Yıl 2008,
Cilt: 63 Sayı: 02, 199 - 217, 01.02.2008
Öz
Anahtar Kelimeler
Kaynakça
- BESANGER, S./GUEST, S.R./MCDONALD, I. (2000), “Demografic Change in Asia: The Impact on Optimal National Saving, Investment, and the Current Account,” IMF Working Paper, WP/00/115: 3-5
- CAMPELL, J. (1987), “Does Savings Anticipate Declining Labour Income? An Alternative Test of the Pemanent Income Hypotesis,” Econometrecia, 55: 1251-1270.
- CAROLL, C. D./ WEIL, D.N. (1994), “Saving and Growth: A Reinterpretaion,” Carnegia-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy: 133-190
- CHENERY, H. B. / STROUT, A. M. (1966), “Foreign Assistance and Economic Development,” American Economic Review: 679-733,
- CHENG, B.S. (1999), “Cointegration and Causality Between Financial Developement and Economic Growth in South Korea and Taiwan,” Journal of Economic Developement: 20-39.
- CORBO, V./ HERNANDEZ, L. (1996), “Macroeconomic Adjustment to Capital Inflow: Lesson from Recent Latin American and Asian Experience,” World Bank Research Obsevers, 11: 133-150.
- DPT (2006), http://www.dpt.org.tr (23/06/2006).
- ENDERS, W. (1995), Applied Econometric Time Series (USA: John Wiley).
- GDF (Global Development Finance) (2005), Analysis and Statistical Appendix: Mobilizing Finance and Managing Vulnerability:14-16
- GRUBEN, W.C./MCLEOD, D. (1998), “Capital Flows, Savings, and Growth in the 1990s,” Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 8: 290-299.
- JOHANSEN, S. (1988), “Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors,” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12: 231-254.
- JOHANSEN, S./ JUSELIOUS, K. (1990), “Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration – With Applications to the Demand for Money,” Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52: 169-210
- JORDAN, S./FIONA, S. (1998), “Domestic Saving and Foreign Investment in Australia: Granger Causality Test,” International Economic Journal, 12/4: 77-87.
- MILLER, S. M./RUSSEK, F. S. (1999), “Co-Integration and Error Correction Models: The Temporal Causality between Goverment Taxes and Spending,” Southern Economic Journal, 57/1: 223-230.
- OBSTFELD, M. (1994), “Internatıonal Capital Mobility in the 1990’s,” International Finance Discussion Papers, 472: 249-250.
- ÖZGEN, F. B./ GÜLOĞLU, B. (2004), “Türkiye’de İç Borçların İktisadi Etkilerinin VAR Tekniği ile Analizi,” Metu Studies in Developement (Haziran): 93-114
- PAPANEK, G.F. (1973), “Aid, Foreingn Private Investment, Saving and Growth in Less Developed Countries,” Journal of Political Economy, 8:121-128.
- RAND, J./ TARP, F. (2002), “Business Cycles in Developing Countries: Are They Different?,” World Development, 30/12: 2073-2082.
- RODRIK, D. (2000), “Savings Transitions,” The World Bank Economic Review, 14: 482-501.
- RODRIK, D./ VELASCO, A. (1999), “Short Term Capital Flow,” NBER Working Paper, 7364: 352-369
- TCMB (2006), “Elektronik Veri Dağıtım Sistemi,” http://www.tcmb.gov.tr (20/07/2006).
- THANOON, A. M./ BAHARUMSHAH, A. Z. (2005), “Savings, Growth, and Foreign Capital in Malaysia,” Emerging Markets in Financial Crisis: Capital Flows, Savings, Dept and Banking Reform (Aberdeen): 7-15.
- TÜİK (2006), http://www.tuik.org.tr (10/06/2006).
- World Bank (2006), “World Bank Indicators,” http://devdata.worldbank.org/wdi2006/contents/ cover.htm (04/06/2006).
- ZHANG, K. H. “How Does Foreign Direct Investment affect Economic Growth in China?,” Economics of Transition, 9: 681-690.
