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Assessment of the Effects of Climate-related Shocks on Farming Households’ Food Security in Niger State, Nigeria

Year 2025, Volume: 35 Issue: 1, 107 - 120
https://doi.org/10.29133/yyutbd.1560221

Abstract

This research uses data from a recent survey in Niger State, Nigeria to look at how risk management techniques and climatic shocks affect the welfare of farming households. A logistic regression model was used to investigate the effects of various strategies on household food security, while an OLS model was used to investigate the effects of climate shocks on farming households' food availability. Drought-tolerant crops (62.8%), dry-season agricultural production (41.3%), buffer stock (54.6%), and diversification of agricultural activities (60.8%) are the most commonly used mitigation methods. According to the findings, approximately 52% of households were food secure. Floods were a significant factor affecting farming households' food security. Food security was also negatively linked to marital status and household size. Education, gender, farm size, agricultural structure, revenue, and food security were found to have positive and substantial relationships. According to the logit regression results, dry season rice farming has a significant positive relationship with household food security. The research shows that most farmers engage in dry season rice production and cultivate drought-tolerant crops. Governments should allocate more funds to restore irrigation facilities and conduct research on and develop drought-tolerant crops to enhance food security, while ensuring household resilience.

Ethical Statement

Ethical approval for this study was obtained from the University of Ilorin Ethical Review Committee (UERC).

