ROBOTİK OTOMASYONUN EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİLERİ: ÇİN'DEN KANITLAR

Öz

Bu çalışma robotik otomasyonun, Çin'in ekonomik büyümesi üzerindeki etkisini incelemeyi amaçlamaktadır. Bu çalışmada, 1990-2022 arası döneme ait veriler VAR yöntemiyle analiz edilmiştir. İletişim ve Bilgisayar Hizmeti İthalatı, robotiği temsil eden bir değişken olarak seçildi. Ayrıca, iletişim ve bilgisayar hizmeti ihracatı, İnsan Gelişim Endeksi ve patent başvuruları kontrol değişkenleri olarak belirlendi. Değişkenlerin durağanlığını test etmek için, Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) ve Phillips-Perron (PP) birim kök testleri yapıldı. Ayrıca, değişkenler arasındaki zamansal ilişkiyi analiz etmek için bir Granger nedensellik testi kullanıldı. Kanıtlar, iletişim ve bilgisayar hizmeti ithalatının Çin'in ekonomik büyümesi üzerinde önemli bir etkiye sahip olduğunu ortaya koymuştur. Bu nedenle, Çin'de bilgisayar ve iletişim ithalatı arttıkça, ülkenin GSYİH'sinde bir artışa yol açacaktır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Robotik Otomasyon
• Ekonomik Büyüme
• İnsani Gelişme Endeksi
• İletişim ve Bilgisayar Hizmeti İthalatı
• Granger nedensellik analizi

ROBOTIC AUTOMATION IMPACTS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: EVIDENCE FROM CHINA

Öz

This study aims to discover the effect of robotic automation on China’s economic growth. Covering the period from 1990 to 2022, this paper utilized the VAR method to investigate the case. Communications and Computer Service Imports was chosen as a variable that represents robotics. Moreover, communications and computer service exports, the Human Development Index, and patent applications were added as control variables. In addition to ensuring the stationarity of the variables, Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron (PP) unit root tests are performed. Furthermore, a Granger causality test will be employed to analyze the intertemporal relationship among the variables. The evidence revealed that communications and computer service imports do have a significant effect on China’s economic growth. Therefore, as computer and communication imports increase in China, it will lead to a rise in the country’s GDP.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Robotic Automation
• Economic Growth
• Human Development Index
• Communication and Computer Service Imports
• Granger causality analysis

Kaynakça

1. Acemoglu, D., & Restrepo, P. (2018). The race between man and machine: Implications of technology for growth, factor shares, and employment. In American Economic Review (Vol. 108, Issue 6, pp. 1488–1542). American Economic Association. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20160696
2. Antony, J., & Klarl, T. (2020). The implications of automation for economic growth when investment decisions are irreversible. Economics Letters, 186. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2019.108757
3. Autor, D., & Salomons, A. (n.d.). Is automation labor-displacing? Productivity growth, employment, and the labor share.
4. Babatunde Adeyeri, T. (2024). Economic Impacts of AI-Driven Automation in Financial Services. International Journal of Scientific Research and Management (IJSRM), 12(07), 6779–6791. https://doi.org/10.18535/ijsrm/v12i07.em07
5. Bonsu, C. O., & Muzindutsi, P.-F. (2017). International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues Macroeconomic Determinants of Household Consumption Expenditure in Ghana: A Multivariate Cointegration Approach.
6. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 7(4), 737–745. http:www.econjournals.com Bank, W. (2024, December 16). Metadata Glossary. Retrieved December 22, 2024, from WORLD BANK GROUP: https://databank.worldbank.org/metadataglossary/world-development-indicators/series/NY.GDP.PCAP.KD.ZG
7. Bank, W. (2024, December 16). Metadata Glossary. Retrieved December 22, 2024, from WORLD BANK GROUP: https://databank.worldbank.org/metadataglossary/world-development-indicators/series/BM.GSR.CMCP.ZS
8. Esen, E., & Çelik Keçili, M. (2022). Economic Growth and Health Expenditure Analysis for Turkey: Evidence from Time Series. Journal of the Knowledge Economy, 13(3), 1786–1800. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13132-021-00789-8

9. Fatima, K., Jie, C., Khan, N., Afzal, M., & Shafqat, H. (2024). THE RELATIONSHIP OF GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE, HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: A CASE STUDY OF PAKISTAN. 9(1), 525–536. https://doi.org/10.33182/rr.vx9il.51
10. Innocenti, S., & Golin, M. (2022). Human capital investment and perceived automation risks: Evidence from 16 countries. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 195, 27–41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2021.12.027
11. Irmen, A. (2021). Automation, Growth, and Factor Shares in the Era of Population Aging. www.RePEc.org
12. Kamasa, K., & Ofori-Abebrese, G. (2015). Wagner or Keynes for Ghana? Government Expenditure and Economic Growth Dynamics. A “VAR” Approach. In Journal of Reviews on Global Economics (Vol. 4).
13. Nagano, A. (2018). Economic growth and automation risks in developing countries due to the transition toward digital modernity. ACM International Conference Proceeding Series, 42–50. https://doi.org/10.1145/3209415.3209442
14. Prettner, K. (2016). The implications of automation for economic growth and the labor share of income. http://www.econ.tuwien.ac.at/wps/econ_wp_2016_04.pdf
15. Afonso, O. (2024).Dynamics of automation in economic growth and the labor market, bulletin of economic research.76(4)1007-1018. https://doi.org/10.1111/boer.12465
16. UNDP. (2024). Human Development Index (HDI). Retrieved December 22, 2024, from UNDP Human Development Report: https://hdr.undp.org/data-center/human-development-index#/indicies/HDI
17. WIPO. (2024). Patents. Retrieved December 22, 2024, from WIPO: https://www.wipo.int/en/web/patents#:~:text=To%20obtain%20a%20patent%2C%20an,which%20the%20application%20is%20filed.