Sosyal Konut ve Ortak-Yaşam Konutlarının, Sirkülasyon Yoğunluğu Aracılığıyla, Hava Yoluyla Bulaşan Hastalıklara Karşı Dirençliliklerinin Karşılaştırılması

Öz

Bu çalışma, sosyal konut yapılarının bir türü olan ortak konut yapılarının hava yoluyla bulaşan hastalıklara karşı dirençliliğini sirkülasyon yoğunluğuna dayandırarak sosyal konutlar ile yapılan karşılaştırmalar üzerinden araştırmaktadır. Wells-Riley Bulaşma Modeli (WRTM) kullanılarak, yoğun nüfuslu paylaşımlı yaşam alanlarında enfeksiyon riski değerlendirilmiştir. Çalışmada, Hillier’in (2007) mekânsal davranış teorisine dayalı konsantrik dolaşım modeli geliştirilmiş ve AnyLogic yazılımı kullanılarak simülasyonu yapılmıştır. Girdi parametreleri, ampirik verilerden ve mevcut sosyal konut yerleşimlerinin mekânsal konfigürasyonlarından elde edilmiştir. Model; dolaşım tipolojileri ve kişi yoğunluğu (kişi/m²) gibi değişkenleri analiz ederek, hava yoluyla bulaşma olasılıklarını tahmin etmektedir. Elde edilen sonuçlar, COVID-19 gibi pandemi koşullarında ortak konut tasarımlarındaki mekânsal risk seviyelerinin değerlendirilmesine yönelik teorik bir çerçeve sunmaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• ortak konut
• Wells-Riley Modeli
• eş merkezli sirkülasyon
• AnyLogic
• Covid-19

COMPARISON OF SOCIAL AND CO-HOUSING RESILIENCE TO AIRBORNE DISEASES THROUGH CIRCULATION DENSITY ANALYSIS

Öz

This study investigates the spatial safety of co-housing typologies in mitigating airborne disease transmission among non-kin occupants. Utilizing the Wells-Riley Transmission Model (WRTM), it evaluates infection risk in densely occupied shared environments. A concentric circulation model was developed based on Hillier’s (2007) theory of spatial behavior and simulated using AnyLogic software. Input parameters were derived from empirical data and spatial configurations of existing social housing layouts. The model analyzes circulation typologies and occupant density (persons/m²) to estimate airborne transmission probabilities. Results provide a theoretical framework for assessing spatial risk levels in co-housing designs under pandemic conditions such as COVID-19.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• co-housing
• Wells-Riley Model
• concentric circulation
• Any Logic
• Covid-19

Teşekkür

The author would like to express his sincere gratitude to Professor Fabio Todesco for his invaluable academic guidance, insightful discussions, constructive feedback, and continuous encouragement throughout this research. The author also gratefully acknowledges the financial support provided by the Italian Ministry of University and Research (MUR) through the doctoral scholarship received during the course of this research.

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