Supporting Institution

University of Ilorin, Ilorin, Nigeria

References

  • Aasoglenang, A. T., & Bonye, S. Z. (2013). Rural livelihoods diversity: Coping strategies in Wa west District in Northern Ghana. European Scientific Journal, 9(35), 139-156.
  • Abu, G. A., & Soom, A. (2016). Analysis of factors affecting food security in rural and urban farming households of Benue State, Nigeria. International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics, 4(Special Issue), 55-68.
  • Abubakar, I. U., & Yamusa, M. A. (2013). Recurrence of drought in Nigeria: Causes, effects and mitigation. International Journal of Agriculture and Food Science Technology. 4(3), 169-180. www.ripublication.com/ ijafst.htm.
  • Adekunle, A. O. (2022). Effect of Climate-Related Shocks and Household Resilience on Food Security among Households in Niger State, Nigeria. (Ph.D. Thesis). University of Ilorin, Nigeria.
  • Adekunle, A. O., Babatunde, R. O., Fakayode, S. B., & Bolaji, M. (2022). Cost-effectiveness of agriculture risk management strategies for resilience to climate shocks in Niger State, Nigeria. Peruvian Journal of Agronomy, 6(3), 200–209. https://doi.org/10.21704/pja.v6i3.1966.
  • Adjei, I., & Oyebamiji, O. A. (2024). Climate Change Impact on Migration and Food Security: An Existential Threat in Africa. International Journal of Earth Sciences Knowledge and Applications, 6(1), 90-106. http://www.ijeska.com/index.php/ijeska.
  • Aminu, F. O, Balogun, E .O. S., & Oke, O. B. (2019). Farm risks and management strategies among arable crop farmers in Odogbolu local government area of Ogun State, Nigeria. Agrosearch, 19(2), 41-53. https://dx.doi.org/10.4314/agrosh.v19i2.4.
  • Anghelache, C. & Sacala, C. (2016). Multiple linear regression used to analyse the correlation between GDP and some variables. Romanian Statistical Review, Supplement nr. 9 / 2016, pp 94-99.
  • Antón, J. (2008). Agricultural Policies and Risk Management: A Holistic Approach. Paper prepared for presentation at the 108th EAAE Seminar ‘Income stabilisation in a changing agricultural world: policy and tools’, Warsaw, February 8-9, 2008.
  • Arfanuzzaman, M., Tanvir Hassan, S. M., & Syed, M. A. (2020). Cost-benefit of promising adaptations for resilient development in climate hotspots: evidence from lower Teesta basin in Bangladesh. Journal of Water and Climate Change, in press 2020, 1-16.
  • Ayinla, R. A., Alao, O., Adesoji, S., Ayinla, R. A., & Olawuyi, S. O. (2024). Perceived effects of climate change on farm income: Insights from smallholder arable crops farmers in South-west Nigeria. Yuzuncu Yil University Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 34(4), 608-620. DOI: https://doi.org/10.29133/yyutbd.1501494.
  • Azumah, S. B., Adzawla, W., Osman, A., & Anani, P. Y. (2020). Cost-benefit analysis of on-farm climate change adaptation strategies in Ghana. Ghana Journal of Geography, 12(1), 29-46. https://doi.org/10.4314/gjg.v12i1.2.
  • Babatunde, R. O. Adejobi, A. O., & Fakayode, S. B. (2010). Income and calorie intake among farming households in rural Nigeria: Results of parametric and nonparametric analysis. Journal of Agricultural Science, 2(2), 135-146. Available on www.ccsenet.org/jas.
  • Badolo, F., & Kinda, S. (2014). Climatic variability and food security in developing countries. Etudes et Documents, (05)https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00939247v2.
  • Bashir, M .K., Schilizzi, S., & Pandit, R. (2012). The determinants of rural household food security: The Case of Landless Households of the Punjab, Pakistan, Working Paper 1208, School of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Australia.
  • Busby, J., & Smith, T. (2014). The creation of a household resilience index using limited data from the IGAD Region. Report prepared by the Technical Consortium, a project of the CGIAR. Technical Report Series No 1: Measuring Resilience in the Horn of Africa. Nairobi, Kenya: International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI).
  • Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2018). THE WORLD FACTBOOK. www.CIA.gov/library.
  • Demeke, M., Kiermeier, M., Sow, M., & Antonaci, L. (2016). Agriculture and food insecurity risk management in Africa: Concepts, lessons learned and review guidelines. Food and Agriculture Organization of The United Nations Rome, 2016. http://www.fao.org/contact-us/licence-request.
  • Deressa T. T., Hassan, R. M., Ringler, C., Alemu, T., & Yesuf, M. (2009). Determinants of farmers’ choice of adaptation methods to climate change in the nile basin of Ethiopia. Global Environmental Change, 19(2009), 248–255. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2009.01.002.