Yıl 2008,
Cilt: 63 Sayı: 02, 199 - 217, 01.02.2008
Öz
Uluslararası literatürde yapılan ampirik çalışmalar incelendiğinde, birçok çalışmada yurtiçi ve yabancı tasarruflar arasında negatif bir korelasyon ilişkisi bulunurken, bazı çalışmalarda ise, yabancı sermaye girişlerinin yurtiçi tasarrufu arttırdığına yönelik sonuçlar elde edilmiştir. Bu çalışma kapsamında ise, Türkiye’nin 1996:4-2006:l üçer aylık dönemlerine ait, yabancı sermaye girişleri ve yurtiçi tasarrufları ile ilgili zaman serileri kullanılarak, iki değişken arasındaki nedensellik ilişkileri incelenmiştir. Yapılan ekonometrik analizler sonucu, doğrudan yatırımların kısa ve uzun dönemde yurtiçi tasarruflar üzerinde pozitif etki yarattığı; kısa vadeli sermaye akımlarının ise, kısa ve uzun vadede, yurtiçi tasarruflar üzerinde negatif bir etki oluşturduğu bulgularına ulaşılmıştır. Aynı zamanda, kısa vadeli sermaye girişleri ile doğrudan yatırımların ekonomik büyüme üzerinde pozitif etki yarattığı tespit edilmiştir.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Yabancı sermaye yurtiçi tasarruf doğrudan yatırımlar kısa vadeli sermaye hareketleri ekonomik büyüme
Kaynakça
- BESANGER, S./GUEST, S.R./MCDONALD, I. (2000), “Demografic Change in Asia: The Impact on Optimal National Saving, Investment, and the Current Account,” IMF Working Paper, WP/00/115: 3-5
- CAMPELL, J. (1987), “Does Savings Anticipate Declining Labour Income? An Alternative Test of the Pemanent Income Hypotesis,” Econometrecia, 55: 1251-1270.
- CAROLL, C. D./ WEIL, D.N. (1994), “Saving and Growth: A Reinterpretaion,” Carnegia-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy: 133-190
- CHENERY, H. B. / STROUT, A. M. (1966), “Foreign Assistance and Economic Development,” American Economic Review: 679-733,
- CHENG, B.S. (1999), “Cointegration and Causality Between Financial Developement and Economic Growth in South Korea and Taiwan,” Journal of Economic Developement: 20-39.
- CORBO, V./ HERNANDEZ, L. (1996), “Macroeconomic Adjustment to Capital Inflow: Lesson from Recent Latin American and Asian Experience,” World Bank Research Obsevers, 11: 133-150.
- DPT (2006), http://www.dpt.org.tr (23/06/2006).
- ENDERS, W. (1995), Applied Econometric Time Series (USA: John Wiley).
- GDF (Global Development Finance) (2005), Analysis and Statistical Appendix: Mobilizing Finance and Managing Vulnerability:14-16
- GRUBEN, W.C./MCLEOD, D. (1998), “Capital Flows, Savings, and Growth in the 1990s,” Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 8: 290-299.
- JOHANSEN, S. (1988), “Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors,” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12: 231-254.
- JOHANSEN, S./ JUSELIOUS, K. (1990), “Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration – With Applications to the Demand for Money,” Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52: 169-210
- JORDAN, S./FIONA, S. (1998), “Domestic Saving and Foreign Investment in Australia: Granger Causality Test,” International Economic Journal, 12/4: 77-87.
- MILLER, S. M./RUSSEK, F. S. (1999), “Co-Integration and Error Correction Models: The Temporal Causality between Goverment Taxes and Spending,” Southern Economic Journal, 57/1: 223-230.
- OBSTFELD, M. (1994), “Internatıonal Capital Mobility in the 1990’s,” International Finance Discussion Papers, 472: 249-250.
- ÖZGEN, F. B./ GÜLOĞLU, B. (2004), “Türkiye’de İç Borçların İktisadi Etkilerinin VAR Tekniği ile Analizi,” Metu Studies in Developement (Haziran): 93-114
- PAPANEK, G.F. (1973), “Aid, Foreingn Private Investment, Saving and Growth in Less Developed Countries,” Journal of Political Economy, 8:121-128.
- RAND, J./ TARP, F. (2002), “Business Cycles in Developing Countries: Are They Different?,” World Development, 30/12: 2073-2082.
- RODRIK, D. (2000), “Savings Transitions,” The World Bank Economic Review, 14: 482-501.
- RODRIK, D./ VELASCO, A. (1999), “Short Term Capital Flow,” NBER Working Paper, 7364: 352-369
- TCMB (2006), “Elektronik Veri Dağıtım Sistemi,” http://www.tcmb.gov.tr (20/07/2006).
- THANOON, A. M./ BAHARUMSHAH, A. Z. (2005), “Savings, Growth, and Foreign Capital in Malaysia,” Emerging Markets in Financial Crisis: Capital Flows, Savings, Dept and Banking Reform (Aberdeen): 7-15.
- TÜİK (2006), http://www.tuik.org.tr (10/06/2006).
- World Bank (2006), “World Bank Indicators,” http://devdata.worldbank.org/wdi2006/contents/ cover.htm (04/06/2006).
- ZHANG, K. H. “How Does Foreign Direct Investment affect Economic Growth in China?,” Economics of Transition, 9: 681-690.
Toplam 25 adet kaynakça vardır.
Ayrıntılar
| Birincil Dil | Türkçe |
|---|---|
| Bölüm | Araştırma Makaleleri |
| Yazarlar | |
| Yayımlanma Tarihi | 1 Şubat 2008 |
| Gönderilme Tarihi | 31 Temmuz 2014 |
| Yayımlandığı Sayı | Yıl 2008 Cilt: 63 Sayı: 02 |