ayrıca, evde kalma ile Çoğalma Oranı arasında ters yönde çok küçük bir bi değeri (-0,00008) ile anlamlı bir ilişki ortaya çıkmıştır. 

Keywords

COVID-19, Pandemi, İnsan Hareketliliği, Sıkılık Endeksi, Panel Veri Analizi

The Effects of the Government Policies on the Spread of the COVID-19 Pandemic

Abstract

The study aims to determine whether government policies to control population mobility have been successful in the fight against the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Policies implemented by governments for controlling population mobility are identified with the Stringency Index prepared by Oxford University. Population mobility is observed through data provided by Google Community Mobility Report. The success of countries in the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic is measured by the Reproduction Rate. The intersection of valid data covering 104 countries is gathered from databases of relevant official websites for the period between the date of reaching the 100th cumulative case and the date 360 days later. The data is analyzed by conducting panel data analysis method to test the hypothesis. Results show that the Stringency Index demonstrating the stringency of government policies implemented by countries to prevent the spreading of pandemic affected human mobility dimensions significantly and reversely. Human mobility dimensions have a reverse and significant impact on staying at home at different levels at the 95% confidence interval. Furthermore, a significant relationship with a very small bi value (-0.00008) emerges between staying at home and the Reproduction Rate in the reverse direction. 

Keywords

COVID-19, Pandemic, Human Mobility, Stringency Index, Panel Data Analysis

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