Araştırma Makalesi
BibTex RIS Kaynak Göster

Financial Stability of the Turkish Banking Sector

Yıl 2008, Cilt: 2 Sayı: 1, 9 - 26, 01.06.2008

Öz

In the narrow sense, financial stability is defined as price stability and the soundness of financial institutions. Although this definition can be extended to cover the functioning of financial markets, asset price volatility, risk management practices of institutions, etc., financial soundness of banks is still at the center of stability concerns. In this context, several methods have been developed to measure stability in terms of a common metric. In this paper, we analyze the stability of the Turkish banking sector in the period of 2000-2006 by applying an option theory based method that allows the estimation of default probability of the sector. We conclude that stability (default probability) was the weakest (highest) in 2001 and it entered in a healthy path after 2003. Furthermore, the sector resisted strongly to the May-June turmoil of 2006. Soundness of the sector remains relatively stable following the turmoil period. 

Kaynakça

  • Gapen, T. M., Gray, F. D., Lim, H. C., and Xiao, Y. (2005). Measuring and Analy- zing Sovereign Risk with Contingent Claims. IMF Working Paper, No:WP/05/155.
  • Gray, D. F., Merton, C. R., and Bodie, Z. (2003). A New Framework for Analy- zing and Managing Macrofinancial Risks of an Economy. IMF Risk Working Pa- per, No:1-03.
  • Hull, C. J. (2000). Options, Futures, & Other Derivatives, 4th edition. Prentice Hall International Inc, USA.
  • Merton, C. R., (1974). On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates. Journal of Finance, 29 (2): 449-470.
  • Özatay, F. and Sak, G. (2003). Banking Sector Fragility and Turkey’s 2000-01 Fi- nancial Crisis. The Central bank of the Republic of Turkey Discussion Paper, De- cember 2003.
  • Özatay, F. (2004). Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies in the Post-Crisis Peri- od in Turkey. Paper Prepared for the BIS Deputy Governers’ Meeting on 2-3 De- cember, Basel.
  • Peresetsky, A., Karminsky, A., and Golovan, S. (2004). Probability of Default Models of Russian Banks. Bank of Finland Discussion Paper, No:21.
  • Tudela, M. and Young, G. (2003). A Merton Model Approach to Assessing the Default Risk of UK Public Companies. Bank of England.
  • Uygur, E. (2001). Krizden Krize Türkiye: 2000 Kasım ve 2001 fiubat Krizleri. Tür- kiye Ekonomi Kurumu Tartıflma Metni, No: 2001/1.
  • Van den End, W. J., and Tabbae, M. (2005). Measuring Financial Stability: App- lying MfRisk Model to the Netherlands. De Nederlandsche Bank Working Pa- per, No.30.
  • Van Lelyveld, I. and Liedorp, F. (2004). Interbank Contagion in the Dutch Ban- king Sector. De Nederlandsche Bank.
  • Vassalou, M. and Xing, Y. (2006). Default Risk in Equity Returns. Forthcoming: The Journal of Finance
  • Virolainen, K. (2004). Macrostress Testing with a Macroeconomic Credit Risk Model for Finland. Bank of Finland Discussion Paper, No.18.

Türk Bankacılık Sektöründe Finansal istikrar

Yıl 2008, Cilt: 2 Sayı: 1, 9 - 26, 01.06.2008

Öz

Kaynakça

  • Gapen, T. M., Gray, F. D., Lim, H. C., and Xiao, Y. (2005). Measuring and Analy- zing Sovereign Risk with Contingent Claims. IMF Working Paper, No:WP/05/155.
  • Gray, D. F., Merton, C. R., and Bodie, Z. (2003). A New Framework for Analy- zing and Managing Macrofinancial Risks of an Economy. IMF Risk Working Pa- per, No:1-03.
  • Hull, C. J. (2000). Options, Futures, & Other Derivatives, 4th edition. Prentice Hall International Inc, USA.
  • Merton, C. R., (1974). On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates. Journal of Finance, 29 (2): 449-470.
  • Özatay, F. and Sak, G. (2003). Banking Sector Fragility and Turkey’s 2000-01 Fi- nancial Crisis. The Central bank of the Republic of Turkey Discussion Paper, De- cember 2003.
  • Özatay, F. (2004). Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies in the Post-Crisis Peri- od in Turkey. Paper Prepared for the BIS Deputy Governers’ Meeting on 2-3 De- cember, Basel.
  • Peresetsky, A., Karminsky, A., and Golovan, S. (2004). Probability of Default Models of Russian Banks. Bank of Finland Discussion Paper, No:21.
  • Tudela, M. and Young, G. (2003). A Merton Model Approach to Assessing the Default Risk of UK Public Companies. Bank of England.
  • Uygur, E. (2001). Krizden Krize Türkiye: 2000 Kasım ve 2001 fiubat Krizleri. Tür- kiye Ekonomi Kurumu Tartıflma Metni, No: 2001/1.
  • Van den End, W. J., and Tabbae, M. (2005). Measuring Financial Stability: App- lying MfRisk Model to the Netherlands. De Nederlandsche Bank Working Pa- per, No.30.
  • Van Lelyveld, I. and Liedorp, F. (2004). Interbank Contagion in the Dutch Ban- king Sector. De Nederlandsche Bank.
  • Vassalou, M. and Xing, Y. (2006). Default Risk in Equity Returns. Forthcoming: The Journal of Finance
  • Virolainen, K. (2004). Macrostress Testing with a Macroeconomic Credit Risk Model for Finland. Bank of Finland Discussion Paper, No.18.
Toplam 13 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Finans
Bölüm Research Article
Yazarlar

Münür Yayla Bu kişi benim

Alper Hekimoğlu Bu kişi benim

Mahmut Kutlukaya Bu kişi benim

Yayımlanma Tarihi 1 Haziran 2008
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2008 Cilt: 2 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Yayla, M., Hekimoğlu, A., & Kutlukaya, M. (2008). Financial Stability of the Turkish Banking Sector. BDDK Bankacılık Ve Finansal Piyasalar Dergisi, 2(1), 9-26.