KAYIT DIŞI EKONOMİK FAALİYET VE HAVA KİRLİLİĞİ: BİR BAĞLANTI VAR MI?

Öz

Bu çalışma, Türkiye'de kayıt dışı ekonomik faaliyet ile karbon emisyonları arasındaki ilişkiyi Çevresel Kuznets Eğrisi hipotezi aracılığıyla incelemektedir. Kayıt dışı ekonomik faaliyet boyutunun hava kirliliği üzerindeki etkisini incelemek için 1970 ila 2015 dönemi için zaman serilerindeki çoklu yapısal kırılmayı dikkate alan ikinci nesil ekonometrik prosedürler uygulanacaktır. Bulgular, kayıt dışı ekonomik faaliyetin CO2 emisyonlarına önemli ölçüde katkıda bulunduğunu göstermektedir. Ayrıca bu makale hem resmi hem de kayıt dışı ekonomik aktivitelerin çevre kalitesi üzerinde dikkate değer bir etkiye sahip olduğunu göstermektedir. Bununla birlikte resmi ekonomi, kayıtdışı ekonomiyle karşılaştırıldığında CO2 emisyonları üzerinde belirgin şekilde daha güçlü bir olumlu etki göstermektedir. Otoritelerin kayıt dışı ekonomik faaliyetleri azaltmaya yönelik ihtiyati tedbirlere öncelik vermesi, böylece çevre kalitesinin korunması ve resmi ekonomideki büyümenin desteklenmesi gerekiyor.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Hava Kirliliği
• Kayıtdışı Ekonomi
• Finansal Gelişme
• MIMIC Model Yaklaşımı

INFORMAL ECONOMIC ACTIVITY AND AIR POLLUTION: IS THERE A LINK?

Öz

This study investigates the relationship between informal economic activity and carbon emissions in Turkey through the Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis. Implementation of second-generation econometric methods and procedures in consideration of multiple structural breaks in the series for the period 1970 to 2015, will be conducted an investigate the impact of the size of informal economic activity on environmental degradation. The findings imply that informal economic activity significantly contributes to CO2 emissions. Furthermore, this article indicates that both legal (formal) and illegal (informal) economies exert a notable influence on environmental quality. Nevertheless, the formal economy demonstrates a notably stronger positive influence on CO2 emissions in comparison to the informal economy. Turkish authorities must prioritize precautionary measures to reduce informal economic activities, thereby safeguarding environmental quality and leveraging growth in the official economy.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Air Pollution
• Informal Economy
• Financial Development
• MIMIC Model Approach

Kaynakça

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