  • Erekpokeme, L. N. (2015). Flood Disasters in Nigeria: Farmers and Governments’ Mitigation Efforts. Journal of Biology, Agriculture and Healthcare, 5(14), 1-6.
  • Ezekiel, A. A., Babatunde, R. O., Adekunle, A. O., & Oni, A. M. (2019). Effect of Social Capital Endowment on the Welfare of Farming Households in Kwara State, Nigeria. OECONOMICA, 15(7), 2019.
  • FAO/WHO/UNU (1985). Energy and protein requirements report of a Joint Expert Consultation. WHO Technical Report Series, no 724. Geneva: WHO.
  • Ferreira, J. B., Adekunle, A. O., Al-Hilali, B., Syed, N. J. S., Castro Junior, L. G., & Reach, S. (2022). World experiences of agricultural risk management. Int. J. Risk Assessment and Management, 25(3/4), 236–257.
  • Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) (2008). Deriving food security information from national household budget surveys. Experiences, Achievements, Challenges. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Rome, 2008. https://www.fao.org/4/i0430e/i0430e.pdf.
  • Global Hunger Index Report (2012). The Challenge of Hunger: Ensuring Sustainable Food Security under Land, Water and Energy stresses. IFPRI, Concern Worldwide, Welthungerhilfe and Green Scenery: Bonn / Washington, DC / Dublin October 2012.
  • Heck, R. (2012). Introducing Generalized Linear Models: Logistic Regression. Multilevel Regression Models and Their Applications Seminar.
  • Ingawa, S. A. (2002). Keynote address at the 8th Annual conference of the Agricultural Extension society of Nigeria held in Benin City, 16–19 September. In Olowu T.A. (ed) Proceedings of the Agricultural Extension society of Nigeria.
  • Komareka, A. M., Pintoa A. D., & Smith, V. H. (2020). A review of types of risks in agriculture: What we know and what we need to know. Agricultural Systems, 178(2020), 102738.
  • Niger State Bureau of Statistics (NSBS) (2012). Facts and Figures about Niger State. Printed under the auspices of Nigeria Statistical Development Project (NSDP).
  • Nkomoki, W., Bavorová, M., & Banout, M. (2019). Factors associated with household food security in Zambia. Sustainability, 2019(11), 2715. doi:10.3390/su11092715. www.mdpi.com/journal/ sustainability.
  • Olayemi, J. K. 1998. Food Security in Nigeria. Research Reports No. 2. Development Policy Centre, Ibadan Nigeria.
  • Onyeneke, R. U., Nwajiuba, C. A., Emenekwe, C. C., Nwajiuba, A., Onyeneke, C. J., Ohalete, P., & Uwazie, U .I. (2019). Climate change adaptation in Nigerian agricultural sector: A systematic review and resilience check of adaptation measures. AIMS Agriculture and Food, 4(4), 967–1006. http://www.aimspress.com/journal/agriculture.
  • Pili, O., & Ncube, B. (2022). Smallholder farmer coping and adaptation strategies for agricultural water use during drought periods in the Overberg and West Coast Districts, Western Cape, South Africa. Water SA, 48(1), 97–109. https://doi.org/10.17159/wsa/2022.v48.i1.3846.
  • Seivwright, A. N., Callis, Z., & Flatau, P. (2020). Food insecurity and socioeconomic disadvantage in Australia. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health,17(559). https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17020559. www.mdpi.com/journal/ijerph.
  • Tesfaye, A., Bogale, A., Namara, R., & Bacha, D. (2008). The impact of small-scale irrigation on household food security: The case of Filtino and Godino irrigation schemes in Ethiopia. Irrigation and Drainage Systems, 22(2), 145-158. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10795-008-9047-5.
  • Völker, M., Tongruksawattana, S., Hardeweg, B., & Waibel, H. (2011). Climate risk perception and ex-ante mitigation strategies of rural households in Thailand and Vietnam, Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Berlin 2011, No. 79, ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften, Leibniz- Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Kiel und Hamburg.
  • Week, D. A., & Wizor, C. H. (2020). Effects of flood on food security, livelihood and socio-economic characteristics in the flood-prone areas of the core Niger Delta, Nigeria. Asian Journal of Geographical Research, 3(1), 1-17. https://doi.org/10.9734/AJGR/2020/v3i130096.
  • World Bank (2013). Toward Climate-Resilient Development in Nigeria, International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433. http://dx.doi.org/10.1596/978-0-8213-9923-1.
  • World Bank (2014). South Sudan: Impact of a Continued Internal Conflict on Food Security and Poverty. South Sudan Poverty Note, World Bank Group. www.worldbankgroup.org.
Year 2025, Volume: 35 Issue: 1, 107 - 120
https://doi.org/10.29133/yyutbd.1560221

