Gasoline Consumption, CO2 Emissions and Transportation Infrastructure Investment: Transportation Kuznets Curve in Selected Developing Countries

Yıl 2019, Cilt: 6 Sayı: 2, 247 - 258, 10.07.2019

Mehmet Aldonat Beyzatlar , İstemi Berk

https://doi.org/10.17541/optimum.495825

Öz

This study
examines the links between gasoline consumption, CO2 emissions and
transportation infrastructure investment using an autoregressive distributed
lag model based on the pooled mean group estimation (ARDL-PMG) for a panel
consisting of selected upper middle-income countries for the period between
1994 and 2014. The long-run PMG estimates show that transportation
infrastructure investment increases both gasoline consumption and CO2
emissions, while its quadratic form (squared of transportation infrastructure
investment) has negative effect. Hence, these results overall imply the
existence of transportation Kuznets curve for upper middle-income countries.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Panel ARDL, Transportation Infrastructure Investment, Gasoline Consumption, CO2 Emissions, Transportation Kuznets Curve

Benzin Tüketimi, CO2 Emisyonu ve Ulaşım Altyapı Yatırımları: Seçilmiş Gelişmekte olan Ülkelerde Ulaşım Kuznets Eğrisi

Öz

Bu çalışma, 1994 ve 2014 döneminde
aralarında seçilmiş üst orta-gelir seviyesindeki ülkelerden oluşan panel için toplulaştırılmış
ortalama grup tahminlemesine dayalı gecikmesi dağıtılmış otoregresif modeli (ARDL-PMG)
kullanılarak benzin tüketimi, CO₂ emisyonu ve ulaşım altyapı yatırımları
arasındaki bağlantıyı incelemektedir. Uzun dönemli PMG tahminleri, ulaşım
altyapısı yatırımının hem benzin tüketimini hem de CO₂ emisyonunu
artırdığını (pozitif), ikinci dereceden formunun ise (ulaşım altyapısı
yatırımının karesi) azaltıcı (negatif) etki yaptığını göstermektedir. Bu
nedenle, sonuçlar genel olarak üst orta-gelirli ülkeler için ulaşım Kuznets
eğrisinin varlığını göstermektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Ulaşım Altyapı Yatırımları, Benzin Tüketimi, CO2 Emisyonu, Ulaşım Kuznets Eğrisi, Panel ARDL

Kaynakça

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