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Biyorafineri Ürünlerinin Ekstrapolasyon Uygulamaları Yardımı İle Teknolojik Olarak Değerlendirilmesi

Year 2015, Volume: 52 Issue: 3, 343 - 351, 24.12.2015
https://doi.org/10.20289/euzfd.71417

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, biyorafineri yöntemleriyle elde edilen kimyasallar, ekstrapolasyon yöntemlerinden Fisher-Pry modeli yaklaşımıyla incelenerek ileriye yönelik tahminlemeler yapılmıştır. Gelecek vaad eden bazı biyokimyasalların ve petrol kökenli kimyasalların dünya genelinde üretim miktarları ve pazar payları incelenmiştir. Gerçekleştirilen çalışmada Fisher-Pry yöntemi uygulanmıştır. Sonra ki basamakta kullanılan matematiksel yöntem yardımıyla karşılaştırmalar yapılmış, biyo kökenli kimyasalların  ne zaman pazar hakimiyeti sağlayacağı incelenmiştir.  Yapılan araştırma ve uygulamalar sonucunda seçilen biyo kökenli kimyasallardan süksinik asitin 2021, furfuralın 2032, 1,3-propanediolün 2036 ve laktik asitin 2029 yıllarında kendi pazarlarında %100 hakimiyet sağlayacağı öngörülmüştür.

References

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  • Grandviewresearch. 2014c. Lactic Acid And Poly Lactic Acid (PLA) Market Analysis By Application (Packaging, Agriculture, Transport, Electronics, Textiles) And Segment Forecasts To 2020, http://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/ lactic-acid-and-poly- lactic-acid-market . Erişim: Ocak 2015.
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  • Hermann, B. G. and M. K., Patel. 2007. Life Cycle Assessment of Packaging Films. Confidential report, Utrecht University, Utrecht.
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  • Marketsandmarkets. 2014. Lactic Acid Market by Application (Biodegradable Polymer, Food & Beverage, Personal Care & Pharmaceutical) & Polylactic Acid Market by Application (Packaging, Agriculture, Automobile, Electronics, Textile) & Geography - Global Trends & Forecasts to 2019, http://www.marketsandmarkets.com/Market.Reports/polylacticacid-387.html . Erişim: Ocak 2015.
  • Németh, A. and B. Sevella. 2008. Development of a new bioprocess for production of 1,3-propanediol I.: modeling of glycerol bioconversion to 1,3-propanediol with Klebsiella pneumoniae enzymes. Applied Biochemistry and Biotechnology, 144:47-58
  • Peterka, V. 1977. “Macrodynamics of Technological Change: Market Penetration by New Technologies”, Access to Energy Newsletter Archive, http://www.accesstoenergy. com/view/ atearchive/s76a4117.htm . Erişim: Temmuz 2014
  • Pritchard, A. 1969. Statistical bibliography or bibliometrics?, Journal of Documentation, 25(12): 348-349
  • Prnewswire, 2015. Lactic Acid Market and Derivatives 2016 Forecasts (Global, China) in New Research Report, http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/lactic-acid-market-and-derivatives-2016-forecasts-global-china-in-new-research-report-279286152.html . Erişim: Şubat 2015.
  • Schobert, H.H. 2002. Chemicals and materials from coal in the 21st century fuel, 81 (15):29-32
  • Shepard, J.D. 2000. “A Structured Approach for Product Demand Forecasting”, Darnell Group, Inc.
  • Soare A and K. Kersh. The bio based chemical industry though 2030. http://www.slideshare.net/jokinhidalgo/2014-the-bio-based-chemical-industry-through-2030-lux-researh . Erişim: Aralık 2014.
  • Vanston, J. 2002. “Five Views of the Future, a Strategic Analysis Framework”, White Paper, Technology Futures Inc., http://www.tfi.com/pubs/w/pdf/ti_fiveviews.pdf . Erişim: Temmuz 2014.
  • Vert, M., G. Schwarch and J. Coudane. 1995. Present and future of PLA polymers. J. Macromol. Sci.. Pure., 32(4):787.
  • Yalçın, H. 2010. Millî Folklor Dergisinin bibliyometrik profili (2007-2009), Millî Folklor, 22(85):205- 211.
Year 2015, Volume: 52 Issue: 3, 343 - 351, 24.12.2015
https://doi.org/10.20289/euzfd.71417

