Pamuk üretimi ve fiyat ilişkisinin Koyck Modeli İle Analizi: Azerbaycan için bir örnek çalışma

Year 2023, Volume: 60 Issue: 4 - Journal of Agriculture Faculty of Ege University Volume: 60 Issue: 4, 561 - 570, 05.01.2024

Gülistan Erdal , Aytan Zeynalova , Sait Engindeniz

https://doi.org/10.20289/zfdergi.1359942

Cited By: 1

Abstract

Amaç: Bu çalışmanın amacı, Azerbaycan'da pamuk üretiminde üretim miktarı-fiyat ilişkisini 1995-2022 dönemi verileriyle incelemektir.
Materyal ve Yöntem: Bu çalışmada FAOSTAT ve Azerbaycan Cumhuriyeti Devlet İstatistik Komitesinden elde edilen veriler analiz edilmiştir. Azerbaycan'da pamuk üretimi ile fiyat arasındaki ilişkiyi analiz etmek için Koyck modeli kullanılmıştır.
Araştırma Bulguları: Ortalama gecikme sayısına göre, pamuk fiyatlarındaki değişimin pamuk üretimi üzerinde anlamlı ve hissedilir bir etki yaratması için gereken sürenin 2,86 yıl olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Pamuk fiyatlarındaki bir birimlik artış üretimi 2,524 ton artırırken, önceki dönemde fiyatlardaki bir birimlik değişiklik pamuk üretimini 1,870 ton artırmaktadır.
Sonuç: Azerbaycan'da pamuk üretiminin sürdürülebilmesi, arttırılması ve uluslararası rekabet imkanlarının oluşturulabilmesi için bu ürünün üretimindeki gelişmelerin yakından takip edilmesi, alternatif strateji ve politikaların geliştirilmesi gerekmektedir.

Keywords

Azerbaycan, Pamuk, Pamuk pazarlaması, pamuk fiyatı, Koyck modeli

Ethical Statement

Ankete dayalı bir çalışma olmadığı için etik rapora gerek duyulmamaktadır

Supporting Institution

Destekleyen bir kurum yoktur

Project Number

Bir proje olarak hazırlanmamıştır.

Thanks

Verilerini paylaşan FAO ve Azerbaycan Devlet İstatistik Komitesine teşekkür ederiz.

Analysis of cotton production and price relationship by Koyck model: a case study for Azerbaijan

Abstract

Objective: The objective of this study was to examine the production quantity-price relationship in cotton production in Azerbaijan with the data of the period 1995-2022.
Materials and Methods: In this study, the data obtained from FAOSTAT and the State Statistics Committee of the Republic of Azerbaijan were analyzed. Koyck model was used to analyze the relationship between cotton production and price in Azerbaijan.
Results: It was determined that the time required for the change in cotton prices to cause a significant and perceptible effect on cotton production is 2,86 years according to the average number of lags. A one-unit increase in cotton prices increases production by 2,524 tons, while a one-unit change in prices in the previous period increases cotton production by 1,870 tons.
Conclusion: In order to sustain and increase cotton production in Azerbaijan and to create international competition opportunities, it is necessary to closely follow the developments in the production of this product and develop alternative strategies and policies.

Keywords

Azerbaijan, Cotton, Cotton marketing, Cotton price, Koyck model

Project Number

Bir proje olarak hazırlanmamıştır.

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