İnternet Kullanımı ve GSYH’nın Elektrik Tüketimi Üzerindeki Etkileri: Türkiye Örneği

Abstract

This paper aims to reveal the connection between electricity use growth, GDP growth and the growth in the number of internet users for Turkey with the time series data covering 1994-2014. Since internet usage is one of the quickest ways of accessing information, its effects on electricity consumption has great importance in respect to economic growth. In line with this purpose, we implement ARDL bounds test for cointegration and find long-run relationship between the variables. Then, we estimate the long-run and the short-run coefficients from the selected ARDL model. Accordingly, growth in the number of internet users and GDP growth have positive and statistically significant effects on electricity use growth in Turkey both in the short-run and the long-run. Also, the coefficient of lagged error correction term is found negative, which validates the long-run relationship. Since the coefficient, however, found between -1 and -2, it is concluded that the long-run equilibrium is achieved in a decreasing fluctuating form. Consequently, we recommend energy conversation policies for Turkey.

Keywords

• Internet usage,electricity consumption,GDP,Turkey,ARDL.

The Effects of Internet Usage and GDP on Electricity Consumption: The Case of Turkey

Abstract

Bu çalışma Türkiye için 1994-2014 dönemi yıllık zaman serisi verilerini kullanarak elektrik tüketimi, GSYH ve internet kullanımı arasındaki ilişkileri göstermeyi amaçlamaktadır. İnternet kullanımı bilgiye erişimde en hızlı yollardan biri olduğu için, elektrik tüketimine etkisi de ekonomik büyüme açısından büyük öneme sahiptir. Bu amaç yönelik olarak ARDL sınır testi uygulanmış ve değişkenler arasında eşbütünleşme ilişkisi tespit edilmiştir. Ardından seçilen ARDL modelinden kısa ve uzun dönem katsayıları tahmin edilmiştir. Sonuçlar hem uzun hem de kısa dönemde Türkiye’de internet kullanımı ve GSYH’nin elektrik tüketimi üzerinde pozitif ve istatistiksel olarak anlamlı etkilerinin olduğunu göstermiştir. Ayrıca gecikmeli hata düzeltme katsayısı, uzun dönem ilişkisini onaylayacak şekilde negatif işaretli olarak bulunmuştur. Ancak, bu katsayı -1 ile -2 arasında yer aldığından uzun dönem dengesinin dalgalanarak azalan bir biçimde sağlandığı sonucuna varılmıştır. Sonuç olarak Türkiye için enerji koruma politikaları önerilmiştir.

Keywords

• İnternet kullanımı,elektrik tüketimi,GSYH,Türkiye

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