Abstract

References

  • Abad S, J. L. Alonso, V. Santos and J. C. Parajo. 1997. Furfural from wood in catalyzed acetic acid media: a mathematical assesment, Bioresource Technology, 62(30):110-115.
  • Al U. ve R. Coştur. 2007. Turk Psikoloji Dergisi’nin bibliyometrik profili., Türk Kütüphaneciliği, 21(2) :142-163.
  • Alemdağ İ. S. 1980. Manual of Data Collection and Processing for the Development of Forest Biomass Relationships. Petawawa National Forest Institute, Canadian Forest Service, Information Report.
  • Aravantinos E. and M. Fallah. 2006. A methodology to improve the mobile diffusion forecasting: the case of Greece". Proc'of the "Networks for Innovations", ISPIM, Greece
  • Bay B. 2005. Çeşitli Bitkisel Atıkların Karbonizasyonu. İstanbul Teknik Üniversitesi, Enerji Enstitüsü, Yüksek Lisans Tezi, İstanbul.
  • Beauprez J. 2010. Metabolic Modelling and Engineering of Escherichia coli for Succinate Production. PhD Thesis, Ghent University.
  • Birinci H. G.2008. Turkish Journal of Chemistry’nin bibliyometrik analizi. Bilgi Dünyası, 9(2):348-369.
  • Clark S. 2014 Global Bio Succinic Acid Market (Applications and Geography) - Size, Share, Trends, Analysis, Research, Future Demand, Scope and Forecast, 2013 – 2020, http://www.alliedmarketresearch.com/bio-succinic-acid-market . Erişim: Aralık,2014.
  • Çeliktaş, M.S., 2012, Biyorafineri Sistemlerine giriş ders notları, Ege Üniversitesi Güneş Enerjisi Enstitüsü, İzmir.
  • Demirtaş A. 2009. Biofuels: securing the planet’s future energy needs. Springer, London.
  • Durmaz H. 2011. Süksinik Asidin Sıvı Membranlarla Ekstrasyonu. Sakarya Üniversitesi, Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Sakarya, 35s.
  • Forsman M. 2008. Do we need a qualitative approach in bibliometric studies?, http://www.uta.fi/conference/nwb2008/esitykset_pdf/ Forsman,%20M.pdf . Erişim: Aralık 2014.
  • Grandviewresearch. 2014a. Bio Succinic Acid Market Analysis And Segment Forecasts To 2020, http://www.grandviewresearch.com/ industry-analysis/bio-succinic-acid-market Erişim: Kasım 2014.
  • Grandviewresearch. 2014b. Furfural Market - Global Industry Analysis, Market Size, Share, Growth, Trends And Forecast, 2012 – 2018, http://www.marketresearchreports.biz/analysis/ 166546 . Erişim: Ocak 2015.
  • Grandviewresearch. 2014c. Lactic Acid And Poly Lactic Acid (PLA) Market Analysis By Application (Packaging, Agriculture, Transport, Electronics, Textiles) And Segment Forecasts To 2020, http://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/ lactic-acid-and-poly- lactic-acid-market . Erişim: Ocak 2015.
  • Hanke, John E. and G. Reitsch .1992. Business Forecasting, Allyn and Bacon. Needham Heights Boston.
  • Hegarty, R.M. and S. Macridakis. 1981. Forecasting and planning: an evaluation, Management Science. 21(2):115-137.
  • Hermann, B. G. and M. K., Patel. 2007. Life Cycle Assessment of Packaging Films. Confidential report, Utrecht University, Utrecht.
  • IEA. 2007. Tracking Industrial Energy Efficiency and CO2 Emissions. IEA Publication, International Energy Agency (IEA), Paris, pp. 34.
  • Kayim, H. 1985. istatistiksel Ön Tahmin Yöntemleri. H. Ü. İİBF, Ankara.
  • Kocar, G. ve M.S. Celiktas. 2011. Technology foresight. Ege Üniversitesi Yayınları, İzmir, s 76-83.