Abstract

References

  • Aasoglenang, A. T., & Bonye, S. Z. (2013). Rural livelihoods diversity: Coping strategies in Wa west District in Northern Ghana. European Scientific Journal, 9(35), 139-156.
  • Abu, G. A., & Soom, A. (2016). Analysis of factors affecting food security in rural and urban farming households of Benue State, Nigeria. International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics, 4(Special Issue), 55-68.
  • Abubakar, I. U., & Yamusa, M. A. (2013). Recurrence of drought in Nigeria: Causes, effects and mitigation. International Journal of Agriculture and Food Science Technology. 4(3), 169-180. www.ripublication.com/ ijafst.htm.
  • Adekunle, A. O. (2022). Effect of Climate-Related Shocks and Household Resilience on Food Security among Households in Niger State, Nigeria. (Ph.D. Thesis). University of Ilorin, Nigeria.
  • Adekunle, A. O., Babatunde, R. O., Fakayode, S. B., & Bolaji, M. (2022). Cost-effectiveness of agriculture risk management strategies for resilience to climate shocks in Niger State, Nigeria. Peruvian Journal of Agronomy, 6(3), 200–209. https://doi.org/10.21704/pja.v6i3.1966.
  • Adjei, I., & Oyebamiji, O. A. (2024). Climate Change Impact on Migration and Food Security: An Existential Threat in Africa. International Journal of Earth Sciences Knowledge and Applications, 6(1), 90-106. http://www.ijeska.com/index.php/ijeska.
  • Aminu, F. O, Balogun, E .O. S., & Oke, O. B. (2019). Farm risks and management strategies among arable crop farmers in Odogbolu local government area of Ogun State, Nigeria. Agrosearch, 19(2), 41-53. https://dx.doi.org/10.4314/agrosh.v19i2.4.
  • Anghelache, C. & Sacala, C. (2016). Multiple linear regression used to analyse the correlation between GDP and some variables. Romanian Statistical Review, Supplement nr. 9 / 2016, pp 94-99.
  • Antón, J. (2008). Agricultural Policies and Risk Management: A Holistic Approach. Paper prepared for presentation at the 108th EAAE Seminar ‘Income stabilisation in a changing agricultural world: policy and tools’, Warsaw, February 8-9, 2008.
  • Arfanuzzaman, M., Tanvir Hassan, S. M., & Syed, M. A. (2020). Cost-benefit of promising adaptations for resilient development in climate hotspots: evidence from lower Teesta basin in Bangladesh. Journal of Water and Climate Change, in press 2020, 1-16.
  • Ayinla, R. A., Alao, O., Adesoji, S., Ayinla, R. A., & Olawuyi, S. O. (2024). Perceived effects of climate change on farm income: Insights from smallholder arable crops farmers in South-west Nigeria. Yuzuncu Yil University Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 34(4), 608-620. DOI: https://doi.org/10.29133/yyutbd.1501494.
  • Azumah, S. B., Adzawla, W., Osman, A., & Anani, P. Y. (2020). Cost-benefit analysis of on-farm climate change adaptation strategies in Ghana. Ghana Journal of Geography, 12(1), 29-46. https://doi.org/10.4314/gjg.v12i1.2.
  • Babatunde, R. O. Adejobi, A. O., & Fakayode, S. B. (2010). Income and calorie intake among farming households in rural Nigeria: Results of parametric and nonparametric analysis. Journal of Agricultural Science, 2(2), 135-146. Available on www.ccsenet.org/jas.
  • Badolo, F., & Kinda, S. (2014). Climatic variability and food security in developing countries. Etudes et Documents, (05)https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00939247v2.
  • Bashir, M .K., Schilizzi, S., & Pandit, R. (2012). The determinants of rural household food security: The Case of Landless Households of the Punjab, Pakistan, Working Paper 1208, School of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Australia.
  • Busby, J., & Smith, T. (2014). The creation of a household resilience index using limited data from the IGAD Region. Report prepared by the Technical Consortium, a project of the CGIAR. Technical Report Series No 1: Measuring Resilience in the Horn of Africa. Nairobi, Kenya: International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI).
  • Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2018). THE WORLD FACTBOOK. www.CIA.gov/library.
  • Demeke, M., Kiermeier, M., Sow, M., & Antonaci, L. (2016). Agriculture and food insecurity risk management in Africa: Concepts, lessons learned and review guidelines. Food and Agriculture Organization of The United Nations Rome, 2016. http://www.fao.org/contact-us/licence-request.
  • Deressa T. T., Hassan, R. M., Ringler, C., Alemu, T., & Yesuf, M. (2009). Determinants of farmers’ choice of adaptation methods to climate change in the nile basin of Ethiopia. Global Environmental Change, 19(2009), 248–255. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2009.01.002.
  • Erekpokeme, L. N. (2015). Flood Disasters in Nigeria: Farmers and Governments’ Mitigation Efforts. Journal of Biology, Agriculture and Healthcare, 5(14), 1-6.
  • Ezekiel, A. A., Babatunde, R. O., Adekunle, A. O., & Oni, A. M. (2019). Effect of Social Capital Endowment on the Welfare of Farming Households in Kwara State, Nigeria. OECONOMICA, 15(7), 2019.
  • FAO/WHO/UNU (1985). Energy and protein requirements report of a Joint Expert Consultation. WHO Technical Report Series, no 724. Geneva: WHO.
  • Ferreira, J. B., Adekunle, A. O., Al-Hilali, B., Syed, N. J. S., Castro Junior, L. G., & Reach, S. (2022). World experiences of agricultural risk management. Int. J. Risk Assessment and Management, 25(3/4), 236–257.
  • Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) (2008). Deriving food security information from national household budget surveys. Experiences, Achievements, Challenges. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Rome, 2008. https://www.fao.org/4/i0430e/i0430e.pdf.
  • Global Hunger Index Report (2012). The Challenge of Hunger: Ensuring Sustainable Food Security under Land, Water and Energy stresses. IFPRI, Concern Worldwide, Welthungerhilfe and Green Scenery: Bonn / Washington, DC / Dublin October 2012.
  • Heck, R. (2012). Introducing Generalized Linear Models: Logistic Regression. Multilevel Regression Models and Their Applications Seminar.
  • Ingawa, S. A. (2002). Keynote address at the 8th Annual conference of the Agricultural Extension society of Nigeria held in Benin City, 16–19 September. In Olowu T.A. (ed) Proceedings of the Agricultural Extension society of Nigeria.
  • Komareka, A. M., Pintoa A. D., & Smith, V. H. (2020). A review of types of risks in agriculture: What we know and what we need to know. Agricultural Systems, 178(2020), 102738.
  • Niger State Bureau of Statistics (NSBS) (2012). Facts and Figures about Niger State. Printed under the auspices of Nigeria Statistical Development Project (NSDP).
  • Nkomoki, W., Bavorová, M., & Banout, M. (2019). Factors associated with household food security in Zambia. Sustainability, 2019(11), 2715. doi:10.3390/su11092715. www.mdpi.com/journal/ sustainability.
  • Olayemi, J. K. 1998. Food Security in Nigeria. Research Reports No. 2. Development Policy Centre, Ibadan Nigeria.
  • Onyeneke, R. U., Nwajiuba, C. A., Emenekwe, C. C., Nwajiuba, A., Onyeneke, C. J., Ohalete, P., & Uwazie, U .I. (2019). Climate change adaptation in Nigerian agricultural sector: A systematic review and resilience check of adaptation measures. AIMS Agriculture and Food, 4(4), 967–1006. http://www.aimspress.com/journal/agriculture.
  • Pili, O., & Ncube, B. (2022). Smallholder farmer coping and adaptation strategies for agricultural water use during drought periods in the Overberg and West Coast Districts, Western Cape, South Africa. Water SA, 48(1), 97–109. https://doi.org/10.17159/wsa/2022.v48.i1.3846.
  • Seivwright, A. N., Callis, Z., & Flatau, P. (2020). Food insecurity and socioeconomic disadvantage in Australia. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health,17(559). https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17020559. www.mdpi.com/journal/ijerph.
  • Tesfaye, A., Bogale, A., Namara, R., & Bacha, D. (2008). The impact of small-scale irrigation on household food security: The case of Filtino and Godino irrigation schemes in Ethiopia. Irrigation and Drainage Systems, 22(2), 145-158. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10795-008-9047-5.
  • Völker, M., Tongruksawattana, S., Hardeweg, B., & Waibel, H. (2011). Climate risk perception and ex-ante mitigation strategies of rural households in Thailand and Vietnam, Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Berlin 2011, No. 79, ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften, Leibniz- Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Kiel und Hamburg.
  • Week, D. A., & Wizor, C. H. (2020). Effects of flood on food security, livelihood and socio-economic characteristics in the flood-prone areas of the core Niger Delta, Nigeria. Asian Journal of Geographical Research, 3(1), 1-17. https://doi.org/10.9734/AJGR/2020/v3i130096.
  • World Bank (2013). Toward Climate-Resilient Development in Nigeria, International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433. http://dx.doi.org/10.1596/978-0-8213-9923-1.
  • World Bank (2014). South Sudan: Impact of a Continued Internal Conflict on Food Security and Poverty. South Sudan Poverty Note, World Bank Group. www.worldbankgroup.org.
There are 39 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Sustainable Agricultural Development, Agricultural Policy
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Adedayo Olufemi Adekunle 0000-0002-9940-5889

Raphael Olanrewaju Babatunde 0000-0002-3438-1054

Sheu-usman Oladipo Akanbi 0000-0003-0177-7084

Matthew Durojaiye Ayenı 0000-0002-3321-5062

Oyeyode Tohib Obalola 0000-0002-2015-431X

Early Pub Date March 16, 2025
Publication Date
Submission Date October 2, 2024
Acceptance Date February 19, 2025
Published in Issue Year 2025 Volume: 35 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Olufemi Adekunle, A., Babatunde, R. O., Akanbi, S.-u. O., Ayenı, M. D., et al. (2025). Assessment of the Effects of Climate-related Shocks on Farming Households’ Food Security in Niger State, Nigeria. Yuzuncu Yıl University Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 35(1), 107-120. https://doi.org/10.29133/yyutbd.1560221
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Yuzuncu Yil University Journal of Agricultural Sciences by Van Yuzuncu Yil University Faculty of Agriculture is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.