  • Kuperman, V. 2006. Productivity in the Internet mailing lists: A bibliometric analysis ,Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology, 57(15): 51-59.
  • Lipinsky, E.S. And R.G. Sinclair. 1986. Is lactic acid a commodity chemical?. Chem. Eng. Prog., 82(8):26-32.
  • Marketsandmarkets. 2015. Succinic Acid Market by Source (Petroleum and Bio-based), Application (1,4 BDO, Polyurethane, Food, Resins, Coatings, Pigments, Plasticizers, Pharmacy, De-icer solutions, PBS, PBST, Solvents & Lubricants, Cosmetics, Others) - Global Trends & Forecast to 2019,http://www.marketsandmarkets.com/Market-Reports/succinic-acid-market-402.html . Erişim: Ocak 2015.
  • Marketsandmarkets. 2014. Lactic Acid Market by Application (Biodegradable Polymer, Food & Beverage, Personal Care & Pharmaceutical) & Polylactic Acid Market by Application (Packaging, Agriculture, Automobile, Electronics, Textile) & Geography - Global Trends & Forecasts to 2019, http://www.marketsandmarkets.com/Market.Reports/polylacticacid-387.html . Erişim: Ocak 2015.
  • Németh, A. and B. Sevella. 2008. Development of a new bioprocess for production of 1,3-propanediol I.: modeling of glycerol bioconversion to 1,3-propanediol with Klebsiella pneumoniae enzymes. Applied Biochemistry and Biotechnology, 144:47-58
  • Peterka, V. 1977. “Macrodynamics of Technological Change: Market Penetration by New Technologies”, Access to Energy Newsletter Archive, http://www.accesstoenergy. com/view/ atearchive/s76a4117.htm . Erişim: Temmuz 2014
  • Pritchard, A. 1969. Statistical bibliography or bibliometrics?, Journal of Documentation, 25(12): 348-349
  • Prnewswire, 2015. Lactic Acid Market and Derivatives 2016 Forecasts (Global, China) in New Research Report, http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/lactic-acid-market-and-derivatives-2016-forecasts-global-china-in-new-research-report-279286152.html . Erişim: Şubat 2015.
  • Schobert, H.H. 2002. Chemicals and materials from coal in the 21st century fuel, 81 (15):29-32
  • Shepard, J.D. 2000. “A Structured Approach for Product Demand Forecasting”, Darnell Group, Inc.
  • Soare A and K. Kersh. The bio based chemical industry though 2030. http://www.slideshare.net/jokinhidalgo/2014-the-bio-based-chemical-industry-through-2030-lux-researh . Erişim: Aralık 2014.
  • Vanston, J. 2002. “Five Views of the Future, a Strategic Analysis Framework”, White Paper, Technology Futures Inc., http://www.tfi.com/pubs/w/pdf/ti_fiveviews.pdf . Erişim: Temmuz 2014.
  • Vert, M., G. Schwarch and J. Coudane. 1995. Present and future of PLA polymers. J. Macromol. Sci.. Pure., 32(4):787.
  • Yalçın, H. 2010. Millî Folklor Dergisinin bibliyometrik profili (2007-2009), Millî Folklor, 22(85):205- 211.
There are 35 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Eda Kaya This is me

Melih Çeliktaş

Publication Date December 24, 2015
Submission Date December 24, 2015
Published in Issue Year 2015 Volume: 52 Issue: 3

Cite

APA Kaya, E., & Çeliktaş, M. (2015). Biyorafineri Ürünlerinin Ekstrapolasyon Uygulamaları Yardımı İle Teknolojik Olarak Değerlendirilmesi. Journal of Agriculture Faculty of Ege University, 52(3), 343-351. https://doi.org/10.20289/euzfd.